What the Mustache of Understanding doesn’t understand is that there is no reasoning with the Republican Party. There is a very narrow window in the Senate where certain very limited things can be done. It is possible to pass bills on our most pressing issues when the Democratic Party is united and willing to settle for whatever it is that one Republican will allow. Sometimes that Republican is Scott Brown, sometimes it is Olympia Snowe, and sometimes it is Susan Collins. On a few issues where one or two Democrats don’t feel like playing team-ball, all three of them can be convinced to support something. In very rare cases, Dick Lugar, Chuck Grassley, Lindsey Graham, Kit Bond, or George Voinovich can be convinced to come on board (but only if they have company). There is no issue, however, where seven Republicans can be convinced to make up for the lack of loyalty of six Democrats. The merits of the thing don’t matter. The Republicans will not do the Democrats’ work for them. When the leadership says to oppose something, there are only really three members who are consistently willing to consider bucking their advice. And, in the cases where something passes over the objections of the Republican leadership, they immediately call for the bill’s repeal because it is the most tyrannical overstep of federal authority in memory.
The main reason for this situation is ideological rigidity. There are only three moderates on social and financial policy in the Republican caucus (there are a few more on foreign affairs and the environment). But there two other major reasons. The first was reported on in March by the New York Times’s Carl Hulse and Adam Nagourney.
Before the health care fight, before the economic stimulus package, before President Obama even took office, Senator Mitch McConnell, the Republican minority leader, had a strategy for his party: use his extensive knowledge of Senate procedure to slow things down, take advantage of the difficulties Democrats would have in governing and deny Democrats any Republican support on big legislation.
That article was written in the context of the battle over health care, but it can be applied to everything.
On the major issues — not just health care, but financial regulation and the economic stimulus package, among others — Mr. McConnell has held Republican defections to somewhere between minimal and nonexistent, allowing him to slow the Democratic agenda if not defeat aspects of it. He has helped energize the Republican base, expose divisions among Democrats and turn the health care fight into a test of the Democrats’ ability to govern.
“It was absolutely critical that everybody be together because if the proponents of the bill were able to say it was bipartisan, it tended to convey to the public that this is O.K., they must have figured it out,” Mr. McConnell said about the health legislation in an interview, suggesting that even minimal Republican support could sway the public. “It’s either bipartisan or it isn’t.”
It’s a strategy that depends on total warfare and absolute opposition, which, in turn, depends on the demonization of the president and any policies he proposes. Obama said as much to the Republican Caucus when he spoke to them at their retreat in January:
I’m not suggesting that we’re going to agree on everything, whether it’s on health care or energy or what have you, but if the way these issues are being presented by the Republicans is that this is some wild-eyed plot to impose huge government in every aspect of our lives, what happens is you guys then don’t have a lot of room to negotiate with me.
I mean, the fact of the matter is is that many of you, if you voted with the administration on something, are politically vulnerable in your own base, in your own party. You’ve given yourselves very little room to work in a bipartisan fashion because what you’ve been telling your constituents is, “This guy’s doing all kinds of crazy stuff that’s going to destroy America.”And I — I would just say that we have to think about tone.
It’s not just on your side, by the way. It’s — it’s on our side as well. This is part of what’s happened in our politics, where we demonize the other side so much that when it comes to actually getting things done, it becomes tough to do.
The president mentioned the third reason we face this situation, which is that the Republicans have been whittled down to such a small minority that their still-existing members are much more vulnerable to defeat in a primary from the right than in a general election from the left. Ordinarily, a president can lean on vulnerable members of the other party. But there are only three Senate Republicans up for election in the fall who are thought to be vulnerable: Richard Burr of North Carolina, David Vitter of Louisiana, and Chuck Grassley of Iowa. Senator Burr seems ideologically opposed to moving to the middle on anything, so his fate will be decided by whether North Carolinians like the Party of No strategy or not. Sen. Grassley felt enough pressure to vote for the Wall Street reforms. Sen. Vitter’s problems are ethical, not political, and he faces a primary that will keep him far on the right for the remainder of the legislative year. You can’t bully someone when a bigger bully is standing on the other side of them. Without the ability to strike credible fear into the Republicans in the Senate, there is no moving them. They are pursuing a strategy.
