Back in June 2012, Eric Benson sat down with Michael Dukakis in anticipation for that year’s heated general election campaign. They discussed the role of negative political advertising, and when you’re talking on that topic with Michael Dukakis, you know that Willie Horton is going to come up.
BENSON: During the 1988 presidential election, a group backing George H.W. Bush launched an attack ad holding you responsible for the crimes of a Massachusetts inmate named Willie Horton who committed rape and assault after fleeing from a weekend prison furlough. When that ad hit, what were the conversations like between you and your staff?
DUKAKIS: We didn’t have them. I made a decision we weren’t going to respond. That was it. About two months later I woke up and realized I was getting killed with this stuff.
It’s refreshing to see a politician take responsibility for his own failings. But it’s more important to understand the kind of misguided reasoning and advice that put Dukakis in the wrong frame of mind.
BENSON: Why didn’t you respond right away?
DUKAKIS: Frankly it was my own damn fault. I’m not sure I can explain it to you at this point. Maybe I thought, Hey, this is the presidency, maybe we can avoid this kind of stuff. I thought the country was tired of the kind of polarization we’d had under Reagan. So I made the decision that I was not going to respond to the attacks, which turned out to be the biggest mistake of my political career. Earlier in the campaign, Mario Cuomo said to me, “Don’t pay attention to that stuff. Nobody’s going to believe it. Keep it positive.” We were campaigning together in Queens four days before the election, and he said, “That’s the worst advice I ever gave you.”
Also important, what did Dukakis learn from the experience?
BENSON: What advice do you wish you’d gotten?
DUKAKIS: You’ve got to be ready for the attacks, and you’ve got to have a carefully thought-up strategy to deal with them. In ’92, Clinton had a group of ten people that called themselves “the Defense Department.” All they did was deal with the Bush attack campaign, which if anything was tougher on Clinton than it was on me. But you didn’t have the impression that it was because the Clinton campaign was all over the attacks within seconds after they appeared.
Clinton’s Defense Department operated in a War Room down in Little Rock. Legend has it that Hillary Clinton came up with the military theme. In any case, it worked. And it made a complete convert out of Dukakis.
BENSON: So what would you say to people like Cory Booker who have denounced the president’s attack ads?
DUKAKIS:…Look, when Clinton ran for reelection, he was hammering Bob Dole early. You may or may not like that, but that’s what he did. And with all due respect to the folks of the Beltway, you’ve got to anticipate these attacks—and that includes the president of the United States. Obama’s got to make sure he doesn’t let happen to him what happened to me.
Now, I bring this history up because I think it might help us arbitrate a dispute in this morning’s Washington Post between The Nation’s Katrina vanden Heuvel and columnist Dana Milbank.
Milbank says that he adores Bernie Sanders and he agrees with him on many issues. He finds Hillary Clinton a “dreary,” “calculating and phony,” “cautious and uninspiring” candidate whose “reflexive secrecy causes a whiff of scandal to follow her everywhere.” But, despite this high opinion of Sanders and brutally low opinion of Clinton, Milbank argues that the Democrats would be clinically insane to nominate a guy who has referred to himself as a socialist.
Watching Sanders at Monday night’s Democratic presidential forum in Des Moines, I imagined how Trump — or another Republican nominee — would disembowel the relatively unknown Vermonter.
On the other side, Ms. vanden Heuvel’s column was part publicity for the fact that The Nation has endorsed a candidate in the primaries for only the third time in the magazine’s long history. In making the decision to get behind Bernie Sanders, they had, of course, considered the electability argument.
Put aside the irony of Clinton dismissing the electoral viability of someone she might lose to. Clinton has inevitable baggage of her own that raises doubts about her electoral prospects. And Clinton’s decision to present herself as the candidate of continuity in a time of change is problematic. In contrast, the positions Sanders champions — Medicare for All, cleaning up politics, curbing Wall Street, a less-interventionist foreign policy, rebuilding the United States, tuition-free college, fair taxes for the rich and corporations — are all extremely popular. Furthermore, Democrats have a natural electoral majority if they turn out. Even the Clinton campaign worries about her ability to rouse the young and people of color as Obama did. In contrast, Sanders has clearly electrified millennials with his message and integrity. A voter using his head rather than his heart might well be conflicted on the question of electability.
