Some of you may not be familiar with the work of Soj. Soj writes for our sister site, European Tribune. She also writes, more extensively, at her own blog, Flogging the Simian.
Soj and I have been mutual admirers ever since we first laid eyes on each other’s writing. But, personally, I don’t feel my writing, or my brain, can be fairly compared to Soj’s. Quite simply, she is operating on another level.
Soj lives in Romania, but she used to work for some Federal agency that is responsible for keeping Americans safe. I’d feel a lot better if she still was working to keep us safe. (Though, I guess she still is, because) she is currently working to expose the greedheads and warmongers that have so corrupted our world.
Below the fold, she explains how she is able to distill so much information down to a useful size, and make it comprehensible to us mere mortals.
It’s a classic worthy of a Koufax Award. And the fact that she says nice things about me, only makes it more special. Wink.
The topic has been well-discussed both on my colleague’s website as well as on others, so there’s no need to rehash it here. Nor have I much to add on the discussion for its quite well covered on its merits.
Instead what I want to pay attention to is that identifying Atta (and the other 3 hijackers) came from an Army project called the “Information Dominance Center” which is largely the data mining of open-source documents.
“Data mining” is a term that refers to sorting through data to identify patterns and establish relationships. The term “open source” means publically available documents – the opposite of “secret” or “classified” information or gathered “intelligence”.
Indeed, as I mentioned in my PDB just this Monday, the CIA is now looking to spend $100 million dollars on creating a center to data mine open source documents.
What makes this all so ironic and somewhat funny, in a tragic sense, is that Flogging the Simian has been doing this for more than a year, on a heck of a lot smaller budget!
I’ve seen comments about FTS articles both on this blog as well as on other websites, and there seems to be some minor consensus that FTS is produced by series of supercomputers hooked up in series with access to intercepted intel or uses programs such as STARLITE. While we consider that a compliment in the sense that it’s flattering, actually FTS operates on a much smaller scale.
I can also tell you that 99% of what you see on FTS comes from open-source documents, nearly all of them from the web. And I firmly believe that it was possible for the Army’s Information Dominance Center (IDC) to figure out that Atta was involved in nefarious activities in 2000 purely through open-source documents, which could then be checked against known intel and classified information, to identify him as a high-risk threat to the United States.
Two years ago I was on the “other side” of the equation – I was down in the bunkers with the computers and the gear and the antennas and I can tell you that the government of the United States suffers from myopia, often unable to see what is directly in front of it. The various intelligence agencies all spend enormous amounts of money (and effort) gathering data and assembling it and analyzing it and seeking to recognize patterns. But what they fail to do is corroborate this with secondary sources, particularly “open source” ones. And this is exactly how the CIA and others fail to predict such momentous events like the “fall” of the Soviet Union.
Even if we take just the publically-accessible internet, and in particular just Google, the problem is not the information but that there is so much of it. Google says it tracks 8,168,684,336 pages. Let’s assume that there’s some critical information about Al-Qaeda members out there. With 8 billion pages to search through, who can find the needle (critical information) in the haystack (8 bilion pages)? And how does one go about doing it?
The way we do it here at FTS is completely different than the Army’s method – which is to put powerful computers in synch to churn through the data. That does result in some valuable data but the “secret” that FTS takes advantage of is that while the internet is run by computers, it is used by people. And what understanding what people do, where people post, and what people say does not require the use of powerful computers.
Sorting through data to identify patterns and establish relationships when it comes to people is something that is a combination of a science and an art. And because of who I am and my own personal history, FTS has an advantage in this department. To begin with, I’ve been sorting through data to identify patterns and establish relationships via the internet since at least 1995 when this was my job. It was for a civilian agency and I was doing it for (mostly) civilian purposes. Ten years ago isn’t long when you’re discussing world history, but in terms of the internet, it’s a heck of a long time ago.
Later I also was trained by different organizations on how to do other things and all of this comes together with my personality and my ability to understand people to make what FTS is – a pacifist version of the Army’s Information Dominance Center.
