E.J. Dionne says that the Republicans are experiencing an ‘insurrection.’ At least metaphorically, maybe they are. Most people are understandably viewing this as a kind cyclical right-wing reaction to both a Democratic president (who happens to be black) and a severe economic downturn, but Dionne makes an important additional point.
The agitation among Republicans is not surprising, given the trauma of the final years of George W. Bush’s presidency. After heavy losses in 2006 and 2008, it was natural that GOP loyalists would seek a new direction.
A party that suffers consecutive beatdowns at the polls needs to retool and reevaluate its assumptions and priorities. The party leadership isn’t doing that, so the voters are doing it for them. But they’re doing it in a very interesting way. Our eyes are colored by the years 1995-2009, when the Republicans were either ascendant in Congress, held the White House, or both. But this little historical window is misleading. Conservative ideology grew over time. It’s incubative period began in 1933, when a second consecutive landslide election brought Franklin Roosevelt to power. From 1933 to 1995, the Republicans controlled the House for four years (1947-48 and 1953-54) and the Senate for ten (1947-48, 1953-54, and 1981-1987). In the entire post-war era, the Republicans only controlled both houses of Congress twice, and each time they were thrown out at the first opportunity. Forty years elapsed (1955-1995) without the Republicans once controlling the House of Representatives. This is an absolutely crucial fact to know if you want to understand the modern Republican Party. Their childhood and adolescence were completed with almost no experience in actual governing in Congress. They were an almost uninterrupted opposition.
This is why a conservative movement began to grow outside the Republican Party. Actual Republican elected officials still had to legislate and they often had a Republican president (Eisenhower, Nixon, Ford, and Reagan) to work with. But because the Republicans never had control of the legislative product, their base came to see Congress as an enemy and their legislation as somehow illegitimate. This feeling was extended to the Supreme Court during the Earl Warren era. As a result, conservative ideology cannot easily adapt to actually being in power and having to fund the various agencies and programs of the government. It isn’t surprising that in their first term in power (1995-1996) they shut down the government rather than agree to a Democratic president’s budget. And it won’t be surprising if this happens the next time the Republicans gain control of one of the houses of Congress.
The Republican base is extremely hostile to the federal government and, particularly, to federal appropriations which are unrelated to national security. You can see this quite clearly by looking at the makeup of the Senate Appropriations Committee.
Four of the Republican appropriators are retiring, two have been defeated in primaries, one is a former Democrat, and one recently lost badly in her gubernatorial bid. Additionally, Arlen Specter was forced out of the party. Ordinarily, landing a seat on the Appropriations Committee is considered a boon that allows you to funnel money back to your state and makes you too valuable to replace. But that didn’t prove true for Arlen Specter, Bob Bennett, or Lisa Murkowski. These legislators were Republicans but they didn’t subscribe to the conservative ideology that all federal activity is suspect, illegitimate, or even unconstitutional. So, they’re gone.
From 2003 to 2007, the Republicans controlled everything in Washington but they didn’t know what to do with the power. They funded the agencies of government much like a Democratic congress would have done (albeit, with much different priorities) and allowed budget deficits to rise to out of control levels. This wasn’t what conservative ideology called for. It was, in essence, a betrayal. But conservative ideology is not reality-based; it’s oppositionally-based. It has no governing philosophy, but, instead, a grouping of rationalizations for why federal governance is bad.
What’s going on with the Tea Partiers is that they are trying to force the GOP to take conservative ideology seriously and to have them act based on the implications of that ideology. And because that ideology sees the federal government as basically illegitimate, you are seeing calls to repeal amendments from the 14th (establishing birthright citizenship), the 16th (creating an income tax), the 17th (providing for direct elections of senators), and the 19th (establishing female suffrage). It’s also why you see opposition to Social Security and the Civil Rights Act of 1964 which provided for desegregated public facilities. Some of this is simply based in racism, but the ideological component is arguably just as important.