Part of the problem here is that vanden Heuvel is a much better writer than Dana Milbank but that doesn’t necessarily mean that she’s right about which candidate is more electable. It does mean that she marshals a more convincing argument. And, I think that if Democrats ever become convinced that vandal Huevel is correct that Sanders is the safer bet, it will be game over for Hillary Clinton for a second time.
What Milbank doesn’t mention is Bernie Sanders’s position on negative campaigning and negative advertising. Of course, you also have to be able to pay for that advertising.
So, on the one hand you have Sanders saying that he’s proud that he’s never run a negative ad in his entire political career and that he hopes that he won’t have to in this campaign, and on the other you have him eschewing a Super PAC and large donations that would give him ammunition he might need even he ultimately decided not to use it.
Yes, of course, you can talk about how this principled thinking is a key part of his appeal and a major contributor to why he’s electable. But you can just as plausibly say that it makes him look like a sitting Dukakis when the party has the founder of the War Room sitting right next to him.
Either way you come down, this is a valid part of the overall electability argument.
Also, I think Clinton can use some more enthusiastic backers than Dana Milbank.
Thanks, Booman. Interesting analysis.
Having watched Gov. Dukakis, Sen. Tsongas, Sen. Kerry and now Sen. Sanders mount serious campaigns for the presidency, and having watched all of them have similar reactions to “negative campaigning”, perhaps it’s time for Democrats to have a default bias against choosing a New Englander as their party’s presidential nominee.
You write:
Well…there is simple fix to this problem.
He should ask Hillary to be his campaign manager!!!
Nyuk nyuk nyuk.
AG
P.S. But seriously, folks…HRC is a behind the scenes master. That’s why she worked so well in the Senate and as Sec. State. She’s a levers wonk. She made Bill Clinton, as far as I am concerned. Without Hillary he would have ended up some old Little Rock ex-pol lecher, hitting up secretaries in progressively dingier bars. It’s only when she gets in front that she fails. If information of this kind is so readily available, then there are also available people who do that sort of work well.
As the Israelis say,”Never again!!!” Never another Dukakis mistake. Bernie has to be smart and honorable. He didn’t get where he is today without some serious political savvy. I hope he uses it.
P.P.S. The War Room? Why not take a cue from the federal government? They call the Department of Military Affairs the Defense Department instead of the War…or maybe even more accurately, the Offense…Department. Call it The Peace Room.
Politics.
It’s what’s for dinner.
YEAH!!!!
What he said up there.
“Politics […] It’s what’s for dinner”? My God, can’t you please give us a break from these infuriating, cloying circumlocutions of yours? Nobody thinks they’re cute; they make you sound like you’re twelve years old.
For the love of God, express yourself like an adult, can’t you? This is a great blog and we’ve got months to go before the election; we’ll all be here several times a day and this “Bet on it” style of yours (cascading down the page) is like fucking Chinese water torture.
Have some pity on the rest of us — especially since you’re usually saying something that could reasonably be expressed in one or two brief sentences. You make Harlan Ellison look like Hemingway.
At least he avoided photos of ancient SNL characters this time around.
There is a simple solution to this problem, Jordan.
Don’t read my stuff.
There are a number of people here who seem to have no problem whatsoever with what or how I write. Should I start writing like “an adult”…an adult mass media pundit is I suppose what you mean (yawn on both that sort of content and style as far as I am concerned)…because you don’t like my writing “cascading down the page?” I could see the problem if it meant you had to get up off your butt and cascade your own mortal ass up and down stairs or perform some other sort physical exertion, but…really man!!!
You got a mouse?
A trackpad?
Use ’em.
You be bettah off.
AG
I like Mr. Gilroy’s style. You should give it a try. Have a voice and a tone and a rhythm in your posts. Use colorful language. Make it a little entertaining. These are fundamentals of good writing. Not easy to do.
I don’t mind his style, but I can see the criticism of it as legitimate… but damn, its just a comment thread. Get down from the ledge Jordan.
Thank you, Neal.
You are right…it’s not easy to do, and I spend an inordinate amount of time doing it as well. Luckily…for me…a great deal of my working time is spent at home practicing what is essentially a strength-building physical routine on my instrument. I have found very few things that I can do on my frequent rest periods…average 20 to 30 minutes out of a hour all told, often 4-6 hours of practice…that do not somehow clutter my practice mind. Writing is one of them. It’s like I have two minds…the one I use to make music and the one I use to write.