Not that I’m the only one doing this. Some good people who are now known as E Pluribus Media did an excellent job at both identifying an inexperienced and unqualified man who was acting as a journalist, gaining unprecedented rapid access to the White House press briefings and who later turned out to be a prostitute with a criminal record. The work they did is absolutely outstanding and is an excellent proof of the power of data mining open source documents.
My focus is not on the domestic affairs of the United States (I’ll leave that to E. Pluribus) but the larger scope of geopolitical activity around the world, especially, but not solely, as it relates to the United States.
This is one of the powers of blogs which keep me writing here as opposed to becoming a commercial journalist or seeking another career in a different domain. The truth is that blogs do not just give the ordinary person a “voice”, which in itself is a tremendously good thing, but they also give people “power” by allowing them access to the billions of pages of information that govern our world and then allow them to report back on what they’ve found.
If you’ve been a regular reader of FTS for a while, you’ve seen how stories first picked up here later become mainstream stories later or else manifest into reality. For instance, you can be sure that before the end of 2005, the nation of Azerbaijan will formally announce that it will be hosting a U.S. base (or forward operating area) on its soil. That’s nearly a given, yet good luck in trying to find that in any commercial news source.
I wrote a few days ago how the internet (and blogging specifically) is today’s samizdat, the people’s free press. But today I’m here to tell you that the internet (blogging) is the people’s own intelligence agency, the “PIA” if you will.
I tend to focus on the macroscopic or global scale but it works just as well on the local scale, as organizations such as Indymedia prove day after day. Or take one of my favorite organizations, the NarcoNews, whose use of open journalism about local, domestic issues led to the proof that a Cuban terrorist had American help in fleeing to U.S. soil. And of course it is the blogs and the independent media which raised awareness amongst enough people that the administration was forced to arrest Carriles.
Years and years ago, before the internet was much more than a gleam in a few DARPA eyes, Amnesty International achieved amazing things by investigating cases of political prisoners. AI would then raise awareness about their plight and its members and supporters would write letters and make phone calls to the repressive, dictatorial governments holding these people prisoner solely because of their ideas. And amazingly, many times that pressure was enough to free these people. No guns or bribes or hostages-for-weapons necessary.
FTS is my effort to do something very similar – to raise awareness on key issues so that the people, the ordinary average person reading this blog and these articles can know what’s going on. And when the people know what’s going on, they can decide what they want to happen. Do you want the United States to have a base in Azerbaijan? Do you want the U.S. to start producing landmines again? Do you want the U.S. to spend money beaming a television channel into Venezuela and to fund groups who oppose the democratically elected president? Maybe you do and maybe you don’t, but you can’t make a decision until you know about these issues.
FTS is just one cog in the chain of independent media and independent intelligence- gathering organizations (which Al Giordano calls “Authentic Journalists”). FTS doesn’t seek to understand or report on the whole picture but to fill in the gaps that Indymedia and NarcoNews and E Pluribus Unum and Booman and the others miss. I shouldn’t even say “miss” because that implies failure. This is a collaborate effort, and unlike the commercial media, the more voices, the better.
In the same way that quantum physics revolutionized classical physics, the internet and independent media (blogging et al) has revolutionized both the classical media (reporting to sell advertising) and classical intelligence (information to suit a government) and has put the power in the hands of the people, perhaps for the first time in history.
There are plenty of bad things occurring in this modern world of ours but it’s worth taking a moment to realize the historical significance of where are – you, the reader of this blog, have access to more information than any king or empreror in history ever had. You have more access to more information than any citizen in any open society/democracy has ever had. You have more access to uncensored information about what’s going on around the world than the CIA, FBI, NRO, DIA and NSA combined.
Take a moment to appreciate the awesomeness of it… and then remember our work here is never done.
Hear, Hear! It really is amazing when you think of what we have at our fingertips. I think that we bloggers are so paranoid about getting our sources verified that we end up opening ourselves to even more information in the process. Great post soj!