“We came in shellshocked,” said Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina. “There was sort of a feeling of ‘every man for himself.’ Mitch early on in this session came up with a game plan to make us relevant with 40 people. He said if we didn’t stick together on big things, we wouldn’t be relevant.”
It’s a deeply cynical strategy, but it’s working fairly well in a political sense. On the one hand, Obama has yet to fail to pass any bills that he has gotten behind and has succeeded in passing what is objectively the most sweeping progressive agenda in nearly half a century. But those bills had to be watered down to the point that some Republican and all Democrats supported them, making them less effective and less popular. He has not been allowed to stimulate the economy sufficiently to create robust job growth and the Republicans are benefiting mightily from that. He hasn’t been able to close Guantanamo. He wasn’t able to confirm Dawn Johnsen to the OLC, and he has dozens of other nominees in limbo.
He’s also reached the end of what he can pass with only two or three Republicans. He cannot pass climate legislation or immigration reform without at least a half dozen Senate Republicans lending him their support, and it won’t happen because the Republicans have been pursuing a strategy that they perceive to be working for them politically. And, at this point, they’ve poisoned the well so badly with their base that they don’t have the freedom to vote with the president on major legislation without imperiling their political careers. It’s like the Party of No strategy is the Hotel California. Once you enter into that kind of total warfare, you can never leave.
So, Friedman’s advice is nice and reasonable, but it will fall on deaf ears. In fact, he’s wasting his breath. He should use his energy to explain what I just explained and tell his readers why we need to win the senate elections this fall and/or do away with/amend the filibuster that allows McConnell to ravage our political landscape.
Long time reader, first time poster here. Sorry this is off topic, but I have a question that I hope other readers can answer.
My employer is bringing in a candidate who is running for office this year. It is mandatory that we attend. To me, this is inappropriate at the least. I would feel so were it as candidate of any party, as this is NOT our districts legally elected representative.
Is your question whether we agree that it is inappropriate? Or do you have a different question?
Sorry,I’m a little pissed off and this is happening today, at 2:00. My question is: Should I be forced to listen to a stump speech by a politician who isn’t my elected representative, and is it appropriate for my employer to use work time as a bully pulpit for said candidate?
I don’t know. Law firms do this sort of thing all the time. Partners are required to be courted by aspiring politicians. It’s a little different with rank-and-file employees. That seems less appropriate.
Thank you! Sorry to interrupt your thread.
Great post- one point worth adding which Friedman intentionally glosses over to avoid stating the obvious (that the GOP has moved far to the right in the past two decades): cap and trade and other neoliberal approaches imbedded in this bill have their roots in the policies of Reagan, Bush I and other conservatives from the 80s and 90s. Like healthcare, Obama and the Dems are serving up that already makes a lot of compromises. Nonetheless, props to the mustache for calling out the GOP here for playing politics- that’s much more than most mainstream pundits will do.
I can’t believe I’m saying this but I’m thinking its time for some more kabuki by Obama on climate change legislation. Give a big speech, ask Congress to agree in advance not to filibuster, but to allow an up or down vote, majority vote on this point. Call out Senators from both parties for blocking this and say he wants 60 senators to get in a room and hammer it out- he offers to make sure every senator in the room gets a say- no exceptions. Those that refuse to do their job are an embarrassment to democracy. If it doesn’t work, he gives a speech and press conference explaining why it didn’t. And then at the end of the speech says its a campaign issue, up to the american people, that’s democracy, etc.
