Year: 2016

For the GOP, It’s Always a Base Election

I wonder if anyone has come up with workable definition of a base election. The idea is simple enough. Some elections are won not by winning an argument with the other side and persuading swing voters or independents or...

Read More

Did Nikki Haley Target Just Trump?

There seems to be a pretty strong consensus on the right that South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley’s State of the Union rebuttal speech was a badly misguided attempt to hurt Donald Trump’s chances of winning the...

Read More

Is It Time for a New Deal?

Yesterday, Kevin Drum expressed some astonishment that Gallup polling shows that Americans are simultaneously satisfied with how their personal lives are going and deeply dissatisfied with their country. One of our feature...

Read More

Amazing Day in polls: maybe some dem blogs will notice

I don’t really remember the last time a candidate had as good a day in polling as Sanders had today BEFORE Iowa. Iowa Sanders +5 (Quin) Clinton +6 (PPP) NH Sanders +14 (monmouth) National Clinton 47, Sanders 41 (NYT) These...

Read More