Base an economy on smoke and mirrors, wild speculation in financial instruments no one but their makers understand, pretend real estate prices will always go up! Up! UP! and kick the regulators to the curb, and at some point in time real pain will be felt by real people. We are at that point now.
CINCINNATI (Reuters) – Auto salesman Ryan Thomas is watching the credit crisis hit Main Street America. On Monday, as Congress rejected a bailout plan and stock markets plummeted, Thomas had to turn away a customer with $3,000 in his hand who wanted to buy a new vehicle.
“He wanted to get into a bigger truck for his job, he was a union worker,” Thomas said. But the man still owed money on the vehicle he was trading in, so his loan request was denied.
“He didn’t have enough money down. He would have needed about $5,500 down and he had $3,000. A year ago that was a piece of cake,” Thomas said.
The customer left without his American-made vehicle, Thomas lost another sale — and somewhere an autoworker made one less truck, a tiny ripple in the growing U.S. financial crisis.
And it isn’t just car salesman losing out on commissions. Small businesses are seeing their lines of credit go Poof! too, as the credit crunch starts to wind its way down the food chain:
Dallas-area roofing contractor Bill Good has already felt the squeeze. Before times were tough, his bank offered him a $100,000 credit line that he didn’t need. Now, with high oil prices doubling the cost of roofing material, he’s strapped.
“Now I can’t access this kind of money to facilitate my cash flow. The lines of credit … have dried up,” said Good.
Kansas City cabinet maker Anthony Gallo is in a similar bind. Eighteen months ago Gallo had no debt. Now he’s being forced to borrow just to make payroll — just as his chief lender has cut his credit line from $400,000 to $175,000.
“My line of credit has been cut to nothing,” said Gallo. “We’re all hurting… and wondering what is going to happen.”
It may be too late to reverse this downward spiral. I don’t know. I have no crystal ball. But something tells me we haven’t hit anywhere close to bottom yet. Not in the markets, not in jobs lost, not in any measure of economic misery to which one can put a number nor to those which one cannot. Like trying to value the real worth of the elephant dung otherwise known as credit swaps and mortgage backed debt instruments that so many banks still list as assets on their balance sheets, there is no way to really assess the amount of harm we have done to our economy, and to the lives of our people. yet.
But we are about to find out. And God help us if McCain “wins” the election. Because he is not fit to command a toy boat in a bath tub. If we think we know how to define the meaning of the words “incompetence” and “reckless” after eight years of George W. Bush, we would soon discover that we don’t know Jack about either one should the keys to the White House magically appear in Johnny Mac’s hands come next January.
We are already teetering on the edge of a dictatorship, and my guess is that McCain would either assume that role himself, or pave the way for someone else, possibly in the military, possibly someone else from the ranks of our vast right wing crazy machine (think Dominionist Christians).
We avoided a fascist takeover and/or a military putsch during the 1930’s by the slimmest of margins. I don’t think we want to tempt fate like that again. But we may be about to find out. Our armed forces are far more central to American society, and possess far more influence than they ever did back in the days before WWII. They have been infiltrated at all levels by fundamentalist Christians, much like the armed forces of many Islamic countries such as Pakistan have been infiltrated by Jihadist elements of their societies. And religious zealots are not known for their respect for democratic institutions.
Such people believe that their God is the only power to whom they owe any loyalty or devotion. Certainly not to a mere piece of paper like the Constitution. And when God is your General, you will justify any action, and do anything necessary to accomplish his ultimate victory in the world. We see people on the right raving all the time about Sharia law as a nefarious and evil influence in Muslim countries. I just hope to hell we aren’t about to find out what a Christian Dominionist version of “Biblical Law” looks like within the next few years.
You have to admit the Devil spins a fine yarn out of which he fashions a cloak called Reconstructionist Christianity.Beware of such a sheep dressed like this one.
I guess the capital of the “New Rome” is located somewhere in Oklahoma. Thanks guys for giving us such a splendid proof of why the First Amendment is really first.
You know, it’s almost hopeless. The problems on Wall Street, and the proposed solutions, accurately reflect the power that Corporate America has accumulated these past 100 years. Making matters worse, obviously, is media consolidation. Most of our media is in the hands of corporate message shapers.
Whether you are for the bailout or against, you must be concerned with the message discipline shown these past 48 hours by proponents of the bill. It’s not that there aren’t enough people opposed to the bill, the networks and news shows simply didn’t provide them significant air time – it didn’t fit the narrative being developed.
I read an article a few years ago (I think it was in the Atlantic) that predicted economic chaos for the US in the years to come. A war hero becoming President, marshal law looming, and people being giving leftover Katrina trailers as an incentive to peacefully leave their homes. Probably closer, Steven, to your nightmare than many of us care to dwell on.