People who don’t like how or what I write are the ones who post their unhappiness. People who do? They mostly just read and (sometimes) respond.
It’s good to hear from a reader. Really.
Later…
AG
I probably missed it but I wonder what instrument(s) you play. Where can we hear some of your music? I don’t think I’ll run for president.
I try to separate my socio-political writing from my musical life, Quentin. It’s a financial decision as much as anything else. Booman knows who I am, and if I was blowing smoke I’m sure he’d out me.
But I’m not blowing smoke.
Suffice it to say that I have been…and these are the relatively famous ones…a longtime colleague of:
Buddy Rich
Thad Jones/Mel Lewis
Deodato
Lee Konitz
Gunther Schuller + David Baker w./the Smithsonian Jazz Masterworks Orchestra
Tito Puente
Celia Cruz
The whole Fania catalogue
The Mingus Big Band
Chico O’Farrill
Plus literally thousands of recording gigs…jingles, backup orchestras, etc., Broadway show gigs and other commercial work and a colleague and friend to hundreds more of lesser-known but equally gifted musicians.
Sorry…this is my life-decision and I’m standing by it.
AG
I am hoping that the Dims (typo intended) can coalesce around a Sanders/Clinton or Clinton/Sanders Candidacy where both positions are thoroughly vetted and reincorporated into an Organic American Party.
Bernie can step aside in 2020, and we can insert our best and brightest into the 2020 VP slot.
I am betting on Julian Castro to be sitting in that chair.
Bye, bye, Miss Republican Pie…
I’ve thought the same thing. Neither Clinton nor Sanders would prefer each other as running mates, but Clinton needs Sanders for progressive credibility and enthusiasm, and Sanders needs Clinton for GE campaign savvy and credibility on issues outside his wheelhouse. The liberal and progressive wings of the party need to work together: I think this also implies, for the future, a more democratic way of selecting a DNC chair
…and getting Steve Israel the time to join John Boehner and Eric Cantor for daily games of Tiddlywinks, retirement style…
Clinton is too old for a white haired 74 year old curmudgeon as a running mate. It might not bother you, but there are plenty of people who would be leery of the age thing in that situation.
There are plenty of young liberals, and I suspect a POC is likely.
Yeah, no clear people need apply…
What young, battle tested liberals are you willing to offer up, in your opinion, of course that can withstand the GOP/Trumpeters billions?
There are good young democrats on the bench for the presidency (e.g, Booker, Gillibrand, Castro), but they could use a little more experience. I understand, in theory, that the age thing could bother people, but in such a momentous election (assuming Trump or Cruz as GOP nominee), I think it kind of takes a back seat
So your theory is that because the age thing doesn’t really hurt all that much, Bernie should be on the ticket? That is a pretty negative argument.
What positive does Bernie add? His approach boils down to “clap harder and make good stuff happen.” Talking grand aspirations (never mind the practical details) is great for firing up the ideologues, but it is pretty incompatible with the HRC approach of working the levers to make stuff happen, and will not favorably impress people of the pragmatic sort.
I do not see Bernie as really compatible with HRC or likely to work well with her, which I think has some importance.
I like this comment because it clarifies, I think, the difference between the candidates.
A) Clap harder and make good stuff happen, ignoring the practical details for now.
B) Work levers and make stuff happen, ignoring the practical details for now.
” … B) Work levers and make stuff happen, ignoring the practical details for now. … “
Your reason for thinking the italicized part would be what?
I’ve seen as many practical details from Clinton as Sanders about implementation of policies. Both wave a magic wand. (And that’s okay! There’s no telling how or if any of this stuff can overcome opposition.)
right now it’s looking like she’s running her campaign badly, as she did in 08, though she has the contacts and institutional support – but wouldn’t want her having an impact on how Sanders would run the General.
In terms of narrative, the Clinton campaign is as tone deaf as it was in 08 (worse, because they should have learned from 08). However, the people on the ground, the lawyers for Ohio and Florida, etc, these are things Sanders needs.
I hope you read what fladem wrote about Bernie running a campaign – fladem lived in Burlington when Bernie first ran for mayor. – a lot of confidence in his ability to run a campaign. note the meeting w Obama today! Hillary’s “machine” is going to lose the general for us, and we cannot afford that!
And, of course, the experience in responding to the right wing noise machine
I think who is more electable vs. Trump is different than who’s electable vs. a more conventional Republican.
