Today in the Campaign

The Guam caucus took place today/yesterday and the results are almost complete.

After 18 districts have been counted, Sen. Barack Obama maintains about 54 percent of the vote, leading Sen. Hillary Clinton in the Democratic caucus. One of the largest districts, Dededo, still hasn’t been counted toward the total vote, however. The other two districts yet to be counted are Agat and Yona.

That will result in an even split of pledged delegates, however. The more important result is this:

In the race for chairman/vicechairman, the team of Pilar Lujan/Jaime Paulino has 1,299 votes in the 18 counted districts. Antonio Charfauros/Mary Ann Cabrera have 653 total votes and the team of Joseph Artero Cameron/Arlene P. Bordallo has 967 votes

Lujan is uncommitted, but Paulino is an Obama supporter. The Artero/Bodallo ticket would have resulted in 2 delegates for Clinton. So, at a minimum, Obama is assured of a wash from Guam, with a potential for a two delegate pick-up.

Ron Paul prefers (but does not endorse) Barack Obama to John McCain because of McCain’s foreign policy. The question is whether Paul’s supporters will break for Bob Barr, or whether they will break for Obama.

Obama picked up the endorsement of the New Mexico state party chair, which extends the trend of the Enchanted State establishment favoring the O-Man. Waiting for Tom Udall to chime in…

In Maryland, the add-on delegates were announced.

The Maryland Democratic Party has chosen two new delegates, former Gov. Parris Glendening and former Lt. Gov. Kathleen Kennedy Townsend, who will get a vote in the party’s presidential nomination…

Townsend is a Clinton supporter, and Glendening is supporting Obama.

Obama gave a speech in Indianapolis today, while Hillary Clinton pandered in Wake Forest, North Carolina with her almost uniformly panned gas-tax holiday plan.

Over 300,000 people have already voted in North Carolina, and 80% of them voted in the Democratic primary.

Wyoming Governor Dave Freudenthal will stump for Obama in Montana.

There’s a special election in Louisiana’s Sixth District today (polls close at 8 pm Central Time). While I am not a big fan of the Democrat’s positions on immigration and abortion, it’s important to see whether or not the GOP can succeed in their effort to demonize Barack Obama and tie him unfavorably to southern Democrats.

What’s on your mind?

14 Comments

BooMan on May 3, 2008 at 4:48 pm

It looks like Obama will win the popular vote in Guam, but not by enough to win a delegate (or even a half a delegate). However, the chair and vice-chair election resulted in Obama picking up two delegates and denying them to Clinton. It appears Pilar Lujan has pledged to vote for the winner of the Guam popular vote.

idredit on May 3, 2008 at 4:51 pm

thanks.
by a sprint b/c of slow editing…I’m allowed

what took you so long?

idredit on May 3, 2008 at 4:48 pm

snow showers and we can’t get the fields planted. We had 4 days of summer and it’s back to winter heating. It’s effing cold for early May, the animals don’t want out.

eagleye on May 3, 2008 at 5:03 pm

Didn’t Hillary liberate Guam from the Japanese under heavy fire in 1944?

eagleye on May 3, 2008 at 5:03 pm

Didn’t Hillary liberate Guam from the Japanese under heavy fire in 1944?

Sprocket77 on May 3, 2008 at 5:34 pm

Yes, in fact, she did. But that is a closely guarded secret to be sprung on a favorably impressed electorate ONLY in the event that Obama somehow (unlikely though it is, granted) manages to end up with a lock on the nomination!

Indianadem on May 3, 2008 at 6:08 pm

An entertaining campaign story:

Long ago, in a galaxy far away…

idredit on May 3, 2008 at 7:00 pm

An Omen?

At the Kentucky Derby this afternoon. Sad News.

Barack Obama has picked Colonel John to win the Kentucky Derby. He picked Pyro to place and Big Brown to show.

Yesterday Hillary Clinton said she was betting on the filly, Eight Belles, to win, place and show.

