I wrote about this over the weekend but something new occurred to me today on this whole issue of whether or not the president of the United States can pardon himself. On the one hand, it’s simply not true that the president cannot pardon himself. He could do it right now. And then he would have done it.
But this doesn’t necessarily mean a whole lot. After all, it’s generally agreed (although not universally) that a sitting president cannot be prosecuted for a crime and a president certainly has the power to order his own Department of Justice not to prosecute. The immediate remedy for serious criminal misconduct is removal from office through the impeachment process or perhaps the 25th Amendment. Whether Trump pardons himself or not, he’s still subject to those remedies so it wouldn’t inoculate him.
On the other hand, once the president is either termed out, defeated or impeached and convicted, his status reverts back to that of an ordinary United States citizen. And, in that role, the courts regain their power. While they can say they don’t recognize a self-pardon from a sitting president, they can’t really do much about it if the president is willing to order the Justice Department to follow his lead. They have no way of compelling the prosecution of a president who insists on not being prosecuted. Ultimately, they’d have to rely on Congress to step into the breach in the rule of law. But if the courts refuse to recognize the legality of a self-pardon, then private-citizen Trump would have no protection.
In other words, Trump gets no real benefit from a self-pardon while he’s still president. And once he’s no longer president, he has no assurance that a self-pardon would be of any use either.
The important question, then, is whether Trump would make the effort at all considering it would create a giant backlash without any guarantee of a corresponding benefit. Senate Judiciary Committee Chairman Charles Grassley just commented on this issue, saying, “If I were President of the United States and I had a lawyer that told me I could pardon myself, I think I would hire a new lawyer.”
That’s his way of saying that he would not have the president’s back if he were to pardon himself, which is another way of saying that Trump would be setting himself up to potentially lose an impeachment trial in the Senate. Of course, the issue would have come before the Senate for Grassley to have any say on the matter, and the House Republicans are much more reliable allies to the president than the Senate Republicans. Still, it seems like a self-pardon would be a truly irrational decision unless made on the way out the door in the desperate hope that it would hold up and prevent an otherwise inevitable prison term.
The self-pardon is obviously the extreme case here. Trump could also issue pardons to people like Paul Manafort and Michael Flynn, and do so for purely and transparently corrupt purposes. It could be a bit tougher to unwind those pardons, and the courts might rule that a self-pardon goes too far but that there is otherwise no remedy for a corrupt pardon.
Even here, though, the utility of these kinds of pardons is questionable. Michael Flynn could get out of his plea deal with his accompanying obligation to cooperate with the Special Counsel, but he’s already been cooperating for quite some time. He’d also lose his right to avoid self-incrimination and could be compelled to testify anyway. Paul Manafort is still fighting his charges, so it would definitely not be to the president’s advantage to take away his Fifth Amendment rights.
Finally, the pardon power only extends to federal crimes, and there’s little question that people like Michael Cohen and Rick Gates have committed crimes that could be prosecuted in state courts. Trump can’t really protect them.
This is all a long of way of saying that the pardon issue isn’t among our more pressing concerns, even if the president and his advisers’ attitude about the issue is concerning. It indicates that this administration has no respect for either the spirit or the rule of law and will contemplate anything, no matter how corrupt, to avoid accountability.
And Trump can still do a lot to impede this investigation, and do so without necessarily crossing Chuck Grassley’s red line.
Second ¶, I think that should be the 25th Amendment (Section 4)?
No, I think Martin meant a 22nd Amendment solution.
That is a likely outcome, right? That Trump gains a second term through a combination of voter suppression and faithful fascist followers, leaves office on January 20, 2025 via the 22nd Amendment, and would then become subject to legal consequences, self pardon or no.
A grim thought.
(I’d have suggested the same correction if s/he hadn’t beat me to it.)
The context (” . . . immediate remedy . . . removal from office . . . “) doesn’t suggest merely being term-limited by the 22nd.
I don’t have much faith in Chuck Grassley’s ephemeral red line. The integrity train left the station when he blocked Obama’s Supreme Court pick.
If he’s not impeached, once Trump’s status reverts back to that of an ordinary United States citizen, he’s immune from prosecution. The very idea that a former Republican president would be locked up under a Democratic administration is laughable. (And of course the Republicans wouldn’t hold him accountable.) There’s just no way. At most there might be an Airing of Grievances.
. . . pretty much every day’s Festivus now.
You didn’t mention that anyone who receives a pardon loses his Fifth Amendment right to avoid self-recrimination and would therefore be compelled to testify openly and fully about their participation in any conspiracy.
Trump can’t afford that.
The problem from booman’s standpoint is what prosecutor is going to force him to do that? If he orders the justice dept to stand down, they must, booman figures (I have doubts, as I think he would have done this already. It would look bad, but his guilt coming out is worse). State court? If he can’t get a pardon there, he can’t lose immunity there.
Actually, I did mention that.
The mind reels as this case opens up more and more Constitutional questions.
Thinking about the differentiation between crimes Mueller may charge against Trump et al during the campaign & transition and before the inaugeration.
Then there’s crimes Trump may face while in office Before this is done the media won’t be the only ones that Trump is caught lying to.
I’m a slow learner but it’s become clear that when it comes to Team Trump, their first goal is always to deflect, then lead the media on a merry chase away from their real plan, all the while not knowing what their real plan is themselves.
What about statutes of limitation? What if, by the time Trump becomes Citizen Trump, they’ve run,and he can’t be touched?
I have yet to see a breakdown of this. But this whole “we can get him when he’s not president” fantasy rests on the idea the statutes will not have run yet. And I’m not sure that’s true.
I have looked and not been able to find it, but I saw a piece that pointed out sealed indictments would stay the statute of limitations from running.