Sanders might actually be stronger against Trump (assuming a two person race in which Bloomberg doesn’t run). The media will dutifully report every piece of nonsense that Trump says on Twitter and Sanders will ignore it, and people will generally ignore it because Trump spews nonsense and talks trash constantly. Sander’s authenticity and positivity would stand out here.
Whereas Clinton would be stronger against a conventional GOP attack machine — her team would be ready with an attack machine of their own.
Trump has shown himself to be a master at finding perceived weak spots in opponents and picking them to death. He is not a good businessman but he is a superlative bully. The media won’t look away, so the public won’t either. I feel certain that Hillary can respond to that kind of crap, not at all certain that Sanders can – and if he is the nominee he will have to.
(and I’m very surprised this goes so much ignored, except that the Beltway Village corporate media so luvs them some horserace):
Trump is persistently polling 30-40% of the GOP/leaning primary electorate, NOT the national presidential electorate! (The extent to which this goes unmentioned/unemphasized is remarkable and appalling to the point of constituting journalistic malpractice; but actual journalism has become such a rarity within the corporate media as to render this observation completely UNremarkable.)
So that’s 30-40% of the 40-50% that GOPers/leaners constitute of the national presidential electorate. 30-40% of 40-50% is 9-22% of the national presidential electorate!
Repeating: 30-40% of 40-50% is 9-22% of the national presidential electorate!
Granted, if Trump’s the nominee, many GOP/leaners who now tell pollsters they support some other GOP candidate will vote for him anyway. But enough to win a national presidential election? Very unlikely, in my estimation.
Even if you want to force some self-declared “independents” in there as likely to break for Trump in the end, it’s nearly impossible to see him as a viable, winning candidate, i.e. a potential president. (Which, of course, is what has the GOP “establishment”‘s panties in such a knot. But since they’re the architects of this situation — or at best have gone along with it as long as it looked like a path to electoral success — I search long and hard [ok, not really!], but in vain for any sympathy for them.)
What his increasingly likely prospects for winning the GOP nomination mainly attest to is just how far off the deep end into Reality-Denying insanity the GOP has gone.
Supplementing your point here:
NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, Jan. 9-13, 2016
Trump net favorability percentages:
African-Americans: -72%
Latinos: -47%
Women: -36%
Independents: -26%
Suburban voters: -24%
Trump would not win in November, unless something nearly impossible happens. That does not mean I am rooting for the Don to gain the nomination. He would be very bad for the nation, enabling many forms of violent rhetoric and action. It’s not OK, but it’s not worth fretting about what a Trump Presidency would be like.
I have come to the conclusion that neither of them is electable.
Clinton’s problem is simple. It’s what Obama honed in on 2008 when he observed (by saying the opposite) that Hillary just isn’t “likable enough” to be elected. Also, I think it’s a bad idea to nominate someone who might be indicted during the course of the campaign.
Sanders is a socialist. The negative ads practically write themselves. I’m not sure John Kasich is wrong with his 50-state prediction.
But it might just be that no Democrat is electable this year. If the main concern of the electorate ends up being who can keep us safe from terrorists, I don’t see any way a Democrat wins.
don’t forget he’s running against someone. listened to lots of talk radio yesterday about what to do if Trump is the nominee, where will the Cruz supporters go. they don’t want to vote for the “lesser of 2 evils” b/c they say it’s still voting for an evil.
Can’t beat something with nothing. No indication that the GOP is going to nominate anyone other than a Palin with male body parts.
As has happened throughout Hillary’s career, I’m so sick of these personality-based critiques [“cold,” “calculating” etc.] which are usually presented as some kind of overwhelming dealbreaker that can’t be overcome.
I’m not really a Hillary fan, but I find the whole thing so exhausting and objectionable. We’ve had presidents like George W. Bush who were completely objectionable, personally…it’s just not the right metric, and we don’t have the luxury for this kind of nitpicking in this crazy, once-in-a-lifetime contest with a monster like Trump as the likely opposition candidate.
And, even though I’m the last person to reach for this argument, I think there’s an element of sexism here. She’s disorienting because she’s a woman in a position that we’ve never seen a woman in before. Don’t they say that female executives are always called either “shrill” and “hysterical” (gender connotations very much intended) or “cold” and “calculating”? Don’t these denote social/cultural confusion about powerful women more than anything else? (Again, I usually recoil from this kind of argument but in this case I really do think it’s applicable.)