Hillary’s pick, Eight Belles had a fatal breakdown

RandyH on May 3, 2008 at 7:39 pm

I was born on Guam and spent my first two years of life there. Don’t remember it, but I’ve long dreamt of going back to visit, perhaps even retire there. Tropical paradise…

Did anyone see Hillary’s panderfest today? She stumped from the bed of an old red pickup truck. Like Fred Thompson in drag… Ugh.

BooMan on May 3, 2008 at 7:48 pm

Obama won by seven votes. If you had stayed, it would have been eight.
- AP on May 3, 2008 at 10:47 pm
  - RandyH on May 4, 2008 at 12:13 am
    
    What? Are you just being mean?
- RandyH on May 4, 2008 at 12:12 am
  
  I thought Obama would win by a LARGE margin. He is an “Island Boy” after all. As a mixed race kid from Hawaii, they can totally relate to him, even though he’s never visited.
  
  If I had suspected it would be this close, I would have been calling Guam for a week using my native-born “credentials” to get people out to caucus for him. I’m really regretting that now. But thankfully he won. And a recount won’t make a bit of difference. It will come out the same because Guam is so small that they double-blind hand count everything the first time around. That’s why it took all night for them to count about 5,000 votes. The count will be the same.

idredit on May 3, 2008 at 8:48 pm

two interesting items:

Huffpost:Early Indiana Turnout Seen to Favor Obama

Al Giordano The Field

Operation Anti-Chaos: The Narrative on “White Voters” Is Fiction

I turn on the TV, read the political columnists (and a significant number of analytically-challenged bloggers, too) and all I hear is a bunch of white folk prattling on about their favorite narrative: “Obama’s losing white voters!”

They’ve swallowed the Clinton racially-obsessed spin, hook, line and sinker. Some, because they are gullible, haven’t an original idea in their little pea brains, and follow the pack of what everybody else is talking about. Others, because they like to toss around knowing falsehoods. Nary a superdelegate can go on Fox News without being berated by an anchorperson screeching (this is pretty close to an exact quote): “But your duty as a superdelegate is to select the most electable and that’s Hillary Clinton!” That these anchorpersons are Republican partisans openly cheering for Senator Clinton is our first clue of the game afoot. One of the major successes of Rush Limbaugh’s Operation Chaos is that it has got all the right-wing pundits and reporters marching lockstep behind the effort to give Clinton enough oxygen to keep slashing away at Senator Obama, who remains the prohibitive likely Democratic nominee.

[.]So imagine my pleasant surprise this morning to see a New York Times columnist, Charles Blow, who did what none of these chattering lunkheads have done. He looked at the hard data of how voters, white and black, view the two Democratic candidates – favorably or negatively? – and how those views have progressed over time. The data is based on multiple CBS-New York Times polls (among the most respected survey outfits among competing pollsters) over two years and more.

Check it out:

[.]

Nobody – not blogger, nor superdelegate, nor cable news anchor – should open their mouths with another word about this contest until they’ve studied those graphs and the numbers upon which they are based.

[.]

Wait. The numbers show that the cynical effort to turn the 2008 campaign into a race riot has hurt the popularity of one candidate among an important demographic, and it’s not Barack Obama:

BooMan on May 3, 2008 at 4:48 pm

It looks like Obama will win the popular vote in Guam, but not by enough to win a delegate (or even a half a delegate). However, the chair and vice-chair election resulted in Obama picking up two delegates and denying them to Clinton. It appears Pilar Lujan has pledged to vote for the winner of the Guam popular vote.
- idredit on May 3, 2008 at 4:51 pm
  
  thanks.
  by a sprint b/c of slow editing…I’m allowed
  
  what took you so long?
idredit on May 3, 2008 at 4:48 pm

snow showers and we can’t get the fields planted. We had 4 days of summer and it’s back to winter heating. It’s effing cold for early May, the animals don’t want out.
eagleye on May 3, 2008 at 5:03 pm

Didn’t Hillary liberate Guam from the Japanese under heavy fire in 1944?
eagleye on May 3, 2008 at 5:03 pm

Didn’t Hillary liberate Guam from the Japanese under heavy fire in 1944?
- Sprocket77 on May 3, 2008 at 5:34 pm
  
  Yes, in fact, she did. But that is a closely guarded secret to be sprung on a favorably impressed electorate ONLY in the event that Obama somehow (unlikely though it is, granted) manages to end up with a lock on the nomination!
Indianadem on May 3, 2008 at 6:08 pm

An entertaining campaign story:

Long ago, in a galaxy far away…
idredit on May 3, 2008 at 7:00 pm

An Omen?

At the Kentucky Derby this afternoon. Sad News.

Barack Obama has picked Colonel John to win the Kentucky Derby. He picked Pyro to place and Big Brown to show.

Yesterday Hillary Clinton said she was betting on the filly, Eight Belles, to win, place and show.

Hillary’s pick, Eight Belles had a fatal breakdown
RandyH on May 3, 2008 at 7:39 pm

I was born on Guam and spent my first two years of life there. Don’t remember it, but I’ve long dreamt of going back to visit, perhaps even retire there. Tropical paradise…

Did anyone see Hillary’s panderfest today? She stumped from the bed of an old red pickup truck. Like Fred Thompson in drag… Ugh.
- BooMan on May 3, 2008 at 7:48 pm
  
  Obama won by seven votes. If you had stayed, it would have been eight.
  - AP on May 3, 2008 at 10:47 pm
    - RandyH on May 4, 2008 at 12:13 am
      
      What? Are you just being mean?
  - RandyH on May 4, 2008 at 12:12 am
    
    I thought Obama would win by a LARGE margin. He is an “Island Boy” after all. As a mixed race kid from Hawaii, they can totally relate to him, even though he’s never visited.
    
    If I had suspected it would be this close, I would have been calling Guam for a week using my native-born “credentials” to get people out to caucus for him. I’m really regretting that now. But thankfully he won. And a recount won’t make a bit of difference. It will come out the same because Guam is so small that they double-blind hand count everything the first time around. That’s why it took all night for them to count about 5,000 votes. The count will be the same.
idredit on May 3, 2008 at 8:48 pm

two interesting items:

Huffpost:Early Indiana Turnout Seen to Favor Obama

Al Giordano The Field

Operation Anti-Chaos: The Narrative on “White Voters” Is Fiction

I turn on the TV, read the political columnists (and a significant number of analytically-challenged bloggers, too) and all I hear is a bunch of white folk prattling on about their favorite narrative: “Obama’s losing white voters!”

They’ve swallowed the Clinton racially-obsessed spin, hook, line and sinker. Some, because they are gullible, haven’t an original idea in their little pea brains, and follow the pack of what everybody else is talking about. Others, because they like to toss around knowing falsehoods. Nary a superdelegate can go on Fox News without being berated by an anchorperson screeching (this is pretty close to an exact quote): “But your duty as a superdelegate is to select the most electable and that’s Hillary Clinton!” That these anchorpersons are Republican partisans openly cheering for Senator Clinton is our first clue of the game afoot. One of the major successes of Rush Limbaugh’s Operation Chaos is that it has got all the right-wing pundits and reporters marching lockstep behind the effort to give Clinton enough oxygen to keep slashing away at Senator Obama, who remains the prohibitive likely Democratic nominee.

[.]So imagine my pleasant surprise this morning to see a New York Times columnist, Charles Blow, who did what none of these chattering lunkheads have done. He looked at the hard data of how voters, white and black, view the two Democratic candidates – favorably or negatively? – and how those views have progressed over time. The data is based on multiple CBS-New York Times polls (among the most respected survey outfits among competing pollsters) over two years and more.

Check it out:

[.]

Nobody – not blogger, nor superdelegate, nor cable news anchor – should open their mouths with another word about this contest until they’ve studied those graphs and the numbers upon which they are based.

[.]

Wait. The numbers show that the cynical effort to turn the 2008 campaign into a race riot has hurt the popularity of one candidate among an important demographic, and it’s not Barack Obama:

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