I agree with Steve M. that this version of history provided by the Washington Post‘s Chris Cillizza is deeply strange:
[New Jersey Governor Chris] Christie is increasingly seen as the one candidate who might be able to bridge the divide between the establishment and the tea party that is in the process of ripping the party apart. In that way, Republicans are hoping that he can do for their side what Bill Clinton did in the early 1990s for a Democratic party that was similarly divided — heal what looks to be an un-healable wound through force of personality and a demonstrated record of success as a governor.
The Democratic Party in the 1990’s was not particularly rigid ideologically. They had controlled the House of Representatives since 1955, and for all but two Congresses since 1933. They had held the Senate for most of that time, too, and had controlled it since 1987. It’s true that the party had suffered three consecutive brutal presidential defeats and was casting around for a candidate or a strategy that could turn the tide, but they were used to running Capitol Hill and almost felt it was their birthright. As Steve M. points out, the major Democratic candidates were not cookie-cutters. Paul Tsongas was a deficit hawk, Jerry Brown was pushing a flat-tax, and Bill Clinton was talking about welfare reform. Not only were the candidates different from each other, but they were using major planks of the platform to annoy and separate themselves from the liberal base. But these heterodoxies didn’t so much indicate that there was some major split on the left as they showed the left’s willingness to be flexible in light of the drubbings they had taken in the preceding twelve years.
I’m sure that Bill Clinton’s unique political gifts helped paper over some divisions on the left, but it would be a major exaggeration to say that he healed a rift on the scale of what the Republican Party is facing today.
Gov. Christie might be able to do for the right what Clinton did for the left, but that’s a different argument. In 1992, it was common wisdom that only a southern Democrat stood a chance of winning the presidency. The gigantic losses of Minnesota’s Walter Mondale in 1984 and Massachusetts’ Michael Dukakis in 1988 had cemented that belief. In 1992, Bill Clinton won in Missouri, Arkansas, Louisiana, Georgia, Tennessee, Kentucky, and West Virginia. It may be that the Republicans need a presidential candidate who can do something similar for them in the North, and Christie could fit that bill. But it’s hard to see how he can simultaneously appeal to Northerners and win the nomination of a southern party. I know Mitt Romney managed to pull it off the latter, but he did it at the expense of the former. In any case, Christie would be a good candidate for the Republican Party, but I don’t see him healing any divisions.
I grew up in Southern Minnesota, and I just don’t see Christie going over well in the midwest.
NYC/NJ culture is very different, and doesn’t play well in the midwest. And Chris Christie is a dick even by New Jersey standards.
THIS.
people who see Christie as a promising candidate are all from the east coast. If you were raised in the mid-atlantic states I guess you’re used to Jersey Assholes and don’t realize how repellent that type is to the rest of us. (I’m in California).
From Illinois..
one of the things about Barack Obama is that he has ‘Midwestern Sensibilities’, through and through.
Christie is a mean fat f—. That just doesn’t play well outside of that Northeast corridor.
christie hugged the usurper.
all stop.
I don’t see Christie being popular in the South beyond the Republicans obligated to support him as the party’s candidate. And the Tea Party crowd will be the first to break with him. Lots of sitting out. His candidacy might geographically rescramble the political map.
What happened to the “Democrats must run a Southerner” is that in the stolen election of 2000, Republicans worked very hard to take Tennessee, Arkansas, and Georgia just to hurt native sons Gore, Clinton, and Carter. They succeeded in making the point that Southerners would not vote for Democrats even if they were Southern native sons.
Unfortunately, the Democrats bought that narrative as a permanent condition. Fortunately, the narrative that Democrats could only win with a Southern candidate was no longer true either.
When you read things like what Cillizza wrote, you really have to wonder why so many writing about politics feel this need to somehow cast the current GOP implosion of insanity as something that is just a normal cyclical event which both parties go through on a semi-regular basis.
What we are seeing today in the GOP will go down in the history books as one of the most incendiary political periods for a party in our history. One ranking up there with the political upheaval seen after the Civil War and after the passing of the Civil Rights Act.
I think for him to paint this as closely correlating to what the Democrats experienced in the 90’s is just dumb, lazy or both.
yes, it reads like some bizarro world version of “Both sides do it”
I got to hear what Chistie can say at Liberty Univ. that energizes the base and does not lose him NJ.
Look at the GOP primary schedule from 2012.
Iowa: Christie will bomb. New Hampshire: who knows? He may win that one but I wouldn’t bet on it this far out. Then South Carolina, Florida, Nevada, Colorado, Missouri, Minnesota, Maine, Arizona, Michigan, Wyoming, and Washington and Christie’s done.
Cillizza essentially spewed the same nonsense about Huntsman and we know how that turned out.
Bill Clinton won in ’92 – at least in part – because Bush was challenged from the right by Crazy Uncle Pat and challenged from the center by Crazy Uncle Ross.
The fact that Clinton governed well helped re-legitimize the Democratic party at the national level.
So, unless Ralph Nader is gearing up again.
Hmmmmm . . . I know some Dems in my office who think Christie could be worth considering. We got in a political conversation the other day and his name came up as a tough guy who gets things done. Out in Cali all a lot of folks know about him is that, true or not. The big daddy syndrome is a strong one in American politics so I think he has a decent shot. Republicans like a guy who beats up liberals and Dems like Republicans who appear to be softer than the crazies.