This situation is hitting close to home. I’m a small-business owner and have had to layoff staff before this newest crisis. My phone is simply not ringing, and when it does, potential clients have no funds. Judgment day is rapidly approaching – but it is not religious retribution I fear. It is the real possibility of a life well-built becoming unraveled. Following the rules is not enough anymore. If you aren’t powerful enough to change the rules or make new ones, you are prey in this economic system.
Soon enough, we’ll all work for WalMart. A subsidiary of China.. The commute won’t be bad though, we’ll all be in trailers in the parking lot.
Fascism? Go here:
http://deadhorse1995.blogspot.com/2008/09/nearly-complete.html
The next couple of years are going to be very, very bad for pretty much everyone.
Folks in my generation have really never gone through anything close to what’s coming, I was in diapers when the country was facing the last batch of gas lines and stagflation.
I do remember Pop taking a second job selling shoes at JC Penney’s back in, oh, this would have been ’79-’80 or so. He’s basically gotten somewhat better second jobs ever since. Mom’s gone from night cashier at Kroger to Director of Outpatient Nursing at a large hospital. I remember living on pork chops, applesauce and green beans 2-3 nights a week. Mom got a discount at the store for groceries.
Folks in my generation? We thought work-study in college was a pain in the ass. (I delivered pizzas back when that was a viable job and gas was 99 cents a gallon.)
I’m looking around the IT department today, and see a lot of faces younger than my own early 30’s, and I’m thinking to myself “Damn, a lot of these kids have no f’in clue what it’s gonna be like.”
I do in an academic sense. The parents are glad to tell me what it was like, as will my Depression-era Grandfather should you make the mistake of asking his opinion of the Bailout.
Back then, they saw Fascism coming. These days? These days we can’t even spell it.
Big projects and small projects get put on hold. My hospital has been planning to borrow up to $40 million for construction/expansion in the next couple of years. However, my board may put this on hold if the cost of borrowing becomes too high. The ripple effect on this community would be obvious.
If Tailhook Johnny Mac gets elected, your board will be shelving any hospital expansion plans permanently. Virtually no one will have health insurance with which to go to a hospital under his plan. You may need to expand the emergency room and hope you can collect pennies on the dollar from the folks who ultimately file for bankruptcy because of medical expenses. Plus, he plans on slashing all of the entitlement programs, which means big cuts in Medicare reimbursement rates. How do you plan on running a hospital with no private pay insurance and a trickle coming in for Medicare. I won’t even talk about the Medicaid situation, since I suspect a hospital in Rolla doesn’t confront that issue to the extent hospitals in major urban areas do.
Oh you’re such a pessimist. There will be hospitals in gated communities all over America.
Plenty of Medicaid in rural areas like Rolla. Medicare and Medicaid combined make up 65% of our admissions.
Good post Steven.
Things have indeed changed for me the last 8 years. I now pay attention to warnings that we are headed for fascism. But I don’t know if all is lost. Some people might see virtue in tightening our belts.
How many Americans over 50 think it’s their birthright to drive a Ford 250 with only 10% down and zero interest? Didn’t people used to buy their cars outright? How many people think it’s reasonable for a business to count on a credit card for financing? How did all of those American ma and pa stores function before our credit card society? How many people think we should give a 20-something year old kid a home worth 10 times his income when he puts zero down?
Yeah, it may be painful to return to savings and old fashioned banking but there will be a lot of Americans that understand we must.
Interesting link to your fascist coup article at Daily Kos. I enjoyed the Phillip Roth book a few years ago and wondered about the true history.
George Soros has come out in favor of an alternative rescue plan which, unlike the one backed by Bush and Pauson, has an excellent chance of working, because it’s been used in previous financial crises. I’ve updated my diary on an alternative rescue plan to reflect that.
Let’s see if the Dems will listen.
Sorry, but they’re only listening to Wallstreet. Paulson, Bush. We can hope for signs of life in the House but I’m afraid they’ll cave. Fascism!
Looks like the customer in Cincinnati isn’t the only one not driving away in a new Ford 250: http://calculatedrisk.blogspot.com/2008/10/ford-sales-decline-346-in-september.html
That’s a huge decline in sales.
And just this week we had another bailout, of Detroit: http://www.econbrowser.com/archives/2008/09/detroit_gets_in.html
Very odd indeed that the Chrysler bailout got so much attention in the 80s and there is barely a whisper about this.
Maybe I’m wrong and the U.S. is indeed incapable of returning to any form of austerity.