You write:
Yes, we have. Butch II in particular. But he looked good. The marketers sold him and sold him well.
Like this:
The “Hud” president.
Since the JFK/Nixon debates, how many elected presidents have we had who didn’t “look” better…in a mass media sense…than their opponent?
Maybe Jimmy Carter, and he at least looked kind.
Gore looked fat. Kerry looked…he looked like a Warner Brothers cartoon hawk.
Presidential elections are a popularity contest, post the rise of TV and later mass media.
A beauty contest.
How do you sell HRC, image-wise? Popular media image-wise. Like visually.
The good grandmother?
Please.
Not an effective pop icon, especially against Trump’s almost genetically based mastery of image.
The only actually salable Dem image that has already been created is Elizabeth Warren’s.
The crusading teacher.
Gonna roll up her sleeves and give ’em hell, Harry Truman style.
That’s why I want to see a Sanders/Warren ticket. Sanders could at least intimate that he would only do one term, and the Dems would have 12 or even 16 years straight of real reformers in the White House.
Hmmmmm….
AG
I can’t help myself. If you keep writing things like this, I’m going to start reading you again.
Help yourself.
AG
I agree Elizabeth would not only be perfect as VP at this time but also to continue Bernie’s revolution into the future.
“Anyone who shrugs and claims that change is just too hard has crawled into bed with the billionaires who want to run this country like some private club.” -Elizabeth Warren, 1/21/16
http://digbysblog.blogspot.com/2016/01/did-elizabeth-warren-just-quietly.html
Got to differ with you on this one. “The crusading teacher” aka the scold, the harpie. I love her, I’d like to see her as VP or Potus, but I think she doesn’t project as a kindly teacher or a confident leader but as the nagging wife, the screeching witch next door.
She’s smart and on the right side of the issues but her persona projects worse than Hillary.
Sanders/Warren is not a winning ticket nationally.
A Vermont Democratic Socialist and a Massachusetts liberal?
The corporate owned msm couldn’t help themselves, they would have a field day with that meme;
The big moneyed superpacs would rehash every Reagan et al attacks on what they stand for, on every emotional level they could think of.
Outside New England very few people who aren’t political junkies would understand, most only recently have come to know Bernie, and Elixabeth Warren is mostly unknown to non-political junkies. The right would work overtime defining her as left of that socialist guy from Brooklyn.
Yes if Bernie beats Hillary for the nomination having a woman on the ticket, one who is intellectually and mentally capable of stepping in and doing the job (unlike 2008) might help some.
Given how much insane mud the right would throw for the low info voters, the minuses outweigh the pluses for the current national electorate. Imagine how they attacked Dukakis, Kerry combined with a new anti-socialist attack. Remember the right would attack on fear and other emo levels, with the Warren/Sanders responses too far up the evolution tree to work against it.
No for Bernie to win he needs a fighter with inside experience like Joe Biden to have his back. His VP would have to destroy the attacks like Biden shrunk Lyin’ Ryan to the caricature he became in 2012.
Bernie holds the high road, his VP politically cuts them off at the knees.
Have you spent any time listening to Elizabeth Warren?
I really can’t think of any politician that can better hold their own against Republican/corporate attacks better than her. The last thing she would let happen is for the Republicans to define her. Plus she’s hardly unknown- been on TV for quite some time now.
I think she is really the best VP choice by far for either candidate- it’s a change election for the voters. We either get some sort of reform proposals from the Democratic side (from lukewarm to radical, depending on who gets the nomination), or we get proto fascism from the Republican side.
Republicans didn’t push the “Dean Scream” the GOtP compliant corporate owned media did, and
THEY DO CONTROL WHAT THEY ALLOW ON AIR.
Remember how they twisted Paul Wellstone’s funeral?
Don’t think for a second they won’t work overtime for their corporate masters in twisting and distorting everything they can.
Far many more people watch the news clips the media assemble, than ever attend in person.
Look how they have influenced the rise of Trump.
Ac hatchet job on a little known New England senator wouldn’t be hard, especially with the right wing wurlitzer distorting the truth, and making up crap as fast as they can.
As much as I appreciate what she has done so far, she isn’t the VP Bernie needs.
If I was going to pick a VP for Bernie I’d look to somebody like;
Bill Richardson
Helps with foreign policy (U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations in the Clinton administration) and definitely the Latino vote.
