Some fuckers attacked the site and took down the server.
Three brief observations:
1. Nate Silver told you so.
2. So far, we’ve picked up two seats in the Senate. Could be two more if Arizona, Nevada, North Dakota, and Montana go our way.
3. We sucked in the House. Steve Israel needs a new job.
What are you seeing?
VA might be closer than Florida. But it should still go Obama.
And yeah, Israel needs a new job. He could have ran against Peter King and left an open seat likely dem while a 50/50 swing seat vs. King. But no. Fuck him.
It’s a good enough night to just admit that the Dems ran a shit national campaign. They ran a legendary battleground state campaign to compensate, but nationwide fundamentals aren’t on our side this time around.
2014 isn’t likely to be any great shakes given the way turnout is always low, so this is a problem that needs to be priority #1 for 2016. Figure out the House. Figure out statehouses and governorships. We can’t afford to conservatively horde the presidency without winning everywhere else too.
I’m seeing that Tom Brokaw needs to go the f*ck away.
…ten years ago.
Recently drove through Western VA.
Ratio of Romney to Obama roadside signes-
4 to 1 in far South West
3 to 1 in Central West
Note-
Many Goode signs in Far SW. Commenter on MSNBC saying Romney under performed in Western Va. Goode may be the tipping factor for Obama if he has cut into the statewide totals.
R
Obama campaign doesn’t believe in yard signs, so you can’t use that metric.
That may be true in suban/suburban areas. We are talking in the woods for most of western Va. Very rural and conservative. That’s why so many Goode signs.
CBS calling Kane win in VA. Many signs were Obama/Kane/Congressional Candidate. If Kane won, that is a very good sign for Obama.
R
TNR blog –
” Unless something surprising happens in northern Virginia, Obama will probably carry the state. Romney didn’t make enough gains in rural Virginia and Obama is holding up quite well in the black belt counties of southeastern Virginia. With Obama holding up well in the Richmond suburbs, it’s tough to imagine how Romney would make huge inroads in northern Virginia. “
It will be very interesting to add up Goode and Romney to see if that is a majority. That he didn’t connect with rural VA, even though that is the GOP stronghold, is a surprise. Majority of White voters in Southside and rural VA I talked to were slamming BO per Fox and Rush.
R
Redistricting fucks us in the house badly. We always lose when it counts for redistricting.
Check out Fox news. It is like a funeral. They, including Palin, are all but calling it over. In fact Gretta did call it over.
But they are already got their talking points working — namely that Obama doesn’t have mandate and so their will still be gridlock and dysfunction.
But I am not doing victory laps any time soon.
Well, that’s pretty much a given. I don’t think Eric Cantor’s heart will grow three sizes too big tonight, so…you know.
I really think we’ll see congress’ approval ratings hit <5% in the next four years.
But this does mean the senate stays with dems
At this point it appears that only 5 states are truly in play: CO, IA, FL, VA, and OH. Conceding NC to Romney, assuming WI for Obama. Assuming Obama wins all 4 states in the Pacific time zone + HI while Romney gets AK.
Romney has to win 4 of those 5 states to pull it off – and FL, VA and OH are all required to be in that mix.
Can’t read. Been drinking yankee pukers sincde 7pm. Rebel Yell and Sterling Apple Juice (Sterling, MA … home of Mary had a little lamb).
Gruesome. but at least Elizabeth has been declared winner. (I don’t want to jinx her by saying she won)
Well I’m watching FOX News and the sentiment there has been downgraded to ‘hopeful.’
Overall I project a Nate Silver/Barack Obama win.
“There’s still a path!!! It’s a narrow path but it’s still there.” -Chris Wallace
You should watch Dick Morris’ twitter. It’s way worse. His latest was, “Don’t give up!”
Colorado has an interesting Amendment 65 which calls for the state to petition for a US Constitutional Amendment limiting campaign spending. It is passing with over 72%.
Tim Kaine beats George Allen in VA!
Damn good
NBC says Romney Camp is blaming Clint Eastwood, for taking the spot of Romney Video that was suppose to Air before Romney’s Republican National Convention. Sounds like the scape goating has begun.
“appearance”
What’s the best way to watch the House races?
I’m just waiting for Pom-Poms McRepublican to drop by and tell us again how Romney and Ryan have this all sewed up.
I am working in Houston this week. Should be an interesting day tomorrow and I will need to be on my toes
Oh yeah — are you the banhammer fairy who keeps pounding Pom-Poms out of existence whenever he shows up again? Keep up the good work.
So one of my clients said he at first thought he should just move to Cuba but then realize there was no point because Cuba was coming to America.
I was also confronted to explain how the Northeast could buy into for more years of Obama. In all it was a good and polite conversation that didn’t change anyone’s mind.
Boils down to completely different views of the proper role of the federal government
A lot of you expressed concern about Colorado while we Coloradoans told you not to worry.
Denver Post has called the state for Obama who is leading by 4% with the heaving Dem areas yet to report results.
Romney’s ONLY remaining chance is to win all 4 of the remaining “in play” states – FL, VA, IA, and OH.
nbc called IA for Obama.
IT”S OVER.
New England, NY, PA, NJ, DE, DC, MD, MI, IL, WI, MN,IA, CO, NM, NV, CA, OR, WA, HI – 272 votes.
IA’s off the list.
and Ohio goes to Obama. It’s over.
Hallelujah!
Yes Israel failed and needs a new job BUT Patty Murray deserves high praise for the Senate successes. GO Patty!