The territory shown on the map is not controlled by Iranian forces or the Syrian Army, but only in part by US supported Syrian Kurds. The largest swat of land is under control of Turkey, Al Nusra and the Turkmen. All these militant groups get their weapons and supplies from the West though Gaziantep and Hatay pronince. Even if the Syrian Army broke the rebel siege of the eastern district of Aleppo, nothing would change further north to the border.
Amid Syrian chaos, Iran’s game plan emerges: a path to the Mediterranean | The Guardian |
“If we lose Syria, we lose Tehran,” Suleimani told the late Iraqi politician Ahmed Chalabi in 2014. Chalabi told the Observer at the time that Suleimani had added: “We will turn all this chaos into an opportunity.” [In earlier article, same author attributed the quote to an unidentified Iranian cleric – Oui]
Securing Aleppo would be an important leg in the corridor, which would run past two villages to the north that have historically been in Shia hands. From there, a senior Syrian official, and Iraqi officials in Baghdad, said it would run towards the outskirts of Syria’s fourth city, Homs, then move north through the Alawite heartland of Syria, which a year of Russian airpower has again made safe for Assad. Iran’s hard-won road ends at the port of Latakia, which has remained firmly in regime hands throughout the war.
Ali Khedery, who advised all US ambassadors to Iraq and four commanders of Centcom in 2003-11 said securing a Mediterranean link would be seen as a strategic triumph in Iran. “It signifies the consolidation of Iran’s control over Iraq and the Levant, which in turn confirms their hegemonic regional ambitions,” he said. “That should trouble every western leader and our regional allies because this will further embolden Iran to continue expanding, likely into the Gulf countries next, a goal they have explicitly and repeatedly articulated. Why should we expect them to stop if they’ve been at the casino, doubling their money over and over again, for a decade?”
What We Left Behind | The New Yorker – April 2014 |
In the effort to put down the upheaval, Maliki ringed the province’s two largest cities, Falluja and Ramadi, with artillery and began shelling. Forty-four Sunni members of parliament resigned. In Falluja and Ramadi, Sunni police abandoned their posts.
Maliki, apparently realizing that he had miscalculated, ordered the Army to leave both cities. Within hours, dozens of armed men, their trucks flying black flags, swept into the downtowns, declaring that they were from the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant, an Al Qaeda splinter group. Locals said that it was made up of men who had fought the Americans. “They are sleeper cells–local people,” a Falluja resident, who watched the rebels come into the streets, told me. “Al Qaeda was here all along, lying low. And now they control Falluja.”
- ○ David Petraeus: ISIS’s Rise in Iraq Isn’t a Surprise | PBS – July 2014 |
○ Flawed Reasoning and Misleading Projection On ISIL Origin by Oui on Oct. 3, 2014
○ Armed groups Ahrar al Sham and Jabhat al Nusra — captured the provincial capital of Raqqa by Oui on July 13, 2013
○ Push by Saudi Clerics for an Islamic State in Al-Sham (Syria) by Oui on Jan. 4, 2013
Just as in Vietnam with the lies from Westmoreland and McNamara, the US public has been misled and lied to about US involvement with Saudi Arabia and the proxy war in Syria against Iran.
○ Obama Admits He Lacks A Strategy to Combat ISIL in the Levant by Oui on Aug. 29, 2014
○ US With Both Feet in Syrian Quagmire by Oui on June 27, 2014
I saw that piece. Seemed pretty outlandish projection on the Guardian’s part.
Um, the Islamic Republic of Iran has been arming its proxy Hezbollah in Lebanon; Hezbollah fighters are prominent in the Syrian war on the side of the Assad government. And of course Assad is also backed by Iran. This all goes along confessional lines: they’re either Shiites (Iran and Hezbollah) or Alawites (a secretive group in Syria strongly influenced by Shiism). Call this alliance what you want, but by maintaining such an alliance, Iran does indeed get a route to the Mediterranean. It might not be via the exact route on the map in the Guardian but it is a route.
Do you ever read your own comment before posting?
Why I’m not surprised, a lot of hogwash. Just unbelievable … whom do you support for president? That figures …
Just a tiny bit of knowledge about recent history would suffice! The Western colonial defensive line after WWII to counter Soviet communism ran from Ankara, through Damascus, Baghdad, Teheran to Kabul. It has become indigenous with colonial powers driven out, except for Turkey. Erdogan has turned to Putin in recent weeks … next to follow are Greece and Bulgaria.
« click for more info
Notice the location of Khorassan?