I worked for two female executives in jobs over my career. The words I’d use to describe them were tough, honest, humble, smart, decent, integrated, motivating, humane, and effective. I’d give Hillary two or three of those. But she is cold and calculating and it’s not clear why she wants to be president except that she wants the power. She certainly doesn’t emphasize that she plans to level the playing field once and for all, so what’s her game? Hard to tell what she wants to do for me. Something vague about making sure it doesn’t get too much worse too quickly. (Did I miss something?)
Yeah; you missed that none of that matters because the presidency is about policy initiatives, supreme court nominations, cabinet appointees, legislative emphases and (finally) crisis management.
It’s not about all this ridiculous “personality” nonsense that was deliberately manufactured during the television-based process that got us from Kennedy to Reagan and into the era of Karl Rove and Peggy Noonan and candidates appearing on Oprah and which one you “want to have a beer with.”
All this business of trying to read the tea leaves of a candidate’s “identity” (“I just don’t trust him” etc.) represents the deliberate substitution of the meaningless for the meaningful; it’s how nitwits like Frank Bruni and Maureen Dowd at The New York Times tore down Al Gore’s candidacy based on the kind of snark best reserved for Hollywood gossip magazines.
I don’t think it’s difficult to predict exactly what we’ll get with Hillary, and I think it will be a lateral move; a continuation of the geopolitically-beligerent, culturally-progressive, economically-mixed policies of the Obama years. I think Sanders would be preferable for ideological/symbolic reasons (again, having nothing to do with “personality” or “identity”) and might initiate some very exciting changes. I think any of the Republicans would be a total disaster, leading directly to a massive recession (the one Krugman argued we would have had under Romney) as well as a catastrophic foreign policy and the kind of systemic collapse we saw under George W. Bush.
But none of this has to do with who’s “cold” or “distant” or “I don’t know why she wants it” or any of those irrelevant concerns.
No one can ever “level the playing field once and for all“. It’s not possible. Not a President, not the leader of an organization, not the leader of a movement- no one.
We have to save ourselves, and have always saved ourselves, collectively, through organizing. That the Democratic Party and its POTUS candidates are more flawed than we would prefer is our fault collectively. Or, stated another way, the American people are responsible for our own governance. We are not victims; unfortunately, we are too often victimizers.
Nominating and electing the most liberal viable candidates for local, State and Federal offices, passing a constitutional amendment on campaign financing, and successfully pushing through other silver bullets will not, in and of themselves, “solve” our problems and get our government to do what we might agree that it should. (BTW, Americans, including those here at the Frog Pond, most definitely do not agree on what government should do.)
As a movement we will have to fight every day, and fight as skillfully as possible, for the rest of our lives.
I said in `It’s Time for the Election to Heat Up’:
“I’m going to make a prediction. If Hillary gets beat up as bad as I think she’s going to in IA and NH she’s going to tell Debbie we need more debates going forward.”
Word has yet to reach Debbie but Hillary is exactly where I thought she would be, regretting the fix given to her from her DNC Chair operative but it may be too late. Bernie is right to force Hillary to use her influence to get Debbie’s `no unsanctioned debates’ rule reversed so it applies to the rest of the primary cycle.
http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/brian-fallon-sanders-holdout-unsanctioned-debate
I was right about Bernie holding out until more debates are added. Bernie wants 3 more DNC sanctioned debates to take place not on weekends in March, April, and May before he will agree to a debate on February 4. Bernie added that debate must be organized and sanctioned by the DNC. How’s that for standing up to the Clinton Machine?
This puts Hillary in a very awkward position since Debbie has already said DNC will not sanction the February 4 debate. If Debbie reverses her position to save Hillary from defeat in NH then it will prove once and for all that Debbie is a Hillary operative making them both look bad. I say more popcorn.
http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/sanders-clinton-debate-race-changed
That seems poorly thought out. Most of the delegates are selected prior to the end of March, and the nominee will likely be pretty obvious by March 15.
Insisting on debates in April and May strikes me as prima facie stupid.
So Bernie does not debate in February because that would help Hillary, but debates in April and May are fine with Bernie because of reasons.
Got it.
Check the primary and caucus calendar, most are before end of March.
Debates in April and May, very likely subsequent to the nominee being known, would likely get poor TV ratings – which would make the networks reluctant to sacrifice program time for them.
Whatever Bernie’s intent, the April May debate demand would have the effect of a poison pill.
“Most of the delegates are selected prior to the end of March, and the nominee will likely be pretty obvious by March 15.”
Are you sure about that? This struggle for the soul of the Democratic Party is unprecedented and could take much longer to settle than past political cycles. Hillary thought the nominee was pretty obvious when she got her former campaign co-chair installed as DNC Chair to limit the debates and prohibit participation in DNC non-sanctioned debates hoping to ride through the primaries on her near 100% name recognition. Now Hillary is losing in NH and whining because Bernie won’t give her an extra debate when she suddenly needs it. The more she whines about it the worse it becomes. Either way, extra debates don’t really matter if you remember back when Debbie famously said, “There are other ways to reach the voters.”
Debbie can’t really reverse her rules now because it would prove she is still trying to tilt the primary toward Hillary, something that could both get her fired as DNC Chair and fan the flames of Debbie’s own primary challenger in FL-23, Tim Canova.
http://crooksandliars.com/2016/01/debbie-has-primary-youre-invited
Most of the big states, including FL, IL, OH, NC by March 15:
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/us/elections/primary-calendar-and-results.html
https://ballotpedia.org/Important_dates_in_the_2016_presidential_race
http://frontloading.blogspot.com/p/2016-presidential-primary-calendar.html
Organizing a whole slate of debates is not so simple, takes more than just Bernie, Hillary and the DNC.
A venue and network for each is also needed. So, what Bernie is demanding looks impractical, so why is he demanding it?
Everything that Bernie is demanding is impractical according to the establishment desperate to get Hillary nominated, in fact, it’s all they have to run on.
Even the GOP has no debates scheduled later than March:
http://www.uspresidentialelectionnews.com/2016-debate-schedule/2016-republican-primary-debate-schedu
le/
Republicans are not battling for the soul of the Democratic Party. That makes no difference at all.
more schedule stuff …
http://cookpolitical.com/story/9179
contains a scorecard useful for tracking delegate counts – scroll down to see it
“…vandal Hueval….”
“…sitting Dukakis….”
Funny.
Seriously though. When you ask what they’re going to throw at Sanders that Sanders hasn’t already been throwing at himself since he started running in April, there’s nothing.
Someone here not long ago rattled off a list of ways they’ll try to attack Sanders. He’s Jewish. Old. Cantankerous. Pinko commie dirty fucking hippie. Too pure. Bad folk album forty years ago. Not a real Democrat. Whatever. And none of it sticks.
So far, it seems clear that Sanders himself has a better handle on where (and when) the attacks will come than any of those pundits that say he’s not ready for them. And he’s got way better ammo than either Dukakis or Clintons ever did: nothing to hide.
You might be right that none of it sticks.
On the other hand, you would be more accurate to say “None of it sticks … in VERMONT”.
None of it sticks – in a Democratic Primary.
That stuff would stick plenty in a general election.
Thank you, Neal.
You are right…it’s not easy to do, and I spend an inordinate amount of time doing it as well. Luckily…for me…a great deal of my working time is spent at home practicing what is essentially a strength-building physical routine on my instrument. I have found very few things that I can do on my frequent rest periods…average 20 to 30 minutes out of a hour all told, often 4-6 hours of practice…that do not somehow clutter my practice mind. Writing is one of them. It’s like I have two minds…the one I use to make music and the one I use to write.
People who don’t like how or what I write are the ones who post their unhappiness. People who do? They mostly just read and (sometimes) respond.
It’s good to hear from a reader. eally.
Later…
AG
Misposted. Sorry. Posted above, where it belongs.
AG
Nobody is spending hundreds of millions of dollars to publicize the fact he is proposing to increase the size of government with trillions in new spending and trillions in new taxes. Since it is true, it will stick. Bernie will not deny it. He is proud of it.
Whether the American people can be convinced that Washington should become even more influential to American life when Sanders himself says that Washington is corrupt is another thing. That is one of the sticks the Republicans will beat him with.
(They will also whisper or perhaps shout in Trump’s case that the real beneficiaries of all this government largesse will be lazy black and brown people. They will get free health care while you get higher taxes and waiting lines to see a doctor.)
