Author: BooMan

Ohio is Gone

Mitt Romney kicked himself in the balls when he opposed the auto bailout, and it’s killing him in Ohio. That probably explains something that is puzzling Nate Silver. Why is Obama performing better in Ohio than he is...

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Thinking Too Hard

Do you ever get tired of reading analysts who ignore that the presidential contest is a competition between two human beings and try to predict what will happen by looking at economic data or other historical factors? For me,...

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They Never Learn

I think that Paul Waldman is probably right that the conservatives will learn approximately nothing from their drubbing in November. In fact, the logical reset will be to look to Jeb Bush to save the Republicans in 2016, but he...

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Can We Widen the Field?

If the election were held today, Nate Silver’s model gives the president a 96.4% chance of winning. He also shows Obama trailing in South Carolina by 0.2% in his weighted poll average. It’s worth keeping your eye on....

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The Worst Coalition in the World

As I have mentioned several times before, David Brooks loves his dichotomies. His approach to almost every column is to reduce a problem down to two categories and then let those two categories duke it out until the one he...

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