It’s a new year, and it’s a year in which the chickens are going to come home to roost. It’s a year when many Republicans are going to be spending considerable time in courtrooms.
Tom DeLay appears to have failed in his bid to have his trial begin in January. But, the trial will certainly start before November.
Scooter Libby will appear in court on February 3rd where a trial date will likely be set.
Meanwhile, it is highly unlikely that Fitzgerald will wrap up his investigation without indicting at least one or two more members of the Bush administration. My money is still on National Security Advisor Stephen Hadley and Deputy Chief of Staff Karl Rove.
Susan reports on the flipping of Jack Abramoff. There is speculation that Abramoff’s testimony could end the careers of as many as twenty Republican Congressmen. This could have a major impact on the House of Representatives: (231 Republicans, 202 Democrats, 1 Independent, 1 Vacancy). If we consider Duke Cunningham’s vacancy as a GOP seat, and the independent seat of Bernie Sanders as a Democratic seat, we can see that there is a margin of 29 seats. We need a net gain of 15 seats to retake the house. How many safe GOP seats will elect Democrats to replace their disgraced GOP congresspeople?
Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist has seen his Presidential ambitions go up in smoke over the Terry Schaivo affair and the SEC investigation into his alleged insider trading. It’s possible that he will be indicted and/or reprimanded by the Senate ethics committee and forced to resign his leadership post.
President Bush, already facing the prospect of losing his Brain in Karl Rove, and his national security advisor in Stephen Hadley, may face a whirlwind of scandals, with the potential for his impeachment and removal from office.
The AP reports:
Dr. Sawsan Alhaddad of Cleveland made the dangerous trip to Iraq on the CIA’s behalf. The book said her brother was stunned by her questions about the nuclear program because — he said — it had been dead for a decade.
New York Times reporter James Risen uses the anecdote to illustrate how the CIA ignored information that Iraq no longer had weapons of mass destruction. His book, “State of War: The Secret History of the CIA and the Bush Administration” describes secret operations of the Bush administration’s war on terrorism…
…In all, the book says, some 30 family members of Iraqis made trips to their native country to contact Iraqi weapons scientists, and all of them reported that the programs had been abandoned.
Nevertheless, the National Intelligence Estimate of 2002, a document demanded by Congress prior to the vote authorizing force in Iraq, stated that Iraq was actively rebuilding it’s nuclear program.
The NSA story continues to grow. Amy Goodman reports:
All of these events are likely to sour the electorate towards the current GOP leadership. But, none of them are as emotionally resonant as the war in Iraq. As more revelations come out about how the ‘facts were fixed around the policy’, how intelligence agents were bullied, how exonerating intelligence was ignored, how we used white phosphorous on civilians, about the widespread authorization of cruel and degrading treatment, as Italy indicts members of our CIA extraordinary rendition teams, as our secret Eastern Europe gulags are exposed, etc… American voter’s impatience with a failing Iraq will become more acute.
The Democrats need to offer a positive agenda in order to capitalