If you’re like me (before I read this article), you barely know what Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac do, let alone how they came to be or why no one seems to be able to find a replacement for them. That’s reason enough to read our feature in the March/April/May issue of the Washington Monthly. The piece is an adaptation of Bethany McLean’s 2015 book: Shaky Ground: The Strange Saga of the U.S. Mortgage Giants.
You’ll come away educated, that’s for sure. To give you an idea of why President Obama hasn’t been able to get his wish that “private lending should be the backbone of the housing market…with a limited government role,” just consider the following:
One of the narratives, which is appealing to those on the right, is that we can get the government out of the housing market with the flip of a switch. In 2013, Jeb Hensarling, the Tea Party Republican representative from Texas, authored a bill that would kill the GSEs and, with the exception of some support for very low-income housing, not replace them with anything. While no one knows for sure what would happen—Fannie Mae has been around since the 1930s, after all—most analysts and market participants agree that the downside is that a great swath of the middle and lower classes probably would get five- to fifteen-year mortgages with floating rates, rates that would vary significantly depending on income and geography. Homes would be less affordable, so housing prices would likely fall. Consider that with interest rates at 3.75 percent, a $200,000 home with a 20 percent down payment and a ten-year fixed-rate mortgage on the remaining $160,000 would have a monthly payment of $1,521. With a thirty-year fixed-rate mortgage, the monthly payment is $752. Mortgage capital might be hard to come by in times of stress. Under the new system, not much would change for wealthy borrowers, but the effect on lower- and middle-income Americans could be significant.
McLean does have a recommendation that she feels is superior to just killing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and letting the cards fall where they may.
The best idea, whose most prominent backer is Graham Fisher’s Josh Rosner, is that the GSEs would operate as utilities, much like your electric utility, with a cap on the return they are allowed to earn, and regulated as such by a competent regulator with real teeth. The regulator, as Rosner writes, would “ensure that the firms employ their benefits of scale to minimize the costs to end-users while allowing them to earn acceptable, rather than excessive, rates of return.” They would be somewhat like the GSEs were in the 1980s, before all public companies faced inordinate pressure to grow their earnings and please investors. They would be well capitalized at a level consistent with that of other large financial firms, and they would no longer be able to hold mortgage securities on their own balance sheet. (Their portfolios of such securities have already shrunk dramatically.)
Rosner also writes that it is important that the GSEs serve as “countercyclical providers of liquidity.” What he means is that if the market is going crazy, and Wall Street is happily providing mortgage capital, the GSEs can and should stand back. That way, they will have dry firepowder if there are problems, and private capital flees the market. There’s already a taste of how that might work. Today, the GSEs are selling a portion of the risk they insure to other investors. The current way the GSEs sell risk is not without its flaws, but it is a start to doing exactly what President Obama said he wanted, which is getting private capital in front of the government.
Considering the systemic risk poised by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (a current capital ratio of 0.1%), it’s not a good idea to do nothing. And, as McLean argues, in deciding what to do “Americans’ best interests have rarely dictated the answer, precisely because too few people care.”
Of course, in order to care, we have to at least have some understanding of the issues. That’s why you should devote some time to reading the whole piece.
Was Fannie Mae indeed created as a GSE in the 1930s? My suspicion is that like the US Post Office, it was converted to a GSE during the Nixon administration.
If you are creating it as a utility, stop the charade of private status and create it as public infrastructure.
Congress does not do countercyclical; never has. It tends to minorly inadequate spending in the down cycle. But it is singularly incapable of taking away the punchbowl in the up cycle nor of preventing varieties of fraud.
Moreover the private sector is too much of a herd animal to be countercyclical either.
Would be worth a look to revisit the original New Deal structure and operations and see how it was transformed in its first 40 years.
Fannie was transformed from a government agency into a GSE in 1954 (GOP POTUS and Congress). iirc Freddie was chartered as a GSE.
Yes, I remember Freddie was different.
Not to be disrespectful, but a knowledge and understand of Fannie and Freddie was critical in understanding the financial meltdown. Touched on it September 6, 2008 in All One Body
And more directly a month and a half earlier in Sub-Crime Bad Apples. (Note this was before the big hits that took place in Sept ’08 when suddenly everyone was panicked and stunned.)
Ah, yes, using my modesty against me.
Nice one.
Best to avoid false modesty. Then my comment wouldn’t have been phrased and taken as an attack on you, which it wasn’t, but a generic criticism. To the best of my recollection, the ins and outs of the financial meltdown wasn’t your beat, but during the time that it was high profile, I was over at the orange place; so, wouldn’t have any idea.
If you read that article and come away thinking that you already knew all that, then you’ll have a point.
Already knew all of it except the recent (post-financial meltdown and post bailouts) political, government, and FI wrangling over the GSEs. Well worth reading for that part. The coverage of the history up through the meltdown is good enough if one is unfamiliar with any part of it. Some of it is strong and some not nearly precise enough, but length always has to be a consideration on what to include and what to edit out.
