Ronen Bergman Selling A Book on Iran

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A response to BooMan’s front page story – War This Year With Iran?

See my follow-up diary – Timeline of Curious Events US-Israel and Tactical Stand-off

Selling the views of Israeli hawks on Iran

(The Guardian) – That is a lot more interesting stuff in Bergman’s piece. He is bringing out a book this month, called The Secret War with Iran, (updated version) which sounds like it will be a gripping read, and of course the NYT article helps drum up interest and sales.

Ronen Bergman is one of a small circle of heavyweights in the Israeli media who spend a significant amount of time with the politicians, spies and generals who are going to make the ultimate decision. [A mouthpiece for Israeli military establishment bound by its censorship – Oui]

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Secretary Leon Panetta visits Pakistan to restore relationship (Reuters)

“Three to five years seems a very confident estimate. The US defence secretary, Leon Panetta, reckoned in December that such strikes could set the Iranians back one or two years “at best”. Bergman also talks to a Mossad veteran, Rafi Eitan, whose own estimate was `not even three months’.”

Bruce Riedel, a former CIA Middle East specialist, takes the opposite view, arguing in Lebanon’s Daily Star today that even with the bomb, Iran would not be an existential threat to Israel.

Jeffrey Goldberg has put out a piece in The Atlantic in response to Bergman, suggesting that Bergman’s analysis might be premature, and pointing out that the same people that Bergman talked to had previously convinced Goldberg that the attack would come last summer. Clearly, Israeli has a motive in conveying the impression that an attack might be imminent, to stir up urgency in the West to confront Iran.

The Pit: The Dark Secrets behind the Worst Leadership Crisis in IDF History

"But I will not let myself be reduced to silence."

10 Comments

Oui on January 26, 2012 at 6:58 am

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Israel can’t attack Iran by conventional means without US permission to enter air space over Iraq. Israeli planes would have to circumvent Iraq via Saudi Arabia and refuel its jets. An Israeli strike will make the US complicit in the eyes of the world anyway. Only US bombers have the capacity for an effective strike on the bunkers with nuclear facilities. Israel cannot withstand the political repercussions, the US in its arrogance and might can. Therefore the agreement between Netanyahu and Obama is first sanctions and as last resort an US strike on Iran.

Hopefully this is part of a overall Obama security policy for the greater Middle-East and with a resolve for peace with the Palestinians.

Netanyahu has removed all top level persons in the intelligence units and armed forces with doubts or opposing views. He has the narcissism of a leader with imperialistic goals of an Eretz Israel. Most dangerous person and an habitual liar .

Sarkozy recognizes those traits and warns Netanyahu for going alone and repudiates the lack of resolve of the Quartet on the Palestinian peace process.

The Israeli/Zionist politici are all involved to frame the Iran issue on the world stage, especially in the US. After meeting with Consul General Opher Aviran, the Jewish zealot Adler wrote his article in the Atlanta Jewish Times with the proposal for Netanyahu to keep the assassination of the US President Barack Obama on the table. Speaking of creating the atmosphere of hatred.

Deal Made: Not Israel but US Will Strike Iran in 2012

"But I will not let myself be reduced to silence."

ishmael on January 26, 2012 at 7:13 pm

Iraq has retaken control of their airspace so USA will not be able to give or deny permission. Now, Iraq has bought US warplanes but won’t have any delivered until next year so Israel could go through their airspace unimpeded.

Oui on January 26, 2012 at 9:11 am

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Going to war is a political decision … ~~Iraq~~ Iran. The IAEA report is inconclusive. The threat of an Iranian assassination is world news, a Mossad assassination is what we have learned to accept. Speaking of double standards in ~~Bush~~ Obama regime.

Just don’t believe a single word of any KGB (Putin), CIA, Shin Bet or Mossad veteran …

Bergman also talks to a Mossad veteran, Rafi Eitan.

Press freedom: USA drops 27 places to 47th because of journalist arrests at Occupy events and Israel drops to 97th place. World map

"But I will not let myself be reduced to silence."

rba on January 29, 2012 at 9:50 am

The IAEA is back inside Iran. What this country lacks is a media with real reporters and editors willing to publish a neutral-eye view of the “Situation in Iran”.
- Oui on January 29, 2012 at 10:23 am
  
  .
  US gambling and casino earnings are spent in support of Israel by Adelson and company. Just ask Newt Gingrich and Geert Wilders what motive.
  
  "But I will not let myself be reduced to silence."

Oui on January 26, 2012 at 9:29 am

.
Dutch Foreign Minister Uri Rosenthal blocks criticism of Israeli occupation in Area C near Jerusalem. EU Report: “Area C and Palestinian State Building”

Hardliner Rosenthal FM Netherlands Follows Likud Policy vs Iran

"But I will not let myself be reduced to silence."

on January 26, 2012 at 12:05 pm

An Israeli strike will make the US complicit in the eyes of the world.
canvas art prints

ishmael on January 26, 2012 at 7:16 pm

So, what? Israel is a sovereign country and as far as I know the WH is discouraging an attack. Why should we take the blame for something they do?

This is assuming that Israel strikes without any US assistance.
- Oui on January 26, 2012 at 9:45 pm
  
  .
  You are commenting a troll
  
  "But I will not let myself be reduced to silence."

Oui on January 30, 2012 at 10:13 am

Jimmy Carter Does It Again

(JPost) – When it comes to the Middle East, the former president never ceases to amaze. In an interview published in Time, he was asked: “What do you think it means that Iran seems to have its first nuclear fuel rod?”

His complete answer: “Well, of course, the religious leaders of Iran have sworn on their word of honor that they’re not going to manufacture nuclear weapons. If they are lying, then I don’t see that as a major catastrophe because they’ll only have one or two military weapons. Israel probably has 300 or so.”

There you have it. In 51 words, Carter demonstrates convincingly why he should stay out of the business of Iran analysis. Not that he was much better at it while in the White House.

Remember his famous expression of confidence in the Shah — “an island of stability” — when one year later the Iranian leader was ousted and had to flee the country?

U.S.-Iran Nuclear Negotiations in 1970s Featured Shah’s Nationalism and U.S. Weapons Worries

"But I will not let myself be reduced to silence."

Oui on January 26, 2012 at 6:58 am

.
Israel can’t attack Iran by conventional means without US permission to enter air space over Iraq. Israeli planes would have to circumvent Iraq via Saudi Arabia and refuel its jets. An Israeli strike will make the US complicit in the eyes of the world anyway. Only US bombers have the capacity for an effective strike on the bunkers with nuclear facilities. Israel cannot withstand the political repercussions, the US in its arrogance and might can. Therefore the agreement between Netanyahu and Obama is first sanctions and as last resort an US strike on Iran.

Hopefully this is part of a overall Obama security policy for the greater Middle-East and with a resolve for peace with the Palestinians.

Netanyahu has removed all top level persons in the intelligence units and armed forces with doubts or opposing views. He has the narcissism of a leader with imperialistic goals of an Eretz Israel. Most dangerous person and an habitual liar .

Sarkozy recognizes those traits and warns Netanyahu for going alone and repudiates the lack of resolve of the Quartet on the Palestinian peace process.

The Israeli/Zionist politici are all involved to frame the Iran issue on the world stage, especially in the US. After meeting with Consul General Opher Aviran, the Jewish zealot Adler wrote his article in the Atlanta Jewish Times with the proposal for Netanyahu to keep the assassination of the US President Barack Obama on the table. Speaking of creating the atmosphere of hatred.

Deal Made: Not Israel but US Will Strike Iran in 2012
"But I will not let myself be reduced to silence."
- ishmael on January 26, 2012 at 7:13 pm
  
  Iraq has retaken control of their airspace so USA will not be able to give or deny permission. Now, Iraq has bought US warplanes but won’t have any delivered until next year so Israel could go through their airspace unimpeded.
Oui on January 26, 2012 at 9:11 am
.
Going to war is a political decision … ~~Iraq~~ Iran. The IAEA report is inconclusive. The threat of an Iranian assassination is world news, a Mossad assassination is what we have learned to accept. Speaking of double standards in ~~Bush~~ Obama regime.

Just don’t believe a single word of any KGB (Putin), CIA, Shin Bet or Mossad veteran …
Press freedom: USA drops 27 places to 47th because of journalist arrests at Occupy events and Israel drops to 97th place. World map

"But I will not let myself be reduced to silence."
- rba on January 29, 2012 at 9:50 am
  
  The IAEA is back inside Iran. What this country lacks is a media with real reporters and editors willing to publish a neutral-eye view of the “Situation in Iran”.
  - Oui on January 29, 2012 at 10:23 am
    
    .
    US gambling and casino earnings are spent in support of Israel by Adelson and company. Just ask Newt Gingrich and Geert Wilders what motive.
    
    "But I will not let myself be reduced to silence."
Oui on January 26, 2012 at 9:29 am

.
Dutch Foreign Minister Uri Rosenthal blocks criticism of Israeli occupation in Area C near Jerusalem. EU Report: “Area C and Palestinian State Building”

Hardliner Rosenthal FM Netherlands Follows Likud Policy vs Iran
"But I will not let myself be reduced to silence."
on January 26, 2012 at 12:05 pm

An Israeli strike will make the US complicit in the eyes of the world.
canvas art prints
- ishmael on January 26, 2012 at 7:16 pm
  
  So, what? Israel is a sovereign country and as far as I know the WH is discouraging an attack. Why should we take the blame for something they do?
  
  This is assuming that Israel strikes without any US assistance.
  - Oui on January 26, 2012 at 9:45 pm
    
    .
    You are commenting a troll
    
    "But I will not let myself be reduced to silence."
Oui on January 30, 2012 at 10:13 am
.

Jimmy Carter Does It Again

(JPost) – When it comes to the Middle East, the former president never ceases to amaze. In an interview published in Time, he was asked: “What do you think it means that Iran seems to have its first nuclear fuel rod?”

His complete answer: “Well, of course, the religious leaders of Iran have sworn on their word of honor that they’re not going to manufacture nuclear weapons. If they are lying, then I don’t see that as a major catastrophe because they’ll only have one or two military weapons. Israel probably has 300 or so.”

There you have it. In 51 words, Carter demonstrates convincingly why he should stay out of the business of Iran analysis. Not that he was much better at it while in the White House.

Remember his famous expression of confidence in the Shah — “an island of stability” — when one year later the Iranian leader was ousted and had to flee the country?
- U.S.-Iran Nuclear Negotiations in 1970s Featured Shah’s Nationalism and U.S. Weapons Worries
"But I will not let myself be reduced to silence."

Ronen Bergman Selling A Book on Iran

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