Nobody is spending hundreds of millions of dollars swiftboating him about his claims of conscientious objector status during Vietnam either. It is easy to imagine retired generals doing commercials and claiming that nobody in the military could possibly support somebody who was just like Bill Ayers while they were dying in Vietnam. A hippie peacenik – a traitor! – for Commander in Chief?
None of these things have to be true. But for every time we hear Bernie’s message in the election we will hear these things at least ten times.
so what? why do you care?
Oh for god’s sake. Bill Clinton dispensed with any potential Willie Horton attack by rushing home to AR to sign the death warrant for Ricky Ray Rector and liberals/progressive set aside their principles in favor of political expediency.
GHWB and Dukakis were both weak candidates. It was the second debate that sealed Dukakis’ fate. Just as four years later, a debate sealed GHWB’s fate.
Since we only get one bite at the apple, we can never know if Clinton was “electable” in ’08. We only know that Obama, despite months and months of claims that a Black man simply cannot win, was electable. Twice now.
This is 2016. Not 1988. Not 1992. Not 2008.
All we can safely predict with 100% accuracy is that the “no money, no campaign organization, and no charisma or campaign chops” candidates are not electable because they can’t win a nomination.
The general election that Americans deserve is Clinton v. Bush. (What a shame GOP primary voters seem to disagree.) Because if what’s under the hood is the same, the fabric and color of the car seats are vitally important.
Yes Marie!!!
Nailed it!!!
AG
Dukakis was a low energy guy who responded to a question about raping his wife as though he was talking about the Green Line Train Schedule.
Has anyone SEEN Bernie?
This thinking is based on the following syllogism:
Dukakis was a bloodless technocrat.
Sanders spends have his time screaming
Very different candidates.
Bernie does not scream. Howard Dean screamed (No! NOT the bogus Dean Scream!) I LOVED it when in SF he screamed “AND I’M SICK OF THE FUNDAMENTALIST PREACHERS TELLING ME WHAT TO DO!”. Won me over right there. Bernie is angry but always speaks in a cultured calm voice, suitable for the Senate floor. He reminds me of my father, angry but patient, explaining to me what I had done wrong and why it was wrong.
I can see Howard Dean exhorting me to fix bayonet and charge. (I probably would.) I can’t see Bernie Sanders doing that. I can definitely see HRC doing that, but I wouldn’t do it because I couldn’t be sure if she had stock in the bayonet maker or the coffin company.
Give the public some credit- I think most Americans are pretty tired of both. I wouldn’t wish another Bush presidency on them.
The general election that would be best for the country would obviously be Sanders v. Clinton. Unfortunately, that would make too much sense, so we are going to have a basically performance art piece as one of the reality based Democratic candidates tries to run against a Trump/Cruz/etc… from the made up world of the insane Republican clown show. Hint: it won’t be enlightening, and despite what I said before about our public, insane will have a pretty decent chance of winning.
Difficult for me to give the public much credit considering that:
GHWB was on four Presidential tickets ’80-92
Clinton – two tickets
GWB – two tickets
Hillary Clinton candidate ’08 and ’16
JEB candidate ’16
Even when rejected, the Clintons and Bushes don’t go away because the public continues to be open to seeing them in office again.
The wildest election ever may have been 104 years ago: a Democrat, a Progressive, a Republican, and a Socialist. The winner may have been the worst of the lot.
re:
OK, ok, go ahead, launch a thousand “spelling flame”/”grammar nazi”, or whatever counter-flames. Call me a pedant or worse.
But this sort of thing bugs me, even as I realize blogs are supposed to be “immediate”, “unedited”, etc. There’s still a place for caring about maintaining some minimal quality in what one does!
It’s somebody’s actual, proper name, after all. In this case, spelled correctly multiple times elsewhere in the same post (“copy & paste”, anyone? boo? Bueller?)!
Of course, booman’s got nuthin’ on digby, who misspells “Lindsey Graham” as “Lindsay” (including, as here, where it’s spelled correctly elsewhere in the same post, including quoted source material, sometimes multiple times) so persistently it’s hard not to speculate it’s intentional (“subtle” pointer via more typical “girl’s” spelling to Graham’s widely assumed closeted status???)
In Graham’s case, the implied disrespect is easier to accept (as warranted!). But vanden Heuvel does not deserve it.
Blame the spell checker software.
So…even the spellcheck algorithm is pro-Hillary?
We oughta give up, in that case.
Spel czech rooles da woild!!!
AG