I think it’s safe to say that the polls mean very little. Turnout looks very high in Obama’s main areas.
In Philadelphia, turnout is reportedly “very heavy,” said Abe Amoros, the executive director of the state Democratic Party. In the counties surrounding Philadelphia, including Bucks, Delaware, Montgomery and Chester, most polling stations have reported long lines.
The Democratic primary election in 2004 saw a 26 percent turnout, but this year promises to be much higher, Mr. Amoros said.
Turnout in Philly and the Burbs will determine the outcome. In 2004, Kerry beat Bush in Philadelphia Co. 542,000-130,000, for a 412,000 margin. In the 2002 gubernatorial primary, Rendell beat Casey 224,000-61,000, for a 163,000 margin. Kerry and Rendell each got about 80% of the vote, but with higher turnout Kerry netted an extra 250,000 votes.
The higher the turnout overall the better for Obama, because his areas are the most populated areas.
Where are they???
Are you going to DL? I have my computer, and I need a beer.
I’m wondering who is going to DL too. Is it worth the effort to drive in or will folks just disappear to a party . . . .
no idea. I’m dropping by for a beer or two, then going home to work in the garden.
A victory garden?
a victory party. I know of no other events goin on.
I’ve got a thread on my neighborhood (Northern Liberties, Philly) message board inquiring about turnout:
http://pub50.bravenet.com/forum/4226496069/show/629159
So far, the word is good turn out, not overwhelming, no lines.
Remember in Philly, kids were not in school today, so some parents may be waiting until relief arrives home to get to the polls.
I voted at 2 pm in Chester Cty. At that point 35% of the registered dems had already voted and 14% of the thugs. No lines then but it was an odd time. There will be lots more when parents come to pick up their kids and after regular work hours.
man I hope you’re right because after those “I’ll obliterate Iran” comments, I want Clinton’s goose to be cooked.
Shit, i want that goose charred to a crisp.
Yes, burned.
incinerated to ashes.
And then I want those ashes to be pulverized into their constituent atoms.
and encased.
Alright, guys, you’re starting to worry me. You almost sound like Republicans.
yes, b/c Clinton has been deploying the Rove Playbook. Who’s more a rethug?
downed Penn’s poison for desert. And she hears voices too.
Imho McCain is scared to go up against Clinton. She out drank him.
let’s leave it at that.
You better be smilin’ when you say that, stranger. 🙂
Encased in a lead coffin and buried in the shadow of a church underneath the full moon. With garlic.
don’t forget the wooden cross and silver bullet while you’re at it.
And then sold on eBay as the “Ghost of a Chance”!
via Duncan, a post from Matt Stoller led me to his twitter account, which game me my favorite line from yesterday:
http://twitter.com/matthewstoller/statuses/793717980
Guardian UK reporter on the ground reports Obama campaign materials includes DVDs.
Wonder where I can get me one o’ them DVDs.
And you gotta love that smoke screen about “a state a Democrat has to win.” Just because she wins the state now doesn’t mean he can’t win it in November, and even if this were Magical Thinking Land and she were to win the nomination in August, a victory in the primary here doesn’t mean she will take the state against McCain.
I’m so tired of this, and I’m not the only one. Yesterday I met up with our PCO on the bus heading to work. I hadn’t seen him since the caucuses in February. We exchanged pleasantries, made some small talk, and as he got off the bus, he said something like “Well, hopefully this will all be over tomorrow.” Amen, Ken.
ask BHO HQ.
Undecided SuperDs should note. Obama has his phone bankers working MS today. This guy is working for the Democratic Party in all 50.
from BHO camp website
I did some phone banking in PA last night – 814 region; some undecideds leaning Obama. Had a few bitter ones for Clinton.
In 3 hrs it’ll be over.