The solutions in search of the problem? Meh. Or maybe I should say, it’s the surplus cash, stupid. Congress and Administrations never seem to figure that piece out and banksters are always quick to grab as much of it as they can.
Fundamental issues about Fannie and Freddie can be posed to the public. Such as who owns?
Who wouldn’t feel better knowing that his/her excess SSI contributions had been invested in Freddie/Fannie over the years and now 100% owned and Freddie/Fannie mortgages instead of sitting around as T-bills earning 0.31%?
Can Warren write the legislation? Up or down vote? LOL
Not under this administration that wants to rid the public of this horrible problem of Fannie and Freddie. But it’s like the effort to privatize Social Security, only the elites want it done and there’s little appetite from the public to go along with it.
I don’t believe that’s the administration’s position. They want the private capital out front with Freddie/Fannie as back stops.
Whatever we want to happen to change them will take a lot of political capital that I’m not sure anyone Democrat is currently willing to spend.
Did you read the article? I didn’t pull that information out of my ass. Rarely do, contrary to what many of your responses to my comments suggest.
Afraid it will be corrupted again? Union accountants might make that more difficult, no?
To the GOP union workers ARE corruption.
Many large state pension funds lost millions invested in the mortgage finance giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac stock after those stocks tanked and then fell further after the companies were put in government conservatorship in 2008.
So, no, I was being a bit facetious.
Some discussion of the sausage making from Fact Checkers…http://www.factcheck.org/2014/04/obamacare-for-the-mortgage-industry/
Good! The Guardian – Paris attacks suspect Salah Abdeslam shot and arrested in Brussels raid
Changing the laws not to favor buying a house over other more sensible options might be a start.
Especially in light of this…
All-Cash Share of U.S. Home Sales in November Jumps to Highest Level Since March 2013
http://www.realtytrac.com/news/home-prices-and-sales/november-2015-u-s-cash-sales-report/
All that QE cash looking for safe havens in real assets.
Just get rid of all the laws and subsidies that put a thumb on the scale for home ownership over other options. On housing the other options aren’t great and/or in sufficient supply for people to resist the lure of homeownership and at least cap the capital cost portion of housing for decades into the future.
Ever live in a tenement? I have. Shut your mouth!
The choice for people shouldn’t be a house subsidized by government or a tenement owned by a slumlord.
Who is talking about subsidy? I’ve had enough of those people (there are a multitude of meanings here) don’t deserve (X/Y/Z taken for granted by the middle class). Don’t deserve houses, don’t deserve cars, don’t deserve medical care, don’t deserve food. It seems the only thing we deserve is to work every waking moment and send our sons (and now our daughters) off to die in foreign wars or come back with minds and/or bodies horribly mutilated. But owning a crummy 1200 sq ft basement-less ranch house or a 700 sq ft ancient city bungalow isn’t good enough for us. We should just cut our throats or accept 25 cents an hour like our foreign competition. The New Deal is truly dead and the Democratic Party Elite killed it.
Wow! That was more than I ever wanted to know about those GSEs. I like the idea of stakeholders as opposed to shareholders. A kind of balancing act between the stakeholders may be the best way to go.
I don’t understand all the accounting for mortgages but given there are trillions of dollars of them and related derivatives spread over many financial institutions there will always be significant risk. So far we are doing a decent job of ignoring it. Hope it works
She should do an article on the causes of the crash.
“The related derivatives” are a Wall St. concoction and not necessary to a healthy mortgage system.
Sub prime mortgages found their way into CDOs which some say we’re a factor in the crash.
That was at the front end of the transactions that led to the crash. Possibly started out as the second step with MBS repackaged and sliced and diced as CDOs. The hunger for CDOs with their higher rates of return, fueled sub-prime mortgage originations. And the greater the hunger the less underwriting was done on the loan applications.
The bankster public argument to get away from Fannie and Freddie is that their loan requirements were far too rigid and inflexible for perfectly safe and secure mortgages. There’s always a bit of truth in any proposition for change. The real reason was that by cutting Fannie and Freddie out of the loop, bankers and brokers got a larger share of the profit. And more if they marketed the securities as CDOs. The derivatives fell into two broad categories. Insurance on the value of the CDOs (what AIG got snookered into taking on), but the were end of the insurance derivative daisy chain. The second was what “The Big Short” presented — bets on the value of CDOs. A version of the traditional “puts and calls.” A difference here is that there wasn’t an owner on one side of the transaction. That seems also to have been the case with the insurance derivatives. IOW it was closer to pure gambling than is usually practiced by Wall St.
Read this book to get all the mind numbing details of the derivatives.
While searching for the link I found this one that looks pretty good too. Haven’t read the second one.
Gave a copy of the first one to a conservative Republican friend last year. He hasn’t mentioned it, but since he didn’t deride it as Socialist trash, I think he found some uncomfortable truths.