Barack Obama apparently banked Honey Boo Boo’s endorsement, which probably means that he has this election in the bag. I mean, more people watched Honey Boo Boo than watched the Republican National Convention.
I don’t even know what to say about my poor Yankees. I’ve never seen batting averages like that. Ever. The sports radio guys in Philly seem interested in getting A-Rod if the Yankees pay off the rest of his five year contract. What a disaster.
I am not a fan of ignoring polls that I don’t like, but I haven’t seen any corroborating evidence to support Gallup’s numbers at all. They seem to be less interested in getting it right than in giving every liberal in the country a stroke.
I ignore Dinesh D’Souza so hard that I believe this is the first time I have ever written the words Dinesh D’Souza. Nonetheless, to hell with him and his hypocrisy. What an awful person he is.
People are excited that another Federal Appeals Court struck down DOMA, but I don’t see it as anything to celebrate. It’s still going to go to the Supreme Court where it will get an unsympathetic hearing from Anthony Kennedy and the four other morons that serve there.
Why did Romney stop talking about Libya? Because, as I predicted, he got the taste slapped out of his mouth.
Will Romney do anything radical with women’s rights if he’s elected? Yes, he will. He will appoint Justices to the Supreme Court who oppose privacy and therefore Roe v. Wade. And that will probably mean that Roe. v Wade will be overturned. He’ll also let employers deny contraceptive coverage to women if they feel like it. He and his running mate either are indifferent or totally oppose equal pay for equal work. Pretty much nothing will get better for woman’s health and autonomy if Romney is elected. It could be the single most important reason to oppose him.
The Boy Scout scandal is much bigger than Penn State. You can’t have any gay Boy Scouts but child molesters are just fine.
What’s on your mind tonight?
During the Jon Stewart/Bill O’Reilly debate Bill got losted in his presentation of his misinformation; specifically about Bill Moyers.
So Bill Moyers decided to take him out and by golly he did so quite eloquently.
It’s a good watch.
Bill Moyers knows how to deal with RWNJ’s. He worked for LBJ after all. Also, Moyers layed a smackdown, figureatively, on BillO the Clown’s ambushers a few years back. It’s probably on YouTube. I hope it is anyway. And he didn’t even resort to the KO tactic of saying Andrea Mackris every other word.
The sports radio guys in Philly seem interested in getting A-Rod if the Yankees pay off the rest of his five year contract.
Which ones do you listen to?
94.1
So do I, mostly. I listen to Big Daddy late night almost every night. The night owl I am.
I ignore Dinesh D’Souza so hard that I believe this is the first time I have ever written the words Dinesh D’Souza. Nonetheless, to hell with him and his hypocrisy. What an awful person he is.
It gets even better. D’Snooza’s mistress is also apparently married. And if her FB postings are true, she hasn’t even been married a year yet. Like Ted Haggard, I’m sure he’ll disappear for a while then reappear in 2 or 3 years.
Nate Silver pretty much destroyed Gallop’s credibility by showing Gallop’s final polling has been junk for the past few political cycles and the polling during the campaigns has been prone to violent swings since Clinton. Ends by saying their methodology is flawed. I’d take their numbers with a molecule of salt.
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/18/gallup-vs-the-world/?partner=rss&emc=rss&
;smid=tw-thecaucus
Whoops. You already had that link in the original post. My bad.
Honey Boo Boo = the most unattractive, unlikable child ever (and not likely to improve with age).
Dinesh D’Souza = absolutely useless. Ignoring him is the only reasonable option.
Jesus, she’s just a kid. What an awful thing to say.
You’re right, it is an awful thing to say, and unfortunately it’s true. There is nothing appealing about her or the show*, and the exploitation is even more appalling than my comment. On the other hand, if the family doesn’t steal all the money, she’ll have plenty of it. Sadly, I doubt it will be use for anything redeeming like an education.
* Well, maybe I’m not qualified to say since I doubt I’ve seen more than a few minutes total.
I don’t know for sure, and I refuse to spend time actually researching Honey Boo Boo, but I read somewhere the other day the whole family is only getting something like $10K/episode, which, if true, must be about the best bargain a network ever got for a cash cow like that.
Well, if that true, then the production company are making out like bandits. Of course, if the show lasts a few years that would still pay for a good part of a decent education, but they’ll probably end up spending it all on those idiotic pageants.
It’s beyond me why there is an audience for that show, but there does seem to be, and shows like that are ultra-cheap to produce.
Just keep that in mind when we consider the election results… These same viewers vote and saddle you and me with the consequences.
Oh, poor Liberty.
I watched the talk show endorsement clip – the exploitation of the poor kid is horrifying.
I don’t watch TV, so I do not know who Honey Boo Boo is…
I am a Red Sox fan, so the Yankees deserve their Karma…
Clearly, Romney is not leading by 7 points…
Very disappointed in Dinesh…probably like y’all felt about Clinton after the Blue Dress…
Just do not care about gay marriage…
You’ll hear PLENTY about Libya on Monday night, since Obama/Crowley were dead wrong, and Obama did not label Benghazi as an act of terror, but was referring generally to “acts of terror”…
Contraception and Abortion? Non-issues…I know it, you know it, and America’s women know it…
Boy Scouts? Gays? Why is this important?
Other than that, I have an Empty Mind!
Mitt gets Ted Nugent and Lindsay Lohan.
Obama gets Big Bird and Honey Boo Boo.
The Muppet endorsement might be the best of the lot.
Yankee fans never deserve any sympathy. Ever.
