It’s fairly rare for Americans to be united behind any particular president. Is some sense we have never been truly united politically. We certainly were not united under Abraham Lincoln. But there have been times when the nation was relatively united. The country was fairly united behind Franklin Roosevelt even before Pearl Harbor, although there were great internal debates. The country was certainly united as never before or since after Pearl Harbor.
The country was very united under Dwight Eisenhower’s leadership, despite the era of McCarthy. After the assassination of JFK, the country rallied around LBJ despite the roiling civil rights debates. Ronald Reagan enjoyed a lot of unity after his large electoral victory and his survival of an assassination attempt. What all these examples have in common is that each president came into office facing a grave crisis. FDR had the Depression, Eisenhower the Korean War, LBJ the trauma of assassination, and Reagan the Iranian Hostage Crisis, a horrid economy, and his own personal near death experience. But they also all enjoyed landslide victories.
It’s no accident that these four men were the four most successful presidents of the modern era. None of them ever faced electoral defeat (although Vietnam ruined LBJ’s chances for a second full term). What they all shared, at least for a time, was a mandate to make large changes. George H.W. Bush and Bill Clinton never had that kind of mandate. George W. Bush had a mandate from 9/11, but he squandered it in record time. All of our presidents made serious errors and misused some of the trust the American people placed in them. Some of their errors were devastating, like Vietnam and the invasion of Iraq. But the only big positive changes we have made were only possible because the president had a relatively united country and a mandate for change provided by large electoral victories.
After about 20 straight years of a deadlocked country and two straight presidential elections that were effectively ties, it is hard for us to imagine what it would be like to see a president with a basically united country and a mandate for change. But that is what we are on the cusp of achieving. You can see signs of it already in the fact that a significant number of Republicans are open-minded about an Obama presidency.
Both the Eisenhower and Nixon families are united behind Obama. Lincoln Chafee has endorsed Obama and it’s clear that Senator Chuck Hagel is leaning that way. Mike Huckabee has many nice things to say about Obama. It’s also clear that foreign policy hands from James Baker to Brent Scowcroft to Colin Powell all have more sympathy for Obama’s foreign policy instincts than for John McCain’s. Billionaires like Warren Buffet trust Obama more than McCain to run the country’s affairs.
Obama stands to come into power on the crest of a wave of young, enthusiastic voters, unprecedented non-white turnout (including Native-Americans), and near unanimous support from liberals and academia. But on top of that, he has support from Wall Street and support from the bipartisan realist school on foreign policy. Even FDR never enjoyed such a deep and wide level of support. And, while the nation is facing its problems, there are presently no issues as divisive as civil rights and Vietnam to provide easy wedges to divide the country once it is united.
But it’s up to us to make it happen. We not only need to help Obama win, but we need to help him win a landslide. And we need to help bring landslide victories in Congress, too. If we can get this done we will truly be living in a country much more like Roosevelt’s in 1933, or Eisenhower’s in 1953, or Lyndon Johnson’s in 1965, or Reagan’s in 1981 (post-assassination attempt). Those were periods of time when real change could happen. A lot depends on our getting that chance.
Even late at night, I felt a jolt of energy reading that. Thanks, Booman. Yes. This is such an opportunity for our country and indeed our world right now. We can truly turn a page and start fresh. I hope we’re smart enough, collectively, to take the leap of faith and walk forward, rather than clinging to the false sense of security based on the past.
Exactly, and that’s why, even though I am a Green, I will not only vote for Obama, but actively support him. I don’t expect him to meet many of my political ideals, but at this point we just need to restore the Constitution back where it was in 2000 and begin to repair our national conscience, which will take decades.
And I’m finding other Greens who feel the same way, who are not going to support fielding a candidate for president this year. McKinney or someone will be run by the National Party, I expect, but with a lot less enthusiasm.
yes, we’re looking at a rare mandate. it’s a shame that the change sorely needed is a recovery of what was discarded and a restoration of what was damaged over the last eight years instead of a further advancement of what progress could have been gained over that time. for this we can thank both the republican majority and its media lapdogs. which is why a landslide is necessary for a wholesale and unambiguous repudiation of their bankrupt and odious ideology. i’m sure born-again democrat john cole speaks for many:
Yet another Republican is not running for re-election because he couldn’t keep his Johnson to himself…
When you say Reagan was one of the 4 most successful presidents of the modern era, by what measure do you mean that? I don’t dispute what you’re saying, I’m just not clear what constitutes success in this context. Do you mean the ability to push one’s agenda? Re-election voting margins? Overall popularity? I was too young and not political at all during the Reagan years, but my sense from what I’ve learned since then is that it was in some aspects a disastrous time.
accomplishing one’s agenda (or most of it) and getting reelected in a landslide is a good definition.
Gotta play Devil’s Advocate here, BooMan.
It’s very possible that Obama does appeal to Republicans. But it’s also possible that there are millions of Republicans out there who want to see Obama running because they think he’ll lose to McCain in November.
They know the Senate and House are off the table this year. They know the Dems are looking at picking up unbeatable majorities in Congress. They are aiming at McCain vetoing everything that comes down the pike as Imperial President until they can reorganize. McCain will be painted as America’s last line of defense from the horrible liberals.
And they know there will be people who will vote Democratic across the board except for Barack Obama.
Any Republican endorsement of Obama must be viewed with suspicion.
Booman, you have tagged it. I am seeing the beginnings of it right here in the middle of the reddest of Red states. I live smack dab in the middle of Columbia, South Carolina. This is the place, mind you, where, up until eight years ago, the Confederate battle flag was flying over the State House. I drive from the outskirts of town where I live(horse country) through the burbs and the poor side of town on through the area around the University of South Carolina and back every day. The amazing thing is that there are no McCain signs anywhere! I swear. There are a gazillion Obama signs everywhere, in the rich and the poor neighborhoods alike; and around the University, fugghedddaabouddit– nothing but Obama signs. But even in the suburbs, where McCain ought to be going great guns… no signs. What gives? I’ll tell you what gives. They are in for a drubbing and the know it.
Booman. You are amazing. I have put this essay on the top of my humble blog this morning. Thanks.
Good bit Boo, but 4000 dead from a war only the willfully stupid would now repeat, soaring energy and food prices and an economy in shambles will pretty much align everybody for a change. It’s a pity it has cost so much.
But that makes Hillary’s defeat all the sweeter.
By mid-summer I predict Obama’s campaign will have out- manuevered McCain several times around. There are those who will never vote for Obama because of his race or some similar bias, but he will demonstrate for a large majority just how much smarter he is, backed by a team of equally gifted people. McCain will be exposed as too confused, to reactionary, and too much like W and lose in a landslide. I’m convinced of it.
Even Rush is rooting for Obama now… for the good of the republican party.
for one hell of a candidate. At least these people think so.