Year: 2016

I’ve long held the somewhat controversial view that political analysis is only as good as its ability to make verifiable or falsifiable predictions about the future course of events and thus have tended to be impatient...

I have to travel down to DC in a minute, so I don’t have time to editorialize about this. Just wanted to note it, because it’s important. Sens. Angus King (I-Maine) and Jeanne Shaheen (D-N.H.) are doubling down on...

A year from today, we’ll be swearing in a new president. Will it be a guy who calls himself a Democratic Socialist? The answer is, not if a lot of Democrats have anything to say about it. Said Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-MO):...

The FiveThirtyEight deep-dive into the delegate math of the Republican nomination is useful but also just bizarre. The first thing they do is assume that Rubio will emerge as the savior the Establishment rallies around to stop...

When Scott Walker dropped out of the race, I laughed a good hearty laugh and then I predicted that it would allow Ohio Governor John Kasich to solidify his position as the backup to Jeb Bush. A little while later when it became...