Nate Silver does have a very good analysis of Gallup and there tendency to wild swings uncooraborated by any one else dating back to 2000. He is careful not to point fingers but he does point out that with their sample size this basically cannot be due to natural statistical variation – something must be fundamentally wrong. Nated didn’t say this, but given that the founder of Gallup handed over the reigns right about that time and that the guy running the place now is strongly pro-GOP that might be a factor.
But if you want a ray of hope in the polls check out the end of this column from Mark Blumenthal:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/18/obama-debate-poll_n_1979490.html?utm_hp_ref=@pollster
This is a point I raise a couple weeks ago here – that the very small response rates can exaggerate bounces due to self-selection. Nate Silver has mentioned this too but Mark bring more data to this idea. First, I didn’t realize that response rates are now down to, at best, 10%. When I last looked it up in 2004 they were typically 20%. Bloody hell – you can’t get ANY statistical validity from a self-selecting respondant rate of 10% (at best).
Second, Mark notes that two surveys this year are trying to account for that by sticking with the same sample group, YouGov and Rand. Interstingly, these surveys are almost unchanged from before the first debate, showing at most a 1% Romney bounce.
Well, there might be problems with having the same sample group over time – like the Nielsen families they likely will change behaviors because they are being constantly surveyed. But you are less susceptible to having the supporters of one candidate get over or under represented due to mood or enthusiasim.
The key NEW datapoint here is from YouGov. They have a practice of calling back the respondents from the previous survey several times to try to get the response, but also of noting how many calls it took to get a response. What they found was that there was a small but statistically significant difference in the response rates of Democrats and Republicans after the first debate. Many Democrats didn’t respond until after several calls. Remember – these are all people who responded to earlier surveys, so previously they all responded quickly.
YouGov noted that if their methodology were to call once then give up that the results would have been different – showing about a 5 point swing for Romney rather than a one point swing.
This explanation fits. The question now is to what degree the pre-debate polls were affected by a pro-Obama response bias and the post-debate polls affected by a pro-Romney response bias.
We Agree!!!!
That’s why Rasmussen is so good!!!
Even though Nate Silver trashes their methodology, they have the least “bounciest” polls of anyone!
And the least accurate, until about a week before the election.
this needs to be said again:
>>Yankee fans never deserve any sympathy. Ever.
Said the guy who fired D’Souza: “I have to admit, I got a bit over-enamored with him.” Him, and, inexplicably, millions of other Americans.
I have never understood the phenomenon. He talks utter nonsense, and he’s neither very attractive nor interesting to listen to.
He’s a brown-skinned guy who tells the Conservatards all the bullshit they want to hear. What’s not to love?
A man that immigrated to the US as an exchange student at the age of eighteen instructing the nation on what real Americans are like and that the native born Barack Obama isn’t a real American. Imagine any religious fundamentalist American emigrating to almost any country in the world and jumping on a stage to define what a real “X” is. The natives in most of those countries would have the good sense to laugh at such a charlatan. In the US they are rewarded with fame and money.
He’s also a raving lunatic NEOCON… that opens lots of doors.
The Bill Maher interview about his Obama “documentary” last month:
From 6 min mark on, he slams him for slinking off (like a rat) when Maher got fired after 9/11 – for agreeing with D’Souza’s statement on his show.
I suspect good ol’ Dinesh may get a mention on this week’s show as well. A “don’t let the door hit you…” kind of mention.
great, thanks for posting
Hey boo,
I haven’t been around in a long while and had to make a new account. But I’m not a newbie here. Anyway, I’d like to post a diary to promote this video I made on the New McCarthyism apparent today. Its creation was inspired by that “Woman Who Called Obama A Marxist” video that came out from TPM last week.
Here’s the URL. If you like it, and up my privs, I’ll post a diary.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EdXW_BT88tE
No one has. The 2012 Yankees set a record for lowest team postseason batting average (7 or more games).
I’m an Orioles fan so I will never like the Yankees, but I respect the fact that they spend their considerable money well and they hire good people. And Yankee batters are tough outs, unlike the free-swinging O’s.
From the Al Smith dinner, the line from Obama that sent a startled cat fleeing from my lap:
You know, it’s always a good day when the Evil Empire is defeated. And this time they were humiliated. And by a team from the Midwest.
Hooray!
I grew up with the Yankees, Giants, and Dodgers all in NYC, and so there is little more boring for me now than talking about the ever-annoying Yankees in the postseason.
But notice how attitudes towards baseball have changed (quote from 2010, source forgotten):
Emphasis mine.
So the World Series is no longer interesting if it hasn’t got any Yankees (or Boston) in it. Dancing Stars have more to offer.
If Romney continues to morph from schmuck to celebrity, the deep-thinking American electorate, and there are so many of them, will be hoping for some of that magic to rub off on them in the voting booth.
Romney needs to be mocked and diminished in the days to come. Obama’s proceed-governor was priceless, as was the look. More of that please.
Also … run lots of pix of Romney in those jeans.
You know why Kerry seemed so impressive in his first debate w/George? He wore a suit and looked like a million bucks. Presidential.
Mostly he wore that vomit-colored hunting jacket and looked Trash-Collectorial.
Looks mean a lot. It is, after all, vision that gets the biggest data pipe into the brain.
The Tigers have some pretty good pitching (that Granderson trade looks better every year for the Tigers, even though I was vehemently against it at the time) but they’re not that good. It’s like Jobu wasn’t happy with the Yankees so their bats became afraid of the ball. I mean, even with Papa Grande turning into El Niño the Yankees couldn’t get it done, so I’m equally dumbfounded.
Although the umps didn’t do the Yankees any favors…
If the president doesn’t win reelection, he should start an important film project about the sordid love life of Dinesh which tells his life’s story! heh