Adam Nagourney has a piece up at the New York Times that demonstrates the disarray of the Democrats in Washington, D.C.
Democrats said they had not yet figured out how to counter the White House’s long assault on their national security credentials. And they said their opportunities to break through to voters with a coherent message on domestic and foreign policy — should they settle on one — were restricted by the lack of an established, nationally known leader to carry their message this fall.
As a result, some Democrats said, their party could lose its chance to do to Republicans this year what the Republicans did to them in 1994: make the midterm election, normally dominated by regional and local concerns, a national referendum on the party in power.
It is essential that the Democrats turn the midterm elections into a national referendum on the Bush administration and the culture of corruption in the Republican Congress. It is also essential that the Democrats provide a coherent alternative on foreign policy and security. And there is one more thing we have to do. We have to develop a positive program.
“I think that two-thirds of the American people think the country is going in the wrong direction,” ” said Senator Barack Obama, the first-term Illinois Democrat who is widely viewed as one of the party’s promising stars. “They’re not sure yet whether Democrats can move it in the right direction.”
Mr. Obama said the Democratic Party had not seized the moment, adding: “We have been in a reactive posture for too long. I think we have been very good at saying no, but not good enough at saying yes.”
There is no question that progressives think that Obama has it exactly wrong. We have been very bad at saying no, and too good at saying yes. Yes to the war in Iraq, yes to the promotions of the architects of that war and the abusive policies of the global war on terror (Wolfowitz, Rice, Negroponte, Goss, Gonzales), yes to Roberts, yes to Alito, yes to the bankruptcy bill, etc.
But, I don’t think that is what Obama meant. He meant that we have not articulated an alternative to Bush’s policies. So, here is my advice.
The trick in setting out a broad set of priorities is to wrap them all up into a larger meta theme. The theme can be called the Culture of Corruption. It has a good alliterative ring to it and it can be attached to every policy that we want to emphasize.
The Democrats have two major hurdles to overcome. We must address the budget deficits, and it is never popular to campaign on raising taxes. In order to campaign on budgetary sanity, you have to have specific programs that you aim to cut.
Making matters more difficult, the Democrats are vulnerable to attacks on our commitment to national security. This makes a campaign to cut defense spending problematic. The solution?
On National Security:
We need to focus on the billions of dollars of waste, the corruption in military contracting, and the billions of dollars that have simply gone missing in Iraq. The Democrats need to focus like a laser on the irresponsible fiscal management at the Pentagon.
Before we even start to talk about rolling back the military budget, we first have to get value for the budget that we have.
How much could we raise soldier’s pay, and veteran’s benefits in medical care, psychological services, and pensions, if we had less waste and corruption in the Pentagon?
With improved compensation and benefits we can improve recruitment and retention for our armed forces. This will reverse the trend towards accepting low quality recruits and promoting undeserving soldiers, and improve the quality of the military.
Domestic Policy:
The same strategy can be utilized when it comes to discussing domestic programs. Rather than emphasizing new programs, we need to concentrate on getting a better bang for the buck that we are already spending. We need to focus on improving the Medicare prescription drug program by allowing the Government to negotiate bulk purchases from the pharmaceutical companies. This all ties into the problem of lobbyists like Jack Abramoff having too much influence over public policy.
Even though Americans don’t want to pay for government programs, they do notice when programs are slashed. Once again, we can take any number of domestic programs (health, education, environment) that have had budget cuts and point out how many people could have benefited with the money that has been lost to waste and corruption.
On Taxes:
Considering the extent of our budgetary problems, we cannot avoid discussing taxes. We have to raise them. Raising taxes is never popular. We should start out by saying two things. Before we even consider raising taxes we are going to clean up waste and prevent Bush’s biggest giveaways from becoming permanent. When this is done, we’ll see where we are and determine whether more revenue will be required. Above all, we want emphasize that balanced budgets are important and that a responsible government does not finance itself on the backs of children.
If we are forced to discuss raising taxes we should color it as an issue of patriotism. Never before has this country fought in foreign wars without the citizens making sacrifices. We have no draft, we have no rations, the least we can do is help pay for a war that costs more than a billion dollars a week to fight.
On Iraq:
We must emphasize the lies that were told about Iraq as a way to drive home the overall picture of this administration as dishonest and irresponsible. We also have to dwell on the incompetence of the plan, and the cost of the war. We need to point out how detrimental to our interests the war has been in all phases: economic, moral standing, diplomatic, incitement, etc. But, we cannot do all of this without offering a plan to get out of Iraq and to repair the damage that had been done. We will probably never reach a consensus on Iraq, but the Murtha Plan is something most Democrats can rally around.
