North Carolina isn’t getting enough attention. It’s understandable that the media is focused on Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and Georgia, as well as Arizona and Nevada. Those are all competitive states that will help determine the winner of the 2024 presidential election. But North Carolina is competitive, too. The latest FiveThirtyEight weighted polling average in the Tarheel State has Trump up by 0.6 percentage points.

If you want to know what happens to Trump’s chances if he loses North Carolina, I encourage you to play with 270toWin.com’s Electoral College Map. With 16 Electoral College votes, the same as Georgia, it carries more weight than all the other swing states, save Pennsylvania. And I think one factor that is really going to hurt Trump in North Carolina is the Republican Party’s gubernatorial candidate, Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson. The man is a flat-out extremist, and his absolutist anti-choice positions place him far out of the mainstream.

The latest news on this front is a recording of comments Robinson made on September 3rd, at a campaign event in Troy, North Carolina. Robinson tried to explain why he’s publicly endorsing the state’s 12-week ban on abortion instead of taking a more restrictive stance, and he basically gave the game away:

“That 12 weeks, exceptions for rape and incest … I’m not going to say it’s reasonable. But my faith allows me to live with that, because that’s where the consensus is. Do I want to continue to lower it? You better know it. I would love to get down to six weeks. And I’d like to get down to zero. I would like to push it back as far as we could and eliminate as many abortions as we can.”

“We can’t do it all at once,” he added. “The Democrats started off with Roe v. Wade, then moved to ‘safe, legal, and rare.’ Then they got to where? Nine months in the womb. They did that over 50 years. … And we can do it.”

…In the audio shared with NBC News, Robinson also told the woman that he has not changed his stance on abortion “at all” and that “there’s no reason why an abortion should happen ever.”

“I’m 100% for life, and that’s how I think it should be. If I’m a pastor in the pulpit, that’s what I’m preaching.”

Of course, Robinson is not a pastor. He actually has a bachelor’s degree in history, and he says about the Holocaust, ” “this foolishness about Hitler disarming MILLIONS of Jews and then marching them off to concentration camps is a bunch of hogwash.” He says feminism is “watered by the devil, and is harvested and sold by his minions.” After the Pulse night club shooting in 2016, he said, “Homosexuality is STILL an abominable sin and I WILL NOT join in ‘celebrating gay pride.'”

You can read about his many other extreme, offensive and controversial statements on his Wikipedia page. I think when you add it all up that he’s going to lose badly to Democrat Josh Stein. And I think it’s actually going to act as a drag on Trump.