We hear it all the time. From Bush himself. Or from “moderate” Republican Congresscritters. And also from polls or from Condi Rice, John McCain, talking meatsticks and various wingnuts.
The obvious question though, is: What is “winning” in Iraq?
With moving targets as to why we illegally invaded in the first place, as well as every conceivable tactical mistake, wrong decision or willful actions that led us to this point – a point where there there was a healthy discussion amongst us kossacks as to whether this was more like a civil war or the beginnings of genocide – there is nobody that I know of that can even give a rough description of what “winning” or what “victory” or what “finish the mission” even means.
It can’t be disarming Saddam from his WMDs since we all know that (1) none have been found, (2) every expert says he stopped the WMD programs before the illegal invasion, (2) we stopped our own search well over a year ago, and of course, we know that the “facts were being fixed around the policy” and that Wolfowitz himself said that WMD was a reason that everyone could settle on as far as justification for the illegal invasion.
It can’t be the fact that Saddam was captured, because if that were the case, we would have been out of Iraq for nearly three years now.
And what about that democratically elected “unity government” in Iraq? Even if we could say that was a goal, we have reports of torture and “detainee abuse” continuing under Iraqi police custody. As for the citizens of Iraq, well that government of theirs isn’t doing such a hot job of protecting them from being driven out of their homes. Or how their actions are being accused by our troops of “trying to keep Iraq divided”, which most certainly is not “standing up”.
Of course, this also ignores basic history with wondrous thoughts of Sunnis and Shiites laying down their divisions and anger towards each other to suddenly come together for “the greater good” (whatever that means to each group), hold hands and sing kumbaya because King George waved his “magic democracy wand” over the region.
How about giving the Iraqi people a better life – you know “winning the hearts and minds”? Well, there is that “small matter” of the Iraqi water and sanitation problems. And the lack of consistent electricity. Not to mention the widespread unemployment or the huge increase in child sickness.
But, even with that, there is still love, right? Riiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiight. In the past, marriage or romance between Sunnis and Shiites, which was pretty common is now something that not only do people fear doing, but are even breaking up their prior marriages out of fear:
For decades, marriages between Sunnis and Shiites in Iraq were as ordinary as the daily call to prayer. But the sectarian warfare gripping the country has created a powerful barrier to Sunni-Shiite romances.
Married couples have filed for divorce rather than face the scorn of their neighbors. Fiances have split up as a result of death threats.
What about that whole “spreading freedom” thing that we hear so much about? Well, based on this, or this, or this, and this, that whole “freedom” thing isn’t looking too good either.
What about the completely laughable (but just as scary) “beacon of democracy to transform the Middle East”? Well, as Josh Marshall pointed out a few years back the opposite was more likely the neocon war criminals plan. Iran is developing a nuclear program. North Korea (albeit not in the “neighborhood”) just tested a nuclear weapon. Pakistan (our newest best friend) recently said it would welcome Bin Laden. Afghanistan is now a complete disaster again. Lebanon is a mess. Syria is probably “next” on Bush’s list of “countries I’d most like to invade” (after Iran, of course). The list goes on and on and on. And on.
As for Iraq being the “central front in the war on terror” so we don’t have to fight them over here, well we all know that Iraq wasn’t associated with Al Qaeda, the attacks on 9/11, or a “haven for terrorists and terrorist organizations”. That is, until this illegal invasion and occupation made it the training ground that it is. Not just for the attacks in Spain, London, Bali or anywhere else. But also for the Taliban, who are now using similar tactics that Al Qaeda uses, where the Taliban did not use those tactics in the past. And also for any other terrorist-wannabe, whether it be a potential future domestic terrorist or a potential foreign terrorist.
Notice how I left out any reference to oil. Because, even that is a complete disaster, as oil fields are being attacked regularly, the prices are not dropping (other than artificially), and we were never going to control the Iraqi oil fields to begin with.
But with all of the possible (and I am sure that I left a few out) reasons for this ass backwards of an invasion and occupation, and all of the possible ways that one can even roughly define what a “victory” would be, a few things are perfectly clear:
This administration had and still has no clue as to what they are doing, even if chaos is their goal. There is no “course” to stay. There is no “path to democracy”. These are not “birth pangs”. And with all of the talk about “accepting nothing less than total victory”, nobody can even say what “victory” would even look like.
Let alone any attempt at saving face and not making things even worse than they already are. And “face saving” or “not screwing up even more than we already have” is not even a small victory.
in orange
We lost Iraq on Jan, 21, 2001. This adm has always wanted to invade Iraq since day one. When we went in in 03, that was the real loosing of this war with that country. There was better ways of doing this changing of the régime. We have just been in that country to cause as much havoc as much as we can. There is not government or goal for anything…So……we lost a lonnnnnnng time ago.
Winning in Iraq is what it’s always been to Dubya. Grab the Iraqi oilfields, get them in production, and pipeline that oil the hell out of Iraq.
Dubya doesn’t care if the Iraqis exterminate each other if he can get the oil to flow. If the various Iraqi factions didn’t agree on making sure they blow up whatever part of the Iraqi oil infrastructure Halliburton fixes as soon as Halliburton fixes it, Bush wouldn’t even be having discussion one with any Iraqis. Bush is only talking to Iraqis because the Iraqi oil fields have been reduced to piles of flaming wreckage.
Winning, in a real sense, would be getting out without unleashing an absolute vortex of destruction. That is what we face and it will be difficult to avoid. Therefore, getting our troops out while avoiding that outcome is victory.
Biggest problem: The ultra modern, super defendable fortress-bases the US Military has constructed and that, if we leave, someone else will have.
Oops.
It is always a little eerie to hear the lies be spoken in this ad..which is very old.
http://www.bushin30seconds.org/150/view.html?ad_id=1265
However, there is no exit stragety. We get the say old crap..stay the course, we will win, and from Sen. Jim Talent we get the menu comments: “Saddam was an organic threat”. “The Iraqis military needs more “seasoning”.
They have no shame…I wonder if Rummy is still using that auto pen to sign letters to the family of dead American soldiers.
…winning will be when Mister Bush says we have won.
But let’s ask the question of those of us who opposed this war/occupation from before it even started: What would we call winning: Out Now? Redeployment to Kurdistan? Staving off an attack on Iran? On Korea? Developing and implementing an entirely new paradigm of American foreign policy based neither on Baker-Kissinger-Scowcroft realpolitik or, obviously, hegemonic Neo Imp “idealism”?
Not enough troops to do anything in Iran or Korea or Iraq. Maybe we need to do a “governing dynmaics” model on Iraq, but history tells us what happen to the British/..partition.
good question. I don’t know what I would call “winning” at this point. Maybe it just has gotten to be “not getting our asses kicked in every conceivable way” anymore.
It’s almost like seeing a scoreboard at a football game where we are getting beat 40-6 and there is still 13 minutes to go in the 3rd quarter.