When discussing a drawdown in Iraq it is best to change the subject. This is not because we cannot articulate a strategy (the Murtha Plan is a strategy), but because we cannot force the administration to incorporate our ideas. There is no point in dwelling on a plan that has no hope of implementation. This is especially true when the plan is really an acknowledgment of defeat. We want to get off this turf as quickly as possible.
One way to deflect attention from our impotency over this subject is to attack the leadership in the Pentagon. After six years of incompetence, corruption, waste, and lies, Donald Rumsfeld is no longer a credible partner for setting policy. If President Bush will acknowledge the pathetic performance of his Pentagon and appoint a new Defense Secretary that has bipartisan support, then we can actually regain the trust and confidence to work constructively with this administration to extract ourselves from Iraq.
On Iran:
We are in a pickle over Iran. There is a bipartisan consensus that anti-proliferation is a valid and important priority that is critical for protecting our security. There is still a consensus in favor of anti-proliferation in the UN Security Council. Some on the left feel that the major powers have no inherent right to have a monopoly on nuclear weapons. This is especially true now that Israel, India, Pakistan, and North Korea have nukes. It is seen as either arrogant or hypocritical to dictate to other countries what kind of weapons they can possess.
No matter the merits, the Democrats cannot take this viewpoint to the voters. The Bush administration has support for its anti-proliferation efforts from Europe. China and Russia are emphasizing diplomatic solutions to the issue, but they do not question the fundamental principles that undergird anti-proliferation.
Lastly, and most importantly, Bush can defeat any arguments for inaction with one simple sentence: “They want a nuclear weapon and they want to wipe Israel off the map.” No amount of rhetoric can overcome that one talking point.
Facing that reality is the best policy. All efforts need to be directed at encouraging a diplomatic solution. The Democrats should support the Russian initiative, where they will provide nuclear power but will take the spent uranium out of Iran.
If a military solution becomes inevitable, the Dems need to emphasize that we need to proceed cautiously and in full consultation with our European allies. We cannot repeat the same mistakes that we made in the lead-up to the Iraq war.
In my personal opinion, I cannot imagine a plausible military solution to Iran’s nuclear ambitions. At least, I can’t imagine a solution that would be lasting short of obliterating the whole country with our own nuclear weapons. But, that is for the military planners to decide. Democrats running for office need not focus on military plans. They need only to demonstrate a shared commitment to preventing Iran from getting a nuclear device.
On Terrorism:
The Democrats should develop a whole program to deal with the problem of terrorism. It should involve nearly every agency of government. Each agency should be given a set of tasks and priorities. Energy should work on reducing our dependency of foreign oil and gas. Treasury, DEA, and ATF should work on the financing of terrorist organizations. FEMA and OHS should work on protecting ports, tunnels, bridges, and chemical plants. State should develop a serious program of cross-cultural exchanges, including conferences, seminars, sponsored trips, etc. Health and Human Services should work on solutions for chem/bio attacks. And so on. The comprehensive plan should be printed up in a booklet and carried around by all our candidates.
Miscellaneous:
There are two major ways to reach out to traditionally Republican voters. The 1994 Republican Revolution was fueled on anger about corruption in Washington and high budget deficits. We need to hammer these same points. But we also have a new issue: civil liberties.
Libertarians are budget hawks and they are opposed to domestic surveillance. The Democrats need to take full advantage of the confluence of interests between themselves and libertarian Republicans.
These are just some of my ideas for the upcoming campaign.
Isn’t Ad Nags a demonstrably anti-Dem writer?
See Atrios: Ad Naggery
While I think your analysis of what Dems could be saying is on point, I’d shy away from giving anything Nagourney says any sort of credence.
I don’t care about Adam’s biases in this case. I care about the quotes by the Dems. I considered them a cry for help.
or an early…”woe is me”..capitulation…No mas.
Truly a a pathetic lack of leadership,foresight or aspiration.
Peace
There’s too much here to comment on completely.
I applaud the effort to begin to define the Democratic message for ’06, even though, at first glance, there seems to be a lot here I disagree with.
I have been ruminating about the same things recently (as, I’m sure, have others), and hope to have a diary up in the next week or so with MY thoughts.
One small comment now, though:
On raising taxes, I think the message is that the majority of people in the country now believe that the Bush tax cuts have overly benefitted the rich. The tax raising that Dems should be promoting should be to roll back this rich-people’s welfare, and have them pay their FAIR share of the tax burden of this country.