Compliments from the Carter/Reagan era … creation of jihadists in Afghanistan by CIA (think Mossadeq) in alliance with Prince Bandar from Saudi Arabia and ISI from Pakistan. Thirty-five years on …
○ Pentagon: ‘Kinetic Strike’ Kills Khorassan Leader in Syria
You train them in the AfPak region and assassinate them decades later in the Levant. Still telling the public: “The rebels in the Levant are moderates.”
All of this seems very beside the point.
Good to know the history, sure.
But it doesn’t change that the war in the region is sectarian now, with Iran controlling a straight line through Iraq and Syria into southern Lebanon.
No, they don’t. First, the Kurdish areas are Kurdish nationalists of both Sunni and Shia branches of Islam. And more importantly, the Kurdish areas in Syria are not continuous, Turkey saw to that.
All apart from that afaik no one builds pipelines through a war zone.
It has been no secret during the Bush years and continued under president Obama … why deny it?
○ US Special Forces sabotage White House policy gone disastrously wrong with covert ops in Syria
○ WikiLeaks: US Embassy Officials’ Views on Sanctioning Syrian Insiders and on Assad | Syria Comment – Aug. 4, 2011 |
○ Syria Drama In the Making – the Bush and Obama Years 2005-2013
In the meantime doing the feudal Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and international “pariah” state of Israel a favor!
At this point it would be curious to know just how many SYRIANS are still with the rebels, even IF they are Sunni.
So much merc money sloshing around from SA and CIA, probably. Where else is a poor displaced Sunni to make a living?
Moon of Alabama has a curious post up….claiming the Turks have paid ISIS to leave Mosul and move to Deir Ezzor, the place the US bombed recently, supposedly in error. (Turks will invest Mosul, I guess…) “This would enable the U.S. and its allies to create a “Sunni entity” in east-Syria and west-Iraq which would be a permanent thorn in side of Syria and its allies.
http://www.moonofalabama.org/2016/10/the-salafist-principality-isis-paid-off-to-leave-mosul-and-to-t
ake-deir-ezzor.html
Not a peep from US over Erdogan’s insult of the Iraqi PM. Nor over Turkish tanks across the border
Complexities of alliance in the Near East. Be aware Erdogan’s Turkey is allied to the Muslim Brotherhood of Qatar, tied to Hamas and Islamists in the Sinai and Libya.
The incursions by Turkey’s military into Northern Syria and Iraq are just token to preserve the logistics for military aid to protected extremists/jihadists.
War of words between Erdogan and Iraq’s PM Haider al-Abadi …
To @RT_Erdogan: we are not your enemy
and we will liberate our land through the
determination of our men and not by video calls
○ Erdogan tells Abadi to ‘know his place’ | Al Monitor |
Posted earlier @MoA
○ Turkey’s Demands Complicate Battle Plan to Retake Mosul From Islamic State | WSJ |
Yeah, Mike Flynn a great thinker … NOT!
○ Former DIA Chief Michael Flynn Says Rise of Islamic State was “a willful decision” and Defends Accuracy of 2012 Memo
Plain and clear, not beating around the bush.
As Secretary of State, HRC and PM Erdogan were best of friends to exploit the Arab Uprising in Tunesia, Libya, Egypt and Syria.
Hillary became to poster girl of Qatar’s Al Jazeera. And funds continued flowing into the foundation …
>>Where is the Universal Declaration of Human Rights? Where is law?
LOL!
Erdogan lecturing others on law and human rights! Pot. Kettle. Black.
Saudi anger at Egypt’s president al-Sisi
I had been reading that Sisi was toast. Maybe not…
[Due to multiple embedded links, posted as part of a discussion @MoA – Oui]
Must not have watching the energy supply to western Europe direct from Russia [Gazprom]: Ukraine harassment, Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline project. The cancellation of the South Stream from Caspian Sea through Turkey into Bulgaria … etc. The renewed contract signed this week by Putin and Erdogan … politics and Turkisch Stream.
The Syrian War is about the opening of a corridor to the Meditteranean Sea for natural gas from Qatar and the South Pars fields. Some urgency has been alleviated after the find and exploration near Gaza and Israel: the Leviathan fields. The proposed pipeline corridor through Afghanistan has been well dovumented: from the Caspian Sea to the Indian Ocean with no Russian influence whatsoever. Taliban leadership was welcomed by George Bush in Texas ahead of the 9/11 attacks.
Under heavy protest from the West and the US, Iran has developed the pipeline through Pakistan. The Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India Pipeline (TAPI) project will be completed by January 2020. Why else would NATO and the US still be in a wartorn nation like Afghanistan, fifteen tears after 9/11?
Has LING technology started to compete with pipelines?