Because of this anti-federal government ideology, the Republicans cannot govern the country without either violating their espoused principles or simply shutting the place down. You can’t shut down the government for any substantial period of time, so the Republicans will consistently violate their own principles once empowered in Congress. Instead of abolishing the Department of Education, they give us No Child Left Behind. Instead of letting Medicare wither on the vine, they give us a massive subsidized prescription drug benefit. And when they try to follow through on their radical ideology (for example, by privatizing Social Security), they are quickly thrown out of office.
People keep asking the Republicans to offer a positive agenda and they keep promising to provide one, but they can’t because modern conservatism does not know of any positive role for the federal government. The few Republicans who try to legislate are now being drummed out of the party.
So, call it an insurrection if you want, but it’s not the GOP who is besieged. It’s the entire federal government (and, therefore, the country) that is under assault. The post-war consensus was never agreed to by conservatives. And they’re coming to try to uproot eighty years of legislating history. That they won’t succeed doesn’t mean that we want to witness them try.
Two things.
First – someone is actually advocating for a repeal of the 19th amendment? Who the fuck is advocating for repealing women’s suffrage?
Second – I think you’ve got the movement conservative part of this down cold, but I think you’re missing a key dynamic to explain Republican governance and why it’s “like the Democrats but with different priorities”. And that’s because the Republican coalition has historically had a strong Chamber of Commerce element to it. The Chamber hates taxes and some forms of regulation, but it loves the benefits of taxes (a functioning justice/legal system for protecting property and resolving disputes, solid infrastructure to build businesses on, strong military to buy goods from the Chamber, etc.) and it loves some forms of regulation – essentially the regulation it can buy. Without a functional government, the Chamber of Commerce can’t exist and they know it.
The Republican Party goes to the movement conservatives for votes, but it’s the Chamber that owns its soul. And the Chamber wants the country to function – even if they don’t want to pay taxes to do it. And historically the Chamber has been more important to getting seats and maintaining them than the conservative movement has, so when the GOP gets power it inevitably does what’s good for its Big Business constituency over its movement constituency.
And that’s the insurrection that’s going on right now. The movement now seems to have more political power in the GOP than the Chamber does, so it’s attempting to push the Chamber out.
Even the Chamber of Commerce Republicans are not unified. The national Chamber is squarely behind the current Congressional Republicans. But state Chambers and local Chambers are acting independently. For example, the South Carolina Chamber of Commerce has endorsed pro-business candidate for governor Vincent Shaheen instead of Palin protoge Nikki Haley.
This means that the Chamber will wind up aligning with both parties going forward, seeking control of one or the other as it can. This is a return to the pre-Goldwater days of diversity within both parties.
If the movement conservatives purge the Chamber of Commerce types, they will take their political contributions elsewhere. They’ve done it before.
From my understanding of the SC Chamber’s rationale for supporting Sheheen over Haley, this is a great example of the dynamic I’m talking about. The SC Chamber needs a functional government in SC. It doesn’t need it to be a great government, but it needs to be a functioning one. But as Booman points out the ideology of the movement conservatives prevents them from being able to support a government that functions at the level that the Chamber needs to conduct business.
Haley is from the movement arm, and she threatens to bring more dysfunction to the SC government. The Chamber is looking out for its best interests and hopes that by endorsing the Democrat – who seems pretty damn business friendly to my eyes – they’ll at least get a functioning government.
The national Chamber is lining up behind Republican candidates because they have Boehner and Cantor and McConnell and DeMint in their pockets and they’re hoping to be able to keep control of the beast through their proxies. In SC, they Chamber has lost control and so they’re in damage control mode. If the same thing happens at the national level, the Chamber will temporarily abandon the GOP and move to the Dems.
That’s the one thing that I suspect will ultimately kill the GOP dead as a party, actually. If the movement succeeds in pushing out the Chamber the party will follow the path of the Whigs.
The Chamber doesn’t own their soul right now. The movement conservatives are going to punish anyone who voted for the Chamber-supported stimulus, for example.
I actually think that control is up in the air right now – the battle is being fought fiercely by both sides and no one is ready to call it quits.
