Predictions Thread

9 Comments

1. 

   Man Eegee on November 3, 2008 at 2:39 pm

   * 56 Democratic Senate seats

   • 42 Republican Senate seats
   • 268 Democratic House seats
   • 167 Republican House seats
   • 349 Obama Electoral Votes
   • 189 McCain Electoral Votes
   • 52.2 Obama Popular Vote Percentage
   • 43.9 McCain Popular Vote Percentage

   I decided to use the George W. Bush method of science and looked deeply into the soul of the electorate to get these numbers.  

   • 

     BooMan on November 3, 2008 at 2:44 pm

     you have a very high third-party vote for president. In 2004, it was .099%.

     • 

       Man Eegee on November 3, 2008 at 2:46 pm

       i think there will be a lot of disaffected GOPers and libertarians who will do a protest vote.

       • 

         BooMan on November 3, 2008 at 2:50 pm

         yeah, I had this same conversation with CabinGirl, but we eventually both agreed that the high overall turnout would keep the absolute percentage of third-party voters at around 1 percent.

         • 

           Man Eegee on November 3, 2008 at 3:00 pm

           we shall see.  i’ll name the macbook after you if it ends up in my possession  😉

2. 

   idredit on November 3, 2008 at 2:48 pm

   Obama’s popular vote will top McCain by 10-points.

   Senate: Dems 59

   Btw this is a bad omen. Thinkprogress cites CNN in Florida – Gov. Charlie Crist bolts from McCain rally

   CNN’s Ed Henry reports that Gov. Charlie Crist (R-FL) quickly bolted after Sen. John McCain’s (R-AZ) sparsely attended rally today:

   Republican Gov. Crist, who had previously agreed to do interviews with CNN and various local affiliates, bolted right after the rally with no explanation.

   Update: Fox’s Carl Cameron admitted that the size of the crowd today was “a little bit disturbing” for the McCain campaign, noting that organizers had set up venue for ten times the number of attendees.

   Update: Adam Smith of the St. Petersburg Times writes, ‘We are the quiet majority that goes out and gets things done. … I smell victory,’ said state Rep. Kevin Ambler. Good thing he smells it, because it’s hard to see it with this crowd.”

3. 

   granitestater on November 3, 2008 at 3:05 pm

   Obama 364, 50.5%
   McCain 174, 46.5%

   Senate
   D = 57
   R = 41
   I = 2

   House
   D = 261
   R = 174 Only because I like the Electoral College symmetry.

   I’m dreaming of a blowout…and it could happen.  McCain fought this to the bitter end, probably saving the Republicans from total disgrace at the polls.

4. 

   RollaMO on November 3, 2008 at 3:29 pm

   Obama 353-185    
          52-47

   Senate 57-42-1

   House 270-165

5. 

   CabinGirl on November 3, 2008 at 4:11 pm

   And ManEe, I’ll name the macbook after you if I win…

   56 Democratic Senate seats
   42 Republican Senate seats
   270 Democratic House seats
   165 Republican House seats
   357 Obama Electoral Votes
   181 McCain Electoral Votes
   53.8 Obama Popular Vote Percentage
   45.6 McCain Popular Vote Percentage