I think this message has greater potential resonance than the “patriotism” angle.
as an observer of politics for quite some time, I have never witnessed a call for higher taxes on any American, no matter how rich, as anything but an anvil on the prospects of a politican.
Huey Long is long gone.
However, questioning the patriotism of someone who would contribute nothing while our soldiers hump it through the desert dodging IED’s has a lot of resonance.
(and a little self-pity) I have been observing politics a hell of a lot longer than you have.
Bernie Sanders — an avowed SOCIALIST — is a freakin GOD in Vermont, which, despite its national rep as a bastion of liberalism, has a hard-core rural conservative population. Those rural conservatives love Bernie, and have consistently voted for him, because he constantly talks about how the government favors the rich, the corporations, and the well-to-do, and how that favoritism hurts the poor and middle-class.
Economic issues resonate with socially conservative, working-class people. Working-class people hate it when rich people get the breaks, and they get the shaft. Most people recognize, now, that is what the Bush tax cuts did.
Democrats should say so, and should promise to rectify it.
The Democratic message to working-class voters is that we will force the rich to pay their fair share of taxes, so you don’t have to pay their share for them.
You say raising taxes is a political anvil, but you’re proposing to raise taxes, too. What we’re arguing about is the best way to sell the idea.
Very VERY few people view paying taxes as a patriotic act. Most people see it as a burden. I think the message that rich people should shoulder their share of that burden is a message that resonates with working-class voters.
well, I could disagree with you, but I don’t disagree.
It is all about context. Kerry attempted to be very clear that he intended to raise taxes only on people that make over $200,000 a year, and that was fairly effective at blunting criticism that he was big-taxing librul.
But, on the other hand, it didn’t win him many votes, if any.
The point here is that we don’t want to focus on raising taxes. We want to focus on corruption, waste, lobbyists getting corporate welfare, politicians getting special earmarks, no-bid contracts, money laundering, politicians taking bribes. So, when they accuse of wanting to raise taxes we don’t respond by agreeing, but by referring our menu and picking a selection that demonstrates how much money is being wasted or ill-used. So, we promise to reform the way the government spends money as a higher priority than raising taxes.
After a while, the GOP will get tired of getting hit with that and will stop raising the tax issue at all.
Don’t mention the T-word at all!
If the Republican brings it up, our candidates should reply “I haven’t said a word about raising taxes. But if taxes have to go up, it’s no wonder, with all the corruption, waste, lobbyists getting corporate welfare, politicians getting special earmarks, no-bid contracts, money laundering, and politicians taking bribes that my opponent and his party brought to our nation’s capital!”
They’ll drop the issue really fast if we maintain discipline and use exactly that response, every time they bring it up.
Fine, don’t mention taxes. We got a several hundred gazillion dollar national debt. How we gonna pay it? We just pretend it doesn’t exist? I thought this was supposed to be the reality-based community.
Democrats said, their party could lose its chance to do to Republicans this year what the Republicans did to them in 1994
They lost that chance around 1988 when the end of the fairness doctrine permitted the public square to be run as the private property of Republicans. Today’s Republicans own the public square and they own grassroots activism–the pulpit–which outnumbers the liberal blogosphere probably 10:1.
One of the main reasons we have a problem devising a message is that plenty of our leaders recognize full well the more fundamental problem we have communicating to anyone.
Adam Nagourney’s piece doesn’t demonstrate anything but his consistency in attacking Democrats.
Sure, we Democrats have issues to deal with regarding public perception of national security. But Adam Nagourney has nothing but Republican talking points to spew in this matter.
You could posted this article without mentioning Adam Nagourney, because the rest of it is on target.
We have stop letting folks like Adam Nagourney and Jodi Wilgoren dictate what we think are issues in the Democratic Party. After all we can see for ourselves.
Who are you going to believe? Adam Nagourney or your own eyes?
All this beltway CW about Dems needing new ideas is all just part of the plan to goad us into proposing things that the thugs can rip on – thus making the election about the Dems rather than the GOP.
And while I agree that we should take stands on defending things like SS, health care and a sensible foreign policy, but we should NOT get bogged down in trying to come up with specific proposals whose details the corporate media can waste time picking on. Besides, everyone knows that whatever the Dems propose has not a snowball’s chance in Hell of passing until Bush is out of office, so why kid that it does?
Intead, we just need to keep hammering that the Republicans have gone off the deep end, and are destroying the Constitution, Civil Liberties, the economy, the Armed Forces, the Social Safety net, the Budget, you name it – in essence, the moral, political, economic and social fabric of this country.
