Not too many people can do better in contemporary America than Bobby Jindal, a two-term Republican governor who has some hope of leaving office without the people of his state wanting to escort him to the border of Arkansas on a rail. It ought to translate into a viable presidential candidacy four years hence, but that viability might be limited to winning the nomination if he keeps doing things like trying to eliminate funding for hospice care for Louisiana’s poorest residents. He reversed course on that policy yesterday, but it was just insane enough that merely proposing it might endear him to the rabid Republican base voter who will be deciding the 2016 primaries. Sure, Jindal looks enough like a Muslim that he must surely be a socialist, but he tried to force people to die in lonely hospital rooms at everyone’s expense rather than with dignity at home with their family. That’s got to count for something, right?
It has to be a better plan that what Paul Ryan will be pursuing this spring. Because the Speaker of the House is a moron, and because he promised his Tea Party contingent a budget that balances within 10 years, Mr. Ryan is now charged with identifying cuts so severe that the House Republicans will need decimal points and magnifying glasses to read their approval numbers. The last time around, Rep. Ryan’s budget didn’t balance until about 2040. That budget voucherized Medicare and contributed mightily to a surge in the polls for lice, colonoscopies, and used car salesmen. Laying out a budget austere enough to balance 16 years earlier than the old plan without the assistance of any new revenue, and then forcing the whole Republican caucus to vote for it even though the Senate will never agree to it? Priceless. It will keep Paul Ryan in the headlines in a Lindsey Lohan kind of way.
Perhaps Marco Rubio can do better by becoming the Republican face of immigration reform. We know how the Republican base loves Latino immigrants (especially in Iowa). They love them almost as much as they love the federal government spending money on education and retraining. If Rubio is going to try to sound moderate on some issues or actually help the president achieve a few things, he’ll need make up for it by finding some new Democrats to disrespect who aren’t named Hillary Clinton.
As for Chris Christie, the reason he can bash the Republican Party without angering the Republicans in his state is because he is from New Jersey. Garden State Republicans are generally not wingnuts and they have no use for Southern culture. They make a lot of money and they want to spend it on their horses, not negroes in Patterson, Newark, or Camden. It’s not personal, just a preference, you see. In any case, messing around with the debt ceiling and bitching about hurricane relief is no way to endear yourself to a New Jersey Republican. Yet, blasting away at the Teahadists in Washington DC is no way for Christie to win over the South Carolina primary voter.
So, who’s winning this thing?
Walking back on the hospice issue won’t help him. He also cut funding to shelters for victims of domestic abuse. He must feel that doesn’t happen in LA. Why do Republicans hate women?
http://www.esquire.com/blogs/politics/bobby-jindal-domestic-abuse-cuts-012313
My guess is that Scott Walker’s going to run, and get some traction with both the big-money people and the culture-war people.
he;s going to run his campaign from jail?
Does it matter how extreme they are? If states go ahead with Electoral College rigging, the next Republican candidate will probably be able to lose the popular vote by 5 or 6 points and still become president.
Exactly. If they succeed in rigging the electoral college, it won’t matter one bit who the base chooses to represent them. That is who we will be stuck with.
Here are some dark horse candidates for you:
John Barrasso
Bob Corker
Roger Wicker
Rick Snyder (if re-elected in 2014)
Susanna Martinez (if re-elected in 2014)
Rick Perry will give it another try, I betcha
Scott Walker (if re-elected in 2014)
John Kasich (if re-elected in 2014)
And one who is already running;
Rand Paul
Betcha Michele Bachmann will give it another go unless she’s out in 2014.
And who know which CEOs will suddenly think they can save the nation. But there will be one or two. And at least one or two ambitious professional minorities playing one or more minority cards (Allen West syndrome). Is 2016 Liz Cheney’s year?
Of course all this assumes that the promised transformation of the electorate doesn’t occur thanks to unforced errors on the Democrats part.
I take issue only with Rick Perry and Kasich.
Rick Perry is too damn dumb. I’m sorry, but when Michelle Bachman is your intellectual superior, you are too damn dumb. Besides, he’s back to killing himself with the secession wingnuts. That won’t play well to the 1%.
Kasich is too well known. He has no natural power base that the other don’t already have, and he has powerful enemies (other than unions) some of the others don’t have.
Rand Paul will kill himself with his big mouth. He actually believes the libertairian bullshit he keeps spouting. That’s great for getting together money bombs and pretty co-eds, but doesn’t do jack for R power politics.
serious contention the worst kept secret in Texas politics would surely come out and that would end his entire political career. The only reason it didn’t come out in the previous primaries is because RP crashed and burned before it was needed to boot him from the race.
I always wonder what they are thinking – that it won’t become an issue?
He would never run but maybe he has enough hubris to think he can continue to keep it hidden. He did in the run for governor.
So what’s the worst kept secret? Apparently I don’t know!
The rumour that RP is actively homosexual, I assume.
But Perry is in the category of potential contenders. We know he’s got the disease, and the Kefauver rule applies. Heck, John McCain still seems to have the disease; don’t be surprised he tries again.
But all of this speculation is ahead of the 2014 election, which might or might not change the political landscape.
Yesterday’s questioning by Rep Adam Kinzinger (Illinos) was the first and last well thought out Rep question to Hillary. If he keeps up his research he’s going to be someone to watch.
Watch him for sure. He is evil.
Of those four, only Christie has a chance. He’s white and doesn’t already have a reputation as a dweeb. And that’s what their base cares about.
And now Zuckerberg is hosting fundraisers for Coronary-in-waiting.
So, who’s winning this thing?
Hillary Clinton.
(Sorry. Low-hanging fruit there. Couldn’t resist.)
And just where does Jeb Bush stand in all of this? Just wondering. It is troublesome that he speaks Spanish and is married to a Hispanic.