In addition to a new article yesterday, the reporter followed the developments as the sectarian violence increased due to a failed policy of PM Maliki who has estranged the Sunni minority in Anbar province. Don’t obfuscate the issue by denying the direct link to the Syrian civil war started three years ago. [Links added are mine – Oui]
See my earlier diary – Michael Ledeen from Trotsky to Mussolini – Our Freedom Betrayed.
(The New Yorker) Apr. 28, 2014 – When the last American soldiers left Iraq, at the end of 2011, the bloody civil war between the country’s Sunni and Shiite sects had been stifled but not resolved. Now the sectarian violence had returned, with terrifying intensity. For more than a year, thousands of Iraqis, nearly all of them members of the Sunni Arab minority, had been gathering to rail against Maliki’s Shiite-dominated government. Although the protests were mostly peaceful, security forces responded harshly, detaining thousands of Sunni men without charges and, in one encampment, touching off a spasm of violence that left hundreds of civilians dead. Across the Sunni heartland, north and west of Baghdad, the town squares filled with angry crowds, and the rhetoric grew more extreme. In Ramadi, protesters raised black jihadi flags, representing the extremist Al Qaeda offshoot that had dominated the city during the American occupation. “We are a group called Al Qaeda!” a man shouted from a stage in the protesters’ camp. “We will cut off heads and bring justice!” The crowd cheered.
Speaking into the television cameras on Christmas, Maliki ordered the protesters to disband. Largely ignoring his own men’s excesses, he claimed that the protests were dominated by extremists. “This site has become a base for Al Qaeda,” he said, filled with “killers and criminals.” Maliki ended his speech with what for him was a flourish of emotion, lifting a hand from the lectern. “There will be no negotiations while the square is still standing.” [Another dark Christmas for Iraq’s Christians]
In the protests at Ramadi, a Sunni member of parliament named Ahmed al-Alwani had inflamed the crowds, accusing Maliki of being in league with the Iranian regime, the region’s great Shiite power. “My message is for the snake Iran!” Alwani shouted into a microphone, jabbing his finger into the air. Referring to Maliki and those around him as “Safavids” and “Zoroastrians,” terms that denote Iranian invaders, he said, “Let them listen up and know that those gathered here will return Iraq to its people!”
Obama, al-Maliki discuss fighting al Qaeda
(CBS News) Nov. 1, 2013 – Mr. Obama said his administration has been “encouraged” by the work al-Maliki has done “to ensure that all people inside of Iraq — Sunni, Shia and Kurd — feel that they have a voice in their government… so people understand that when they have differences they can express them politically as opposed to through violence.”
Mr. Obama said that he and al-Maliki also spent a “considerable amount of time talking about Syria, where the spillover effects of the chaos and Assad’s horrific treatment of his own people has had spillover effects in Iraq as well.” He said it’s in the interest of both the United States and Iraq to “try to bring about a political settlement” in Syria.
○ Oil demand to jump as Iraq pushes prices higher
From the observant eyes of Robert Fisk:
Iraq Crisis: Created by Bush & Blair and Bankrolled by Saudi Arabia: “Bush and Blair said Iraq was a war on Islamic fascism. They lost”
Have been asking myself the same question for the past few days. Have made note of the fact that one accomplishment for the Sunni/SA forces in the Syrian conflict was getting Erdogan to move away from Syria and by extension Iran. [Fisk doesn’t mention this regional player.] So who will get in bed with whom?
If the Kurds have the backs of the Sunni/SA forces and Turkey stays on the sidelines, the US need do nothing unless or until Maliki is gone and it’s a fight between Sunni Iraq and Syria and Iran.
During the presidency of George Bush and Dick Cheney, crown prince and later King Abdullah of SA became furieus with the Americans for the decision to invade Iraq. Abdullah joined Mubarak in warning of the coming catastrophy and the power vacuum to be filled by the Iran backed Shiites. Saudi Arabia supplied funds and arms to Iraq’s Sunni faction to withstand the militants of Sadr’s forces. This increased the ethnic strife in Anbar province and Baghdad and a continuous flow of Sunni militants placing bombs in Shia neighborhoods and mosques/holy places. The Wahhabist extremism also purged the Christians, forced the nijab on women and closed down theaters and shops selling alcoholic beverages.
The turmoil of the Sunni-Shia religious war spread across all of the greater Middle-East. The stupidity of the western powers and the Obama administration was to fuel division by the overthrow of Gaddafi in Libya and the attempted coup in Assad’s Syria. Where chaos could be created, the US administration got support from allies Turkey and Israel. Both of these two states are able and willing to unleash their great military power when they feel threatened.
As far as the observant eye of Robert Fisk, he quite often reports events in Lebanon and Syria with a bias. This does not discredit him as most reporting and blogging is done with a personal bias.