MSM is Soooooooooooo yesterday.
Thanks Booman and SOJ for these great insights on the power available with this new technology. I’ve been thinking for some time that we are only a few percentage points into realizing the totality of the capabilities.
I’m looking forward to a continuation of the learning process and then application to the issues of the day.
I personally know an intelligent and caring editor/publisher who has no clue as to the serious nature of trends here in the US. I suspect he has not sufficient, time to peruse the likes of FTS, BT, etc. Some sort of “Berlin Wall” will “fall” sooner or later here to the great surprise of all but the bloggers.
Great writing and great explanation of how information can be and is being gathered by soj and all the other great blogs who are the vanguard of this new news medium.
If you haven’t read soj’s daily EuroPDB over at Eurotrib you are really missing something great. Just go read it, ok. I swear you’ll be hooked.
Followed your comment on EuroTrib, Booman, and went to DKos and recommended the diary. Fascinating, important, seminal. It seems to me it’s on-topic for EuroTrib. Can it be crossposted there, pls?
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BooMan | SusaHu | Soj :: Any Credibility? See my earlier post
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Reactions from Soj et all — European Tribune
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Oui,
I read the link you posted and while it’s heavy on speculation and light on proof, my gut tells me this firing stinks. When my husband first mentioned it to me, my first thought was, he went afoul of Rummy. But, my husband proceeded to tell me all the things he’d heard about this guy — philanderer, bending Pfcs over the desk, etc. I thought, maybe, just maybe, he was such a reprobate they had to reign him in. But, then my husband got more details (my husband, btw, is only a credible source because his office works closely with the Pentagon, so he hears all the good gossip) and Byrnes was separated from his wife for some time, with a pending divorce, when he had a consensual affair. For him to be fired over that is not normal. Yes, adultery is a violation of the UCMJ, as is fraternization, and I don’t know if this woman was enlisted, but there have always been very different spanks for different ranks. So, I’m back to thinking he went afoul of Rummy. Fired, with four months ’til retirement, for behavior that is generally overlooked… I don’t buy it. I don’t know that it’s as dramatic as what’s in that article, but I tend to think he knew something and was either not drinking or had given up drinking the Koolaid. This reads like a cult purge. We’ve seen a few such purges from the White House itself, and we’ll be seeing more of them.
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Senior General Relieved of Duties (Military.com reg. req.)
Most comments are bs, I’m always looking for that single comment that may be worthwhile!
There are those that would suggest that it has more to do with some of the comments made over the past six months regarding state of readiness, constant war and troop levels that are behind this then a skirt.
Ex:”Our assumption is that when our Soldiers leave the training base, they’ll go straight to combat,” Byrnes said. “We truly believe that war is now the norm; war is the steady-state environment, and peace is the exception. We are executing sustained combat operations, and we expect to continue to execute sustained combat operations.”
He has also made comments regarding recruiting and the issues that they are currently having that have not please Rumsfeld and Co.
Posted by aolddad ● Tue 09 August 2005 19:29
Posts: 15 | Registered: Fri 21 May 2004
Thanks for insight, I am doing some digging in OS – the web.
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I can’t imagine anyone getting dressed down for his comment about permanent war. It’s a statement of fact and it’s consistent with statements from the White House. How many times did Bush use the word “war” in his recent statements explaining that we are still absolutely in a “war against terror.” We’re on a war time training schedule — accelerated. As for his statement about recruitment, while it may be impolitic, it’s a fact, and not one so controversial as to result in firing. The most key thing here, is that this guy was 4 months from retirement. If his performance was sub-par, even if his sexual behavior was shady, they would have been more likely to just run out the clock. They’re really pissed at this guy for some reason, and it’s not because of who he’s diddling. If they’d fired him and said it was because he was under-performing, it would have been more credible. The adultery charge reeks of cover story, imho.