We need to keep repeating this message of GOP destruction, loud and clear and without equivocation, over and over and over to whatever audience happens to care about the specific issue we want to use as an example on a given day. And we keep on this theme from now until election day so that everyone understands exactly what the overarching issue of the 2006 campaign really is: THEM.
So forget about policy proposals that everyone knows are going nowhere. For 2006, keep the theme simple and to the point:
Stop the Bleeding. Vote Democratic.
Do I remember this topic on the list?
It really is a shame you posted this today when people’s attention was … elsewhere. These are the kinds of things that we need to spend time discussing.
One of the things I did tonight was go to a DFA candidate’s forum. It was mostly for state legislature candidates but it did include two candidates for the 2nd US congressional district here. It was good to read this after hearing them speak.
I agree with you that Obama was saying that we can’t just keep saying no, no, no to Bush’s policies, we have to have some of our own. He just didn’t say it well. We hold our candidates to such high standards. We hold them to the gold standard — the once in a lifetime Barack Obama convention speech. Hell, even Barack Obama can’t live up to that standard. How can we expect the ordinary candidates, the former computer programmer running for congress, to articulate a message? That’s why we SHOULD be taking the time to talk about the message among ourselves.
You cover so many topics that I can’t possibly take them in, brain dead as I am tonight. But it seems part of your proposed message is that irresponsible fiscal management, whether from incompetence or from corruption or both, is the direct reason for the drastic loss of security in all aspects of American life — military security, healthcare security, job security, the security of upward mobility through education?
And what the democrats offer is greater security because we won’t be wasting or stealing American resources, we’ll be spending them on the types of programs that keep Americans safe. Which gives us the opportunity to talk about all the great programs we want to talk about.
Or am I putting words in your mouth because that’s part of what I was thinking when the candidates tonight described the types of concerns they were hearing from the people of the districts they wanted to represent?
In any event, I think I part company with you on taxes. We have to avoid talking about taxes or we don’t win.
The rest, including Iran and Terrorism will have to wait until I can be more focused.
I think I mentioned that we needed a strategy for talking about taxes, and that strategy is to change the subject.
But thank you for your kind words. I would have noticed the furor on the site a lot sooner if I hadn’t been writing this piece, and I would have known it was a bad time to publish it.
Booman, this is not a bad time to publish this. We need to be drawn back to theses issues, now, and again, and again.
Whatever the issues, the appeal has to be strong, emotional, and fearless. The problem with Kerry’s stance on taxes was not that he wanted to raise taxes on the wealthiest, but that he was astonishingly unable to speak to ordinary people – and his campaign staff, until the likes of Mike Deaver came aboard near the end, did not help him with this.
Dems will be hammered about taxes whether or not we say anything as a policy. I think the candidates should say something like, “well, as for taxes, it hardly seems fair that almost all of the reduction in taxes (maybe give a percentage?) under this administration/favored by my opponent /etc. have gone to the likes of __(someone like Paris Hilton), and not to people like Sgt. ___(pick some military person who has been fighting in Iraq and who is willing to be mentioned. And have other such names at the ready. People who will arouse the sympathy of voters.) Yes, this sounds manipulative, and it is. But in a progressive direction.
All of the other issue you mention I agree with, but I would add in education and the utter corruption that has taken place there, too.
The issue is not to harp on waste – which sounds like a Grover Norquist “cut it to the bone, drown in the bathtub” approach, but harp on the deliberate incompetence, cronyism, and corruption.
And emphasize this: America was built on people, quite different peoples, who came together for the common good. We cared about each other, helped each other out, leaned on each other, and trusted each other. The Republicans have set groups against group, rich against poor, tearing apart the common good that built this country and still makes it great. We saw that in New Orleans, we see that in the same group of soldiers being sent in again and again to carry out a fight that was sold to us with lies. We see in taking away a chance at college education and health care for children. Those things are destroying the basic trust that Americans have toward each other and toward our government. Vote Democratic for the Common Good.
Oh, this does sound like “world, waiting for the sunrise” I know. I’ll climb down off my soapbox now and go to bed for the night.
I still think the old biys had it right. The Dems offer
You have TOO MANY WORDS for most voters. Voters are busy trying to manage this hell they have built for all of us.
I’m pretty sure he wasn’t thinking the candidate should read this to the voters.
I think background work like this is important so that the short pithy phrases candidates come up with actually have meaning behind them.
One of the candidates last night did use the phrase “culture of corruption” a few times, but she just threw them in without any context. Where she was really effective was when she talked about the effect that Medicaid cuts was having on her 94 year old mother. You could tell that came from the heart and she had thought long and hard about it.