A new Morning Consult poll finds that Bernie Sanders is the most popular senator in the country and that Majority Leader Mitch McConnell is the least popular. This comes at the same time that Donald Trump’s newest caddie, Gov. Chris Christie of New Jersey, has reached new lows in popularity in the Garden State. I suppose Ted Cruz can comfort himself that the public has some Republicans that they hate with more white hot furor than himself, but this won’t last if he keeps up his shenanigans.
His newest stunt, coming on the heels of naming Carly Fiorina as his running mate, is a result of looking at some polling data that shows him losing in Indiana and some other other polling data that shows that Hoosier conservatives hate transgender people.
“As Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas seeks every possible edge to stop Donald Trump, he has seized on a once-obscure issue with a proven power to inflame conservatives: letting transgender women use women’s bathrooms,” the New York Times reports.
“With polls showing a narrower lead for Mr. Trump in Indiana than in the five Eastern states that he swept on Tuesday, the Cruz campaign’s private polling indicates that the bathroom issue has the power to help close the gap. Moreover, it is fresh in Indiana voters’ minds because of high-profile battles in the state in recent years over gay rights.”
Yes, it’s fresh in the minds of Indianans that Gov. Mike Pence signed an anti-gay “Religious Freedom Bill” and caused an immediate business boycott of their state. Meanwhile, Gov. Pence obviously can’t read a poll because despite the fact that Ted Cruz is about to get shellacked in his state’s primary, Pence will endorse his transgender-hating ass.
Meanwhile, Pew Research finds the Republican Party less popular than anytime since 1992, and Trump has a net unfavorable number of thirty-seven percent. His 28% approval number mimics George W. Bush’s numbers at the nadir of his presidency, and also barely tops the 27% who voted for Alan Keyes over a young state Senator from Illinois named Barack Obama.
Yeah but the Democrats suck too, so I guess that doesn’t matter because both sides do it.TM
Holy Cow. Now it’s really, really time for that “Democrats in Disarray” meme.
Also, it’s time for bunch of posts explaining that this opinion poll about Senator Sanders, rather than anything that has happened in the various states’ primaries and caucuses, ought to determine the Democratic presidential nomination.
Been taking insult lessons from Rush or the GOP?
Must feel great to insult the supporters of the only candidate with positive favorable ratings because the lady that had the name id, beaucoup bucks, MSM, and Dem party machine all in her court, managed to beat a 74 year old Social Democrat from Vermont.
And another advantage was HRC’s decision to hire hitman David Brock, known for his dirty tricks. Some people may rationalize this by stating “politics ain’t beanbag”; but after Nixon, the average person knows dirty tricks when he/she sees them and is not impressed.
http://observer.com/2016/03/hillary-clinton-must-sever-ties-with-dirty-tricks-hitman-david-brock/
Please give it a rest. You are more than welcome to argue against this claim when someone here posts it. Until then, you just come off as an example of an obnoxious Clinton supporter.
Toilets have long been a staple in the political arsenal of the rightwing. Some time ago, in the rightwing political rhetoric of the day, feminists were leading the charge for unisex restrooms. Wasn’t true but it scared enough people that it helped defeat the ERA.
Not to mention those segregated bathrooms, water fountains etc. in the South…and, more recently, issues with public swimming pools in certain urban neighborhoods (I remember some issues in, I think, the Bronx?).
This is discrimination at its most pure, primitive, ignorant and disgusting. At the basic, animal, bodily-functions level…it’s incredible that this happens in a civilized society.
I’ll do the honors myself: “Who says it’s a civilized society” (etc. etc.)
Incredible that the rubes never get that they’re being manipulated.
. . . they wouldn’t really be rubes now, would they?
Conservative politics has always been about appealing to the hindbrain. The veneer of civilization is a thin one. Lord of the Flies and all that.
You think Cruz is going to get shellacked in Indianastan? Trump’s lead looks pretty modest there.
Why would 32,500 Philly Democrats vote for Vodvarka in the 2016 Senate primary race? And why did Vodvarka get 19% in the 2012 Senate primary against Casey? Who votes for someone like Vodvarka who has zero qualifications for the US Senate and appears to be a crank of a libertarian sort.
People disgusted with professional politicians, who are legion.
BTW, I do not agree that the answer is unprofessional politicians. People hate lawyers too, but they don’t get the crank down the street to defend them in court or prepare their will.
Hoping to get something more specific about PA voters and this particular candidate. We’ve been seeing the DEM primary voters going for that Rocky guy for POTUS, but his numbers are much smaller than Vodvarka’s in the PA Senate primary.
People are fed up with professional contractors, too. But you don’t see them hiring nobodies off the street to build houses.
Or if they do, I sure as shit don’t want to go to their houses.
No, but they do hire “handymen” to do things the professional contractors do.
And while on the subject, contractors and politicians fit together. They are tied in corruption at the lowest levels of government.
I thought things were reasonably close in Indiana before the “VP” announcement.
Ted Cruz is about to get shellacked in his state’s primary,
Do you disagree with this?
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/indiana-republican/
There’s a primary in Alberta?
Not a huge sample to work with:
But the reek of flop sweat is unmistakable; is it enough to dissuade Cruz-inclined voters from bothering?
This will be a good test of Sam Wang’s “border county” method. In unpolled states, he inferred the projected leaders by using the election results from border counties from neighboring states. It predicted Trump +7 before the most recent polls came out (the current polling average is Trump +9).
He also had a reader (N) who developed a method using Google Correlate, which I don’t fully understand, but I’m assuming it has something to do with search trends by state. In any event, this reader’s method has done remarkably well at predicting Trump’s outsized margin in recent states, but it hasn’t had much to predict yet. So it can be tested here, too.
In any event, 538’s polling-alone method has done a lot better than it’s special sauce (polling + demographics) method, so that indicates that the data generated by demographic prediction is garbage. Something I would have guessed anyways.
Ambling through the stories this morning I saw that apparently in a contested convention the delegates choose the VP. So apparently Ted skipped that chapter in his rush to put up Carly.
Well, the delegates always choose. The question is can the Presidential nominee control the delegates?
Richard Nixon Approval Rating before he left office: 24%
http://www.gallup.com/poll/116677/presidential-approval-ratings-gallup-historical-statistics-trends.
aspx
Donald Trump Favorable rating: NBC/WSJ 4/10 – 4/14: 24%
Yea – it’s cherry picking a bit, but if you remove the online polls (which are junk) you get a Huffington post average of 27%.
By that standard Clinton is popular, though she is 35-55.
The likely nominees are amazingly disliked.
I am tempted to say something about the establishment and blah blah blah.
But I just don’t think people like Trump, Clinton or Cruz. I am not sure it is anything deeper then that.
Because Obama’s numbers are significantly better, and indeed have NEVER gotten as close to as low as Clinton and Trump’s.
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/donald-trump-favorable-rating#!estimate=custom&hidd
enpollsters=morning-consult,yougoveconomist,apgfk-web,mclaughlin-r,nbcsurveymonkey,bloombergpurple-s
trategies
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/hillary-clinton-favorable-rating#!estimate=custom&h
iddenpollsters=morning-consult,yougoveconomist,apgfk-web,mclaughlin-r,bloombergpurple-strategies,sai
nt-leo-university,huffpostyougov,apgfk-web,politico-penn-schoen-berland,harris-internet
the inspiration for the originators of the now-famous (well, in certain circles anyway) “Crazification Factor”. I.e., the level at which support for something as nuts as supporting Keyes vs. Obama bottoms out, because that crazy 27ish% of the population seems to be remarkably consistent in recent history (e.g., those still approving dubya at around the same time).