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Maj. Gen. Kevin P. Byrnes, shown speaking at the Association of the U.S. Army’s annual meeting in Washington DC, last October.
Army Times Aug. 11, 2005 — A lawyer representing a four-star general has issued a statement aiming to quell rumors surrounding allegations that caused him to be relieved of command. Gen. Kevin P. Byrnes, commanding general of the Training and Doctrine Command (TRADOC) was fired Monday on allegations of an extramarital affair.
“The allegation against Gen. Byrnes involves a consensual, adult relationship with a woman who is not in the military, nor is a civilian employee of the military or the federal government,” according to an e-mail statement from Byrnes’s attorney, Lt. Col. David H. Robertson. “Gen. Byrnes has agreed to the release of this information,” said Robertson, an attorney in the Army’s Trial Defense Service.
A statement published on the Army’s official Web site Aug. 9 stated that “the investigation upon which this relief is based is undergoing further review to determine the appropriate final disposition of this matter.” The relief of Byrnes was directed by Army Chief of Staff, Gen. Peter J. Schoomaker.
“Gen. Byrnes and his wife separated in May 2004. They remained separated until their divorce became final on 8 Aug 2005,” Robertson wrote to Army Times, without indicating whether or not the couple had maintained separate residences after their separation. The Pentagon confirmed that the investigation was conducted by the Defense Department Inspector General’s office and handed down to the Army IG.
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So, it’s not even fraternization. This makes no sense, at all. A couple of things: There has been talk about prosecuting adultery more aggressively and fairly, in terms of rank. It could be argued that they are trying to set an example. However, I’m quite sure that there are far worse offenders they could go after, to make that point. There is also a rumor that he and Shoomaker don’t get along. However, most high ranking military don’t get along very well. It’s an extremely competitive environment, at that level. You’d have to really hate someone to try to torpedo their career, four months from retirement. Word is the reaction to this is largely bafflement. By all accounts Byrnes is a great guy, totally locked on, respected career officer. According to the scuttlebutt, he wasn’t even keeping the affair a secret. He was separated from his wife the entire time, until his divorce, and clearly, didn’t even think what he was doing was wrong. Does it violate the letter of the law? Yes. He was still legally married, so it was adultery. But, it’s not like he was violating the spirit of the law, as he was hardly sneaking around, cheating on his wife. This looks like one of those cases, where they wanted to get rid of him, and this was the only way they could do so under military law. There has to be more to this story, in my opinion.
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Please read my additional comment:
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This can’t be true – the attorney for 4 star Maj. Gen. Kevin P. Byrnes is David H. Robertson. Is he the son of ….. ?
Need to bet on membership of Skull & Bones and fraternity? Can someone find out, please.
A lengthy comment …
Posted in soj’s diary @ Daily Kos
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Thanks for explaining ‘data mining’ and ‘open source.’
This wonder of the world has two sides to it. It is available to citizens and it is available to governments for use against citizens.
I can imagine the size of the file the Feds have on Cindy Sheehan for example.
This is what Stuart Smalley rightly used to call “stinkin thinkin”.
Nothing could be further from the truth, saying I am a “monolith” and you are an “ape”. I wrote my first Diary on Kos somewhere in October or November 2003. It’s a pitiful Diary, but it constitutes my first attempt at “blogging”.
Since then I’ve written more than 2,000 articles all told. Some of them “masterpieces”, some of them quite horrible. I’m thankful that most of my biggest blunders occurred before anyone paid attention to me, or before I became a “monolith”.
As Stephen King says, there is no “test” or “bar” to pass to become a writer. You’re a writer the second you say you are, the second you put a single word on a single page, you are as much of a writer as Shakespeare or Hemingway or Booman.
As I tried to explain in my article, WE ARE ALL IN THIS TOGETHER. It is not about me becoming famous or notorious. It’s about ALL OF US working together. It’s about Boo and Susan and Jerome and myself as much as it is about kansas, wobblie, environmentalist, diane101, shirlstars, RubDMC, lapin, MITM and gilgamesh (every user!).