“…Trump can still do a lot to impede this investigation…”
It does not appear to me that Trump has, as yet, done anything concrete and effective (as distinct from a good deal of posturing) to impede the investigation.
Are you considering, for example, Manafort’s non-co-operation (down to date) as impeding the investigation and, if so, do you put it down to action by Trump?
Bottom line: if he is capable of impeding the investigation, when’s he going to start?
Well, his options aren’t great. The decision to fire Comey did not work out for him. He has been talked out of firing Sessions, Rosenstein and Mueller multiple times.
But as for cooperation, he tried that and didn’t like it. His legal team is gone. He’s conceding that impeachable offenses will be delivered to Congress, and so now it’s all political.
But, generally speaking, suborning perjury, obstructing justice, and tampering with the jury are considered a form of impeding an investigation. The House Intel investigation is the most blatant example of impeding an investigation, but he may yet refuse to obey a subpoena or move to fire people and shut the investigation down. He may try to strategically pardon people. A lot of people think the pardons he’s already handed out are efforts to suborn perjury or prevent cooperation from witnesses. Calling Michael Flynn on the phone and telling him to stay strong was not much different from what Manafort has just been accused of doing.
That is hasn’t worked very well as yet does not mean he hasn’t been trying.
You assume the donald can keep his base once Mueller reveals his obstruction case. We only know what Comey has reported, what the tweets reveal, and that the donald wrote the statement for Don Jr. We have no idea what else Mueller has uncovered. Keep in mind the donald likes to brag and cannot keep a secret.
HAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHA!
His policies are DIRECTLY fucking over his base, and they still love him for it.
Gotta admit: that his base is actually STUPIDER than the Germans under Nazism, is quite amazing. I mean, the Nazis had to repeatedly and assiduously take care that their Aryan German supporters were well-fed, well-housed, had jobs, etc. It diverted resources from rearmament and the war effort, but they knew that there was a limit to how much sacrifice they could ask of their “base”.
It seems that for Shitmidas, that limit is either a lot lower than we thought, or it doesn’t even exist. Which is …. startling.
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The salient fact of American politics is that there are fifty to seventy million voters each of who will volunteer to live, with his family, in a cardboard box under an overpass, and cook sparrows on an old curtain rod, if someone would only guarantee that the black, gay, Hispanic, liberal, whatever, in the next box over doesn’t even have a curtain rod, or a sparrow to put on it.
Davis X Machina
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Cooking sparrows on an old curtain rod whilst living in a cardboard box under an underpass?
LUXURY!
Hat tip to Monty Python.
I agree, however. Trump’s base will happily let their kids die of starvation if they’re encouraged to and praised for blasting out all of their racist, bigoted, sexist, homophobic hatred, apparently.
Pretty appalling, but there it is.
Maybe I’m stupid but a part of this I’m having real trouble understanding is how, when congressional leaders are asked about crafting legislation that would protect Muller et al. from firing or other Presidential interference, they smoothly repeat that it’s “not necessary” because the President “would never” do that. (Sometimes they elaborate that Trump “knows” he would be impeached if that happened.)
Obviously none of these people are acting in good faith. But what’s the rationale for this? I just don’t get it. Are they sending a signal to Trump not to do it? Are they laying the groundwork for the inevitable moment when Trump does it, and they have to explain having done nothing — and continuing to do nothing — about it?
They’re doing a lot of things. They’re telling the president not to do it. They’re avoiding making the Republican base angry. They’re waiting for Mueller to deal a death blow that gives them cover to make Pence the president.
Hope you’re right. If we get through this, just imagine what the Trump presidential library will be like.
Hey, Nixon has one.
I’m sure a Trump library will look very like a gift shop with a golf course, cigar lounge and condos for Russians to launder their money.
Oh geeze, imagine the grift! Combine that with the kitsch and it will be quite the monument.
.
. . . the-Year Time Magazine cover framed and hanging in prominent view.
There is no line the republicans in the Senate and House will not allow Trump to cross. I am firmly convinced that not a single damn one gives the slightest flying fuck about ‘country’ so long as their base is kept salivating and their <strike>masters</strike> donors are kept happy with tax cuts and destroying the last vestiges of the 20th century.
Strongman Trump:
“I could stand in the middle of 5th Avenue and shoot somebody and I wouldn’t lose voters”.
Strongman Trump attorney:
“I don’t know how you can indict while he’s in office. No matter what it is…If he shot James Comey, he’d be impeached the next day. Impeach him and then you can do whatever you want to do to him”.
Strongman Trump:
“I have the absolute right to pardon myself”.
Driftglass (poet, prophet):
“What happens when Trump pardons himself? (November 9th, 2016). https://twitter.com/Mr_Electrico/status/796524541950513153
This is right-wing authoritarian behavior. This shouldn’t be a surprise to anyone who has been paying attention.
Don’t ever let it become normal. Classic frog in a boiling pot scenario.
Just wondering when Trump is going to recognize that he’s losing his abilities to bully Congress and that they are gaining the upper hand as the only thing standing between him and impeachment.
Likewise, when are Rep in Congress going to recognize that for the next few months, a critical few months, they have leverage against Trump. Immigration and tariffs come to mind.
I question if Flynn would try to wriggle out of his plea deal. I’m under the impression that part of his agreement to cooperate comes from his need to protect his son from prosecution. A pardon doesn’t seem appealing under those circumstances.
A pardon for Flynn and Manafort and rest of the clowns….does that mean they can just go back to what they were doing? Can they just get on a plane and fly into London, Berlin, or some where in the Ukraine and do whatever it was they were doing. If you were in a restaurant and someone that looked like Flynn walked in. Would you stay and hope there was no mix up and you get served the plutonium laced dinner?
via freeper gulch: