Spring keeps coming earlier each year. Why you ask? Well, I bet you all can answer that question, being the smart and well informed people that you are, but for the rare and random drive-by reader who is unaware of what’s causing my nasal passages to swell with mucous, here it is:
Washington’s famous Japanese cherry trees are primed to burst out in a perfect pink peak about the end of this month. Thirty years ago, the trees usually waited to bloom till around April 5.
In central California, the first of the field skipper sachem, a drab little butterfly, was fluttering about on March 12. Just 25 years ago, that creature predictably emerged there anywhere from mid-April to mid-May.
And sneezes are coming earlier. On March 9, when allergist Dr. Donald Dvorin set up his monitor in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, maple pollen already was heavy in the air. Less than two decades ago, that pollen couldn’t be measured until late April. […]
“The alarm clock that all the plants and animals are listening to is running too fast,” Stanford University biologist Terry Root said.
Blame global warming.
The fingerprints of man-made climate change are evident in seasonal timing changes for thousands of species on Earth, according to dozens of studies and last year’s authoritative report by the Nobel Prize-awarded international climate scientists. More than 30 scientists told The Associated Press how global warming is affecting plants and animals at springtime across the country, in almost every state.
What is happening is so noticeable that scientists can track it from space. Satellites measuring when land turns green found that spring “green-up” is arriving eight hours earlier every year on average since 1982 in the northeastern United States.
And the time to do something to halt this inevitable catastrophe for our planet is quickly running out:
(cont.)
“Paleoclimate evidence and ongoing global changes imply that today’s CO2, about 385 ppm, is already too high to maintain the climate to which humanity, wildlife, and the rest of the biosphere are adapted,” [James Hansen, NASA climate scientist] writes, with eight co-authors, in a draft paper that has not been accepted for publication. Policy makers had aimed to slow carbon emissions so that the concentration does not reach 450 parts per million, or ppm, double the pre-industrial concentration.
“Realization that we must reduce the current CO2 amount has a bright side: effects that had begun to seem inevitable, including impacts of ocean acidification, loss of fresh water supplies, and shifting of climatic zones, may be averted by the necessity of finding an energy course beyond fossil fuels sooner than would otherwise have occurred,” Hansen writes. “We suggest an initial objective of reducing atmospheric CO2 to 350 ppm, with the target to be adjusted as scientific understanding and empirical evidence of climate effects accumulate.” […]
“The most difficult task, phase-out over the next 20-25 years of coal use that does not capture CO2, is herculean, yet feasible when compared with the efforts that went into World War II,” Hansen writes. “The stakes, for all life on the planet, surpass those of any previous crisis. The greatest danger is continued ignorance and denial, which could make tragic consequences unavoidable.”
In short we need to roll back our carbon levels to those not seen since 1988 if we want to prevent a global die off of monumental proportions. It means an end to selfish, narcissistic thinking. It demands global cooperation, not delay and obfuscation. It requires us to rethink the way in which we live our lives:
We need to conserve energy. That’s the cheapest way to reduce carbon. Screw in the energy-saving lightbulbs, but that’s just the start. You have to blow in the new insulation — blow it in so thick that you can heat your home with a birthday candle. You have to plug in the new appliances — not the flat-screen TV, which uses way more power than the old set, but the new water-saving front-loading washer. And once you’ve got it plugged in, turn the dial so that you’re using cold water. The dryer? You don’t need a dryer — that’s the sun’s job.
We need to generate the power we use cleanly. Wind is the fastest growing source of electricity generation around the world — but it needs to grow much faster still. Solar panels are increasingly common — especially in Japan and Germany, which are richer in political will than they are in sunshine. Much of the technology is now available; we need innovation in financing and subsidizing more than we do in generating technology.We need to change our habits — really, we need to change our sense of what we want from the world.
Do we want enormous homes and enormous cars, all to ourselves? If we do, then we can’t deal with global warming. Do we want to keep eating food that travels 1,500 miles to reach our lips? Or can we take the bus or ride a bike to the farmers’ market? Does that sound romantic to you? Farmers’ markets are the fastest growing part of the American food economy; their heaviest users may be urban-dwelling immigrants, recently enough arrived from the rest of the world that they can remember what actual food tastes like. Which leads to the next necessity:
This is the problem we face. A world where we need to stop increasing carbon emissions by 3% each year, and start decreasing them, immediately. We need to use less electricity until we can find non-carbon emitting alternatives. We need, perhaps more than anything, the political will to demand our leaders take this threat seriously, or at least as seriously as we take celebrity gossip and the latest electronic gizmo that everyone must have.
For what you can do to leave a smaller carbon footprint, may I suggest clicking on the links found in Egarwaen’s recommended diary The Choice We Have to Make. They give you a wealth of information about what can be done by ordinary citizens to begin to address this problem. And one thing we can do is insist our Presidential candidates make this issue a priority, because regardless of whether you are a diehard Clinton supporter or an Obamamaniac, we need both Democratic candidates to promise that reducing carbon emissions will be job one whichever one takes office next year. Time is running out. Let’s not waste any more of it.
Thanks for making a front-page post about this, Steven. Global warming’s a serious issue, but it’s also something that we can all do something about. Frankly, we North Americans waste a lot of power. Europeans, on average, use half as much power per person, and their real standard of living’s no lower. Taking action on climate change probably won’t hurt the economy either, and will definitely hurt the economy less than the current mess on Wall Street.
The question at this point isn’t “why should we take action?” but “why aren’t we already taking action?”
For even more fuel for thought, Treehugger compares the direct economic impact of military spending, education spending, health care spending, and public transit spending.
Your diary reminded me to do another GCC post. I try to do one a week, but sometimes I forget.
And we need to stop driving unnecessary trips. Got some errands to do? Rather than come and go three times, organize them into one outing.
Have an option to take a bus or train to work (or, should you be so lucky, walk or bike to work)? Do it.
Even the water you drink has an energy thumbprint. Energy is used to purify your water, as well as to heat it. (Or cool it, if you have to get it from your refrigerator.) The less water you consume, the more energy is conserved.
People say yeah, but we need something really BIG. The problem is, what we need are literally billions of people doing something small. That will have more of an effect on our planet more quickly than the big ideas already on the table.
I’ve also started taking my own bags to the grocery store. Less plastic equals not only less waste floating around between the California Coast and Hawaii, but less energy to make. Why kill a tree or strangle a seal when you can buy a bag for a buck or two and reuse it for months?
Oh, it gets much better. AlterNet came up with this hummerhttp://www.alternet.org/healthwellness/80129/
There’s lots more, of course, though I still wonder if the ideas posted in The Ergosphere couldn’t help salvage the mess. I had a bee on about DU and I think it was you kept hoping something would break. Hm.
http://peaceinspace.blogs.com/nuclear_free_zone/
I have an autoimmune disorder, believed by my doctor to be TRAPS, but who really knows. My daughter has asthma. Doctors know about this epidemic, as do the insurance companies, but the media is forever silent.
BTW While I’m wreaking havoc with the thread of your post, you might as well check out
http://politicsnpoetry.wordpress.com/
The posts may be dated a few months – I’ve had some fun things wreck my blogging routines – but I saw stuff about uranium extraction and nuclear contamination at this site that should have made the public address system. Too bad it’s been sabotaged.
http://my.opera.com/oldephartte/blog/
The problem here is that nuclear reactors, specifically breeder reactors, are basically our only choice if we want to maintain anything even remotely resembling our average modern power consumption. Coal, natural gas, petroleum – none of these are realistic options, since they all release far too much carbon per watt generated. Nuclear isn’t carbon-free, but a well-designed nuclear reactor generates far more watts per ton of carbon than any non-renewable alternative.
Using entirely renewables would be nice, but renewables simply can’t grow that quickly, and there might not be enough capacity there without, say, space-based solar. Look at the graphs and numbers in the slides I link to, keeping in mind that these are coming from Saul Griffith, who owns, among other things, a renewable energy company. (Makani, focused on high-altitude wind) He’s not exactly a mindless nuclear-booster. Unless something radically changes in the next five to ten years, we basically have two choices:
Me? I choose option #2. Of course, this needs to be combined with efficiency improvements and lifestyle changes (as Saul documents in the rest of his slides). And of course, this entire discussion might be made obsolete by future developments in science and technology. In the meantime, we need to make the best possible choices based on the information available to us. And right now, that means nuclear. Yes, nuclear has very real issues that need to be dealt with (waste, safety standards, monitoring, etc) but it’s still better than fossil fuel methods.
(I apologize in advance for this screed if your post wasn’t intended to be anti-nuclear.)