The movement has the advantage right now, though, and they’re willing to press it. I think the Chamber made a huge misstep with the bank bailout, and it has opened the door for the movement to push them out of the party and take control.
But it’s not solidified yet. The movement has plenty of opportunities to shoot themselves in the foot and let the Chamber swoop back in to take ownership back. It’ll take a few years before the battle is completely played out, I suspect.
Thanks for reminding everyone that the national Chamber of Commerce, along with the National Association of Manufacturers, supported ARRA (the stimulus package) against the solidary opposition of the Republicans. This was the pivotal opportunity to push the Republicans deep into a corner and squash them that Democrats let slide by early.
The first far-right revolt within the Republican Party wasn’t by Goldwater in 1964. It was in 1952, by a man implicated in a planned putsch against one President, (FDR), who didn’t see why he should take orders from another President (Truman) – Douglas MacArthur. The Caesarism implicit in the far right’s vision of the Federal Government has been present from the beginning.
I think the problem with the term “right wing” is that nobody really knows what it means. Some people call the tea party “right wing” and others insinuate the “right wing” are monarchists. I understand both arguments, but the fact is that the “right wing” is rightly described as a party of opposition only so long as the opposition is to that “80 years of legislative history” that is claimed by the modern “left.”
What we are seeing is the revival of an “anti-federalist” party, not in the sense that they are opposed to the United States government as an institution (those early anti-federalists were not) but in the sense that they abhor the degree of power that government has been entrusted with.
And if your view point had been shut out for almost a century straight by any institution wouldn’t you see the institution itself as the problem? I don’t think it’s correct, but I think it’s an understandable conclusion.
The 19th is some gubernatorial candidate I think. Or maybe it was a talk show host? It was only a few people IIRC.
Anyhow, if our side had occasionally acted on ideology first instead of getting things done, a number of very bad things wouldn’t have happened.
Very well said, BooMan. Thanks.
Okay … first … I want you to think about what a conservative would sound like “explaining” what progressive politics is all about.
They can’t. WHY? because if they understood Progressive thought, they would be a moderate at best.
***
Second, a little bubble bursting here.
Technically the people you say are assaulting the Federal government are more correct than progressives.
Read Article V of the Constitution.
You will note that there are TWO methods to amend the constitution.
The first ( always used in the past ) is originated by Congress.
The second ( never done ) is a Constitutional convention originated by the States.
Mostly look at the process though.
For the Federal Government to amend the Constitution, they MUST gain the consent of at least 75% of the States.
For the STATES to amend the Constitution they need no consent — NONE — from the Federal government.
Congress is notified by 34 states of their intent to hold a convention and Congress MUST schedule it.
From that point on Congress is done. No federal involvement, no court challenges (it is a Constitutional amendment ) — NOTHING.
If 34 States decide they wish to repeal an amendment, or make a new amendment that severely restricts the commerce clause, or make 15 amendments ( hey how about term limits? 85% of people would love that and we KNOW Congress ain’t letting that one go! ) they have the ability and power.
Again. Put simply.
Federal government needs States approval to change the rules.
States can tell the Federal government to stuff it.
Despite the Supremacy clause. States have the ultimate power. We are a Federation. Not a nation.
Now considering that the bar of disapproval the Federal Government needs to reach is so high ( at least 3/4 of the States need to be pissed at the government ) it is rare it will be used.
But so long as Article V grants the States the power to amend the Constitution WITHOUT Federal approval.
We are a Federation.
That’s one way of looking at it. The other is that either a Convention or Congress can propose amendments. Either way 75% of the states must approve, but either way Congress gets to choose whether the states use conventions or their legislatures. Congress also apparently writes the rules of convention since it calls it even when petitioned by the states. So it’s not really clear that Congress has no involvement as you suggest.
awesome post
Hence, massive spending, invasions, etc.
Boo…give Chris Christie a shot at governing…I bet he’ll do fine. Heaven forbid that government employees stop earning twice that of the private sector employees do. By the way…the Department of Eduction…how is that working for you? Are our children better educated?