The commercial media is about dwindling down the number of voices until only the most powerful remain. The blogosphere is the INVERSE – the more voices the better. The more researchers the better. The more topics covered the better. The more analysis the better. The more investigations the better. The more limericks and photoshopped pictures and cartoons the better.
The blogosphere has FAILED if it seeks to copy a “top down” approach like the commercial media. It is the ultimate grassroots concept, where the power comes from the BOTTOM UP. Boo and Kos are two nerds sitting in a room talking to themselves (and their poor wives) without ALL OF US. They don’t have a lick of power by themselves, it’s in ALL OF OUR HANDS.
We need all hands on deck, even yours. ESPECIALLY yours. We need you to carry the message. We need you to talk to your friends and family and coworkers about what you see here. And we need you to write here so WE can carry the message.
We don’t need any kings or queens here. We need an army of “apes”, to borrow your term, howling on the streets and in the cubicles and in the break rooms and gymborees and cafeterias and cafes and bars and tattoo parlors and car dealers and libraries and gyms and beauty parlors and restaurants and grocery stores and picnics and backyard barbecues and dry cleaners until we get the government, the country and the world that we want.
Get off your ass and write you damn dirty ape, because we NEED you! 🙂
Pax
Ouch! (Rubs head.) What was that that fell out of the sky?
Hmmm. Bone. Hmmm. Tool…
Seriously, chastising accepted. Don’t worry, your point that we’re all in this together, that the blogosphere isn’t (or shouldn’t be) about “stars” and “hoi polloi” was clear as could be in the original piece. I worried — not enough, obviously! — that my little expression of admiration ran counter to that spirit.
I hope I can be in awe of your work, nevertheless, and consider it a kind of thing I can’t conceive of myself approximating — as you mention, it’s a product of (among other things) professional experience very different from my own — without committing myself to the view that I have nothing to contribute.
Since I do have so little knowledge of and background in politics, history, international relations, etc., I’m still trying to figure out what I can contribute to places like this aside from the occasional dumb quip. Guess I’ve got to work harder.
So, I’m taking your words to heart. Thanks for the inspiration. And consider this simian well-flogged, in a way that’s entirely salutory.
…the blogosphere isn’t (or shouldn’t be) about “stars” and “hoi polloi” …
Actually, I think the point is that it should come from “hoi polloi“. Hoi polloi is Greek for “the many.” It refers to the masses and common people. Please don’t think I’m picking on you. I point it out because yours has become the more common interpretation. It’s one of those fascinating cases where a term takes on an idiomatic meaning that is its exact opposite.
I know all about the reversal of meaning for “hoi polloi.” I actually was using it in the original sense; what I was trying to say was that the blogosphere should not be divided into two classes, the elite and the “many” (in a pejorative sense).
A personal note: After I did learn about “hoi polloi,” I went through a period where I could never keep straight on which was the appropriate usage. I gave myself a rule: it’s the opposite of what you’re instinctively inclined to think it is. As you can imagine, over time this led to considerable confusion.
Oh, I see. You meant it to read more like “stars” vs “hoi polloi.” Got it. I really do find it fascinating, though. It’s not just a wrong usage, like when people use “begging the question” to mean “raising the question.” It’s an exact reversal. Language is first and foremost a reflection of culture, and I think it makes and interesting commentary, when we completely invert something like that.
It is interesting. Think of “decimate,” also.
100 years ago, Teddy Roosevelt was spurred to action by the stories brought to light by muckrakers. Today’s MSM has largely forgotten its muckraking heritage, so it is up to us to step in and fill that void. The Internet gives us the tool we need to rake the muck, and the forum we need to share what we’ve raked.
So remember: Data Mining = Muck Raking 2.0
Now we just need a Teddy Roosevelt 2.0 to come along and take up the mantle of today’s progressive movement. Who could fill those shoes? Boxer? Conyers? Obama? Schweitzer?