The campaign should start today, now. Instead of slamming the White House for the Breitbart mess, which plays directly into the right’s hands, we should be getting on the same page in order to engage in this campaign. It’s a very, very important election that’s coming. There is a great opportunity, on the one hand, and there will be great peril if there isn’t far better organization of the message from Democrats. We can resume our internal arguments after the first week of November.
It’s not enough any more to say the Republican strategy is deeply cynical. They are Benedict Arnolds, they are traitors, and they need to be called out as such. It’s a good sign that Friedman wrote the column he did and that David Gregory, of all people, actually grilled a Republican on MTP on Sunday. Democratic politicians need to name names, call out individual Republicans and force them to to defend positions that are un-American, against competition, against compassion, against common sense and against the common good.
The scope of the republican cynicism is truly breathtaking. They are indeed traitors to the ideals of this country. As was stated before the various crises they foment when in power is a plan with starve the beast in mind, but feed the rich. Just look at the new crap they are slinging in regards to inheritance taxes.
One thing about Dawn Johnson Booman, Obama didn’t even try to get her in. Her nomination was a sop to the civil liberties crowd but went directly against the don’t look back stance that BO is taking in regards to Bush error war crimes. Recess appointment anyone. And please don’t say that wouldn’t have worked because it would have driven the R’s crazy because that would be redundant.
And please don’t say that wouldn’t have worked because it would have driven the R’s crazy because that would be redundant.
Bingo!! The Dawn Johnsen thing thing needs to be set aside for now. Why? Because we’ll never come to an agreement on what went wrong there. Like you, I disagree with Boo on this. In fact, Emptywheel has made the case that Obama was just playing us for fools. And look at Elizabeth Warren. It looks as though Chris Dodd is doing Obama’s work for him. TNC is finally seeing the light with this Breitbart nonsense. What, exactly, is Obama going to fight for?
You’re such a negative nellie. Have you seen this?
Relax. Show some optimism for a change.
You don’t fill the lead-role in the Office of Legal Counsel with a recess appointment. I don’t care how good your nominee is, they’re not good enough to fill that role without the legitimacy of having been confirmed. To force a vote on her nomination would have required setting aside a week of legislative time that could not have gone to getting health care done last December. It wasn’t worth it, especially considering that Ben Nelson opposed her on abortion grounds and she would not have won a cloture vote. That meant that to force the issue, he would have had to set aside health care and throw a tantrum and being willing to wait the Senate out.
Except Marcy said they could have had cloture. And given that other highly regarded people are now leaving the OLC I think we know what the real deal is.
I’m normally not cynical, but I do use Occam’s Razor: on the issue of civil liberties, I completely agree. Something is amiss here, and whether or not Obama’s officially signing off to such things is irrelevant; the buck stops with him.
They could have gotten cloture if the mid-September to mid-January period (maybe) if Lugar canceled out Ben Nelson and all other Democrats were on board (not a certainty). But they had no time to devote to it. As it was, the Senate didn’t pass the health care bill until Christmas Eve. And they thought they’d still have 60 votes after the break, but they didn’t.
And what issue are they willing to force, in a non-watered down fashion? Are they willing to defend Shirley Sherrod?
No offense, BooMan, as we’re normally always on the same side in this regard, but wasn’t the only person standing in our way Arlen Specter before he changed? After he switched, we had 60 votes. So, uh…?
We didn’t have 60 votes except between mid-September and mid-January. We used the 60 votes to pass health care on Christmas Eve in the Senate, but lost a seat to Scott Brown before we could reconcile the bill with the House version.
And yet had Harry Reid adopted it from 2002, Bush might not have been re-elected in 2004 and there is a lot of damage that we might have avoided. But the cynical strategy for the minority then was to duck and cover.
Often, very often…
Your opinions and commentary are extraordinarily precise (surgical!) and cut through the political haze. You are responsible for keeping a lot of us focused and sane. My appreciation is sent in the form of another donation.
Live live the Frog Pond!
Wes
Oregon
thanks for the kind words, Wes. And the donation 🙂