○ Obama Sidelined on Syria, Hollande and King Abdullah Deliver Arms to Syrian Rebels
○ US Will Be Ousted by Saudi King Abdullah in Middle-East by Oui on Feb. 27, 2013
○ The Saudi-Israeli Alliance and Piggy-back Coup of 2005
Robin Yassin-Kassab’s report could hardly be considered unbiased. Also wrong in stating as of 2011 that the Assad regime can’t survive. The final graf is advocacy jounalism:
And erroneous as Syrian rebels received far more then “rhetorical support” from other governments.
wrt to Robert Fisk, having slogged my way through his 1,100 page The Great War for Civilisation …, I have a good sense of what I can trust from him. He does tend to be taken in my “the ladies.” In real time his reporting is accurate enough and very good in describing what he sees. He’s good at historical analysis but not so good in real time. For projections, I look to other writers.
In the run-up to the Iraq War, the Saudis were publicly silent. As were the oil companies. I read the latter as either not being on board or not wanting to tip their hand. Read the Saudis as not on board or opposed, but not fiercely opposed. The oil-Bush-Saudi connection is too long-standing for a Bush to have ignored strenuous Saudi objections. Unless, GWB/Cheney had a trump card that neither they nor the Saudis wanted played.
Team Obama was definitely stupid in fueling the Libyan and Syrian conflicts. Naive in their attempt to curry favor with SA and Israel. The Saudis (IMHO) are the most sophisticated, duplicitous, and wealthiest player among all the parties. Always there and cast as little of a shadow as possible.
Although he missed the early analysis in these developments, Juan Cole has written some excellent articles about the Sunni resurgence in Syria and Iraq. He blames not only George Bush, but indicts Nouri al-Malaki, Saddam Hussein and western leaders after World War I for their colonial greed of the oil riches of Mesopotamia.
○ Gulf/2000 Project: Maps and Statistics Collections
○ NY Times Op-Ed: Unity Through Autonomy in Iraq (2006)
Biden-Gelb 5 point plan for Iraq – Senator Joe Biden and Leslie Gelb of the Council on Foreign Relations developed a plan for Bosnia-style “federalism”–that is, the soft partition of Iraq into Sunni, Shia and Kurdish areas.
Quite fitting, Obama sends aircraft carrier USS George H.W. Bush to the Persian Gulf …
○ For the Common Defense: A Military History of the United States of America bij Peter Maslowski and Allan R. Millett
○ IHS Janes’360: Militant group ISIL’s advances threatening Baghdad will accelerate re-emergence of Shia militias
○ The Second Iran-Iraq War and the American Switch
[Added to Gaianne’s post @ET – Oui]
In the eighties, the Reagan administration joined with Pakistan, ISI and Saudi Arabia to support jihadists from Arab nations to fight the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan. Osama Bin Laden became involved organizing these foreign fighters in the AfPak region of Waziristan (Northern Territories). OBL founded al-Qaeda and Dr. Zawahiri of Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood joined forces forming a formidable terror organization in the nineties.
Indeed, the CIA and ISI gave support, funds and arms to these foreign fighters opening training camps and creating a legion of 40,000 jihadists. Among these fighters were citizens from Tunesia, Libya, Egypt, Syria, Jordan, Yemen and Saudi Arabia. After the Soviets were defeated giving rise to the Taliban in Afghanistan, many fighters returned to their homeland or joined OBL in Sudan. The blow-back has been experienced ever since. OBL lost his Saudi citizenship, was purged from Sudan and moved to Afghanistan with his group.
The uprising in Libya against Gaddafi was supported by al-Qaeda veterans and CIA linked Libyans living in the US. See info about present developments in my diary – Reagan’s CIA Man In Libya Now Employed by Obama.
After the overthrow in Libya, thousands of jihadists moved to northern Syria to join the holy war against Assad and took over what started as a protest and uprising in Homs. The US with its GCC allies moved tons of munitions and weapons from Libya to Syria through territory of NATO ally Turkey and Jordan. Indeed the arms send to the Free Syrian Army were transferred to terror group al-Nusra front who fought for some months in a joint effort with forces from ISIS or ISIL.
Indeed it’s legitimate to see the US allied to Al-Qaeda forces in Afghanistan and the AQ affiliates fighting for “democracy” in Libya and now in Syria. Obama abruptly changed policy towards Syria last September – Obama Nixes Close Foreign Policy Advisors.
○ Jerusalem Post: Salafist Groups Forging Al-Qaida Base in Syria
○ Revisited: Engineering ‘People’s Revolutions’ – A Color?
Cross-posted from my new diary – Syria War and Shiite Government of Maliki to Blame.
○ Jihad: The Rise of Militant Islam in Central Asia by Ahmed Rashid
Same U.S. policy in Bosnia, Iraq, Libya and Syria: using militants and war lords for regime change, ending in chaos.
From David Ferguson at Raw Story, The seven people who need to STFU about Iraq right now
1. Andrew Sullivan (from 2001)
Shouldn’t he be exiled to “the great red zone” and denied continuation of his lifestyle that I know is far more decadent that mine or those I know?
The other six are equally precious and Ferguson has some funny bits in the piece.
A second title for this piece would be “The seven people you need to spit on or throw your shoes at if you should encounter them on the street.”
Released Taliban military commander had operational ties with OBL’s Arab “055” brigade
○ Fall and Rise of the Muslim Brotherhood
○ Al Arabya exclusive: Top ISIS leaders revealed
○ ISIS parades on outskirts of Baghdad
○ Hidden Hand of Saudi Arabia in the Levant