The 716 billion dollar lie is the central line of defense. It’s like the Republicans’ Maginot Line. If the lie can be breached with the blitz of truth, the GOP’s argument will fall faster than France before Guderian’s tanks. Oh, wait. I’m casting us as the Nazis in this instance. That won’t do.
But you get my point, right?
In 2010, the Republicans ran political advertising against Democrats who voted for the Affordable Care and Patient Protection Act, claiming that they had cut $500 billion from Medicare. That was pretty rich considering that the Democrats had actually tried and failed to expand Medicare eligibility. The charge was (and still is) a lie. But that doesn’t mean that the ads were not effective. They were very effective, which is why the Republicans think they can deceive the people again this time around.
The $500 billion number changed to $716 billion on July 24th, 2012, when Speaker Boehner received a letter from the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) in response to his request on the cost of repealing the Affordable Care Act. Specifically, the CBO wrote this:
Spending for Medicare would increase by an estimated $716 billion over that 2013–2022 period. Federal spending for Medicaid and CHIP would increase by about $25 billion from repealing the noncoverage provisions of the ACA, and direct spending for other programs would decrease by about $30 billion, CBO estimates.
Let’s go over this slowly. The Republicans have been telling the American people that ObamaCare is expensive and will bankrupt the country. But when they asked the CBO what would happen if they repealed ObamaCare, they discovered that it would result in an additional $716 billion in Medicare costs. Overall, the CBO estimated that the cost of repeal would be $109 billion over the next ten years. So, the truth is that ObamaCare saves us money.
The Medicare savings are huge, but they come entirely at the expense of hospitals and insurers, who negotiated and approved the deal with the White House because they knew that having millions of newly-insured people would more than make up for their loss of money under the old Medicare arrangements.
Needless to say, Speaker Boehner was hoping for different numbers. He didn’t want to learn that ObamaCare saves money and repealing it would be very expensive. But he decided to take that $716 billion of lemons and turn it into lemonade by arguing that “forget that $500 billion that Obama stripped from Medicare recipients, he actually stole $716 billion from them.”
It’s somewhat breathtaking in its brazenness, no?
It’s even more brazen when you realize that Paul Ryan’s budget protected this $716 billion in savings and that all but five Republican members of the House voted for Ryan’s plan.
Here is how this lie looks in action:
“Historically … for Republicans if you can fight Medicare and Social Security to a draw, that’s good,” said longtime GOP strategist Charlie Black. “But what’s changed is the president taking money out of Medicare for current recipients to fund his boondoggle [health care] program.”
That argument — that the Affordable Care Act took $716 billion from the Medicare program — is one the Romney-Ryan ticket has been making in the week since Ryan became Romney’s running mate.
“We’re the ones who are offering a plan to save Medicare, to protect Medicare, to strengthen Medicare,” Ryan told Fox News earlier this week. “We’re the ones who are not raiding Medicare to pay for Obamacare.”
Medicare “is not the ace up the sleeve [for Democrats] that it has been in previous elections,” argued Luke Frans, the executive director of the GOP polling firm Resurgent Republic. “We can get it to the point where it’s a competitive policy debate.”
The reason the Republicans are so intent on telling this lie is because almost all of them voted for Paul Ryan’s budget plan which voucherized Medicare and eliminated its guaranteed benefit to anyone younger than fifty-five. In other words, after winning election on the argument that they would protect Medicare against Obama’s imaginary cuts, they voted as a bloc to destroy Medicare as we know it. And they can’t survive that charge if the people come to understand its validity. So, they will obfuscate.
Watch how this played out in Florida, yesterday:
“Here’s what the president won’t tell you about his Medicare plan, about Obamacare,” [Paul] Ryan said. “The president raids $716 billion from the Medicare program to pay for the Obamacare program.”
The non-partisan fact-checker Politifact.com has rated a nearly identical charge by Romney, that Obama has “robbed” Medicare of the amount as “mostly false.” It also found [Obama spokeswoman, Stephanie] Cutter’s assessment of the similarities – but not the description of reductions as “cuts” – between the Romney and Obama’s plans to be “true.”
Asked in the Saturday interview to respond to that general point, Ryan said, “Well there’s a lot to sort through. Look, we’re offering leadership, we’re offering solutions. The president is not. The president has a failed economic agenda – 23 million people are still looking for work.”
Asked why he was lying, Ryan says, “Well, there’s a lot to sort through. Why would a Wookiee, an 8-foot-tall Wookiee, want to live on Endor, with a bunch of 2-foot-tall Ewoks? That does not make sense!”
But this $716 billion lie is the key to “fighting Medicare and Social Security to a draw,” as Charlie Black suggested. Our job has to be to destroy this lie and render the Republicans defenseless. Destroy this lie and the Republicans will be exposed as surrender monkeys.
Also available in orange.
thanks BOoMan
Maybe the house of cards metaphor is more fitting here? Remove that one card –show that one brazen lie for what it is– and their entire elaborate structure of lies and half-truths comes down in a heap.
Lies and half truths are all they have. They cannot tell the unvarnished truth on any question, on any issue, and win. Not one.
They cannot win this election. It is ours to lose. Or not.
Here’s how to handle the lies, courtesy of Ed Rendell, former Governor of Pennsylvania. On Charlie Rose recently, while discussing his book “A Nation of Wusses: How America’s Leaders Lost the Guts to Make Us Great”, he said this regarding how John Kerry should have responded to the swiftboat attacks:
If you have the ear of someone who might benefit from such advice, please pass it along.
http://www.charlierose.com/view/interview/12486
Approx 11:00 minutes in.
This is excellent:
Facebooked to my friends, including some diehard “Obama is a Kenyan muslim” ones.
too many “thats” in that one sentence.
It gets too much into the weeds. Keep it short and simple
If people come back with but but $716B just say that is subsidies to insurance companies, waste & fraud savings, and savings from more people having access to preventative care.
Trying to explain that well $716B is not really $716B in cuts plays their game. Show what Obamacare has done for Medicare recipients now.
The letter to Boehner is pretty straightforward. The CBO says eliminating the ACA will mean an increase in Medicare expenditures of $716 billion. That is exactly opposite from the way Boehner is presenting it. You have to nitpick it to see it otherwise.
The point isn’t the $716 billion issue. The point is that the the Republicans are deliberately lying about it to the public. Not just spinning, but lying.
And that is an issue if voters are going to make informed choices.
Also, the $716 billion is an estimate; there was no cut, just an expectation of savings. Some of that savings has been captured since the ACA passed, but whatever the total is will be quite different and possible more than $716 billion of savings.
Responding to this in a K.I.S.S. way keeps the issue on Medicare and not on the big lie.
the second people try to bring up the CBO and what their technical definition is. The K.I.S.S. principle here is what has the ACA already done for current Medicare recipients and we can point to two very tangible things it has already done – given them prescription drugs savings and given them free preventative are visits. That doesn’t rely on distinguishing between cuts versus savings but rather tangible current benefits.
“Romney whiteboard corrected” tells the tale in very simple terms:
http://www.barackobama.com/romney/medicare-white-board
I wish they would have put closing the donut hole. That is a big one for many seniors
Did Obama close the donut hole as part of the ACA or as part of Medicare directly?
I don’t understand the distinction.
After the person above pointed out that they should have included the donut hole, I was trying to figure out why they wouldn’t have put the donut hole info on the “corrected” white board. The only thing I could come up with was maybe that the donut hole fix was in the ACA and not directly part of medicare.
Still don’t get it.
The ACA is the law that fills the Medicare Donut Hole over time. It is not the same thing as Medicare, but it has provisions that change Medicare.
I was just trying to figure out why the Obama team wouldn’t have included the donut hole, as another comment had suggested that it should have.
What TarheelDem says below makes sense as an explanation for why the donut hole was not included in Obama’s whiteboard, so I’m just going to leave it at that.
The donut hole is not closed. It is closing over, what, five years, That little nuance most likely is why the closing the donut hole was not part of the response.
Keep it simple, stupid.
Every time a republican says this in a speech, a bunch of Obama supporters stand up and scream “you lie”. And they take off their hoodies to reveal t-shirts with You Lie! in large letters on the front.
They stand across the street from Republican rallies with “You Lie” shirts prominent, and signs saying “Republicans are lying to you about medicare”.
They send Howard Dean onto every network show to talk about how the Republicans want to destroy medicare.
After six weeks of focus on this, I think they might make a dent in public perceptions.
…unless there is a media blackout of the issue.
The media wants to keep the election a horse race to maximize ad revenue. For people to actually be disenthralled of the Republican lies would savage the Republican Party candidates way downticket well before the election. Not good for ad revenue.
Obliterate this lie. Brand the lie on their foreheads. Make them own it all the way down ticket.
krugman did a credible job dissecting the “ryan plan” in the simplest terms in todays nyt: An Unserious Man
this information should be part of every democrats stump speech. somehow the rats have to be made to own this steaming pile.