Devastating Poll in Newsweek

Posted by Oui | Oct 10, 2008 | 10 |

(Newsweek) – Asked which ticket they thought was most likely to bring about change if elected, voters said Obama-Biden over McCain-Palin 52 percent to 37 percent.

Obama appears to have broadened his coalition of support and made inroads with groups that have not reliably embraced him over the course of the long presidential campaign. He now leads McCain among both men (54 percent to 40 percent) and women (50 percent to 41 percent). He now wins every age group of voters–including those over 65 years of age, who back him over McCain 49 to 43 percent. Supporters of Hillary Clinton, as many as a fifth of whom had at one point told pollsters they’d support McCain over Obama, now back the Democratic nominee 88 percent to 7 percent.

Polls RealClearPolitics: McCain dips more negative

"But I will not let myself be reduced to silence."

About The Author

Oui

1904 World Fair -- Meet me at St. Louis!

10 Comments

Oui on October 10, 2008 at 11:01 pm

.

New York election mixup: ‘Osama’ on ballot

TROY, New York – Who is running for president? In an upstate New York county, hundreds of voters have been sent absentee ballots in which they could vote for “Barack Osama.”

“It’s human error, it’s very unfortunate, it’s an embarrassment to our office, obviously,” election commissioner Democrat Edward McDonough said in a later phone interview.

Must be the last Hillary die-hard.

"But I will not let myself be reduced to silence."
- Arthur Gilroy on October 11, 2008 at 1:42 pm
  
  Ever been to Troy?
  
  I have.
  
  More likely it’s the last Coolidge die-hard.
  
  Going to Troy is like time travel.
  
  POOF!!!
  
  Suddenly it’s 1933 again.
  
  AG
- epcraig on October 12, 2008 at 10:59 pm
  
  Looks like one of my (all too typical) typos.
idredit on October 11, 2008 at 1:00 pm

RCP skews to GOP.

FivethirtyEight finds

October 10, 2008

With 25 days to go until the election, Barack Obama is presently at his all-time highs in four of the six national tracking polls (Research 2000, Battleground, Hotline and Zogby) and is just one point off his high in Gallup. He has emerged with clear leads in both Florida and Ohio, where there are several polls out today. He is blowing McCain out in most polls of Pennsylvania and Michigan, and is making states like West Virgina and Georgia competitive.

[.]

There’s just nothing in there for McCain to hang his hat on. Even a pollster like Strategic Vision, which has generally had a Republican lean this cycle, now has Florida and Ohio going against them (Florida in a big way). Well, OK, maybe they’ll hold on to Indiana, although both campaigns’ internals likely have the state closer than Rasmussen does.

And from Pollster.Com – North Carolina a harbinger.
Zandar1 on October 11, 2008 at 1:22 pm

Even Charlie Cook says McSame’s only hope at this point is for the subject to change from the economy.

This contest is not over yet, of course. McCain needs something big to change the dynamics — something bigger than a kick-ass ad, a strong debate performance, or a misstep by Obama. If voters stay focused on the economy, this contest could soon be out of McCain’s reach. If their attention returns to national security in the next week or so, he could still come back.

There’s only one way that changes, and it involves Israel and Iran. Will Bush/Cheney pull this trigger to save the GOP?
- idredit on October 11, 2008 at 2:11 pm
  
  hardly, the tune on the economy will be at the same pitch into November 4th. Shortages may even be in the news.
  
  Three weeks is not long enough, two years isn’t long enough for BushPaulson or any mortal to make this debt pile problem go away.
  
  worthy of a diary –
  
  “At the moment, there’s nothing happening here that’s positive for the budget. Nothing.”
  
  The 2009 budget deficit could be close to $2 trillion, or 12.5 percent of gross domestic product, more than twice the record of 6 percent set in 1983, according to David Greenlaw, Morgan Stanley’s chief economist. Two weeks ago, budget analysts said the measures might push deficit to as much as $1.5 trillion.”
  
  Payments the government allocated to keep vital companies solvent are beginning to look insufficient.
  
  unwinding of the USD/Yen Carry trade has the dollar appreciating and adding to the stock market woes. The CDS payout on Lehman is larger than expected.
  
  Allowing the Lehman bankruptcy is now seen as a huge error.
  
  It’s likely, Obama will shelve all his plans and be crisis managing.
  
  Poor guy.
  
  Who will be our lenders of last resort?
  - Oui on October 11, 2008 at 2:48 pm
    
    .
    
    Grain piles up in ports
    
    (Financial Post) Oct. 8 2008 – Before cargoes can be loaded at port, buyers typically must produce proof they are good for the money. But more deals are falling through as sellers decide they don’t trust the financial institution named in the buyer’s letter of credit, analysts said.
    
    “There’s all kinds of stuff stacked up on docks right now that can’t be shipped because people can’t get letters of credit,” said Bill Gary, president of Commodity Information Systems in Oklahoma City. “The problem is not demand, and it’s not supply because we have plenty of supply. It’s finding anyone who can come up with the credit to buy.”
    
    So far the problem is mostly being felt in U. S. and South American ports, but observers say it is only a matter of time before it hits Canada.
    
    "But I will not let myself be reduced to silence."
    - idredit on October 11, 2008 at 4:28 pm
      
      Produce – fruits and veggies – also caught up in this too.
idredit on October 11, 2008 at 6:50 pm

McCain losing ground with working-class whites

KITTANNING, Pa. – The steel mills and coal mines of western Pennsylvania helped fuel the nation’s economic engine. Today, old factory shells and boarded-up storefronts stand as bleak reminders of those once-prosperous times.

[.]

Now, driven by fears that their personal finances could further deteriorate, many see Obama as the better choice — their thinking in some cases driven more by concern about how McCain would handle the economy than any growing admiration for his rival.

“I don’t know that there’s anything I particularly like about him (Obama), but I dislike McCain, and I dislike the way the country is, and Republicans need to change,” said lifelong Republican Ruth Ann Michel, 64, a retiree shopping in a market in Butler on a recent day. She said her vote for Obama would be her first for a Democratic presidential candidate.

While talk in these parts is mostly about the economy, a prominent — if not unspoken subtext — is race. A study of the impact of racial attitudes on the election conducted by The Associated Press with Yahoo News and Stanford University found that whites without a college education were much more likely to hold negative views of blacks than those with a college education.

Democratic Gov. Ed Rendell says a drowning man doesn’t care what color the person is who throws him a life preserver.

(highlight added)
- Oui on October 12, 2008 at 2:47 am
  
  .
  After the Democratic Convention, Barack Obama and Joe Biden opened to a gap of 7.1%. Today it’s their biggest lead on National Average at RealClearPolitics.
  
  Pennsylvania – Obama +13.8%
  Virginia – Obama +6.3%
  Florida – Obama +3.8%
  Ohio – Obama +2.7%
  Missouri – McCain +0.4%
  
  That’s about it for swing states, I believe his relapse did a lot of damage due to his age: “My fellow prisoners …“
  
  "But I will not let myself be reduced to silence."

Devastating Poll in Newsweek

About The Author

Oui

10 Comments

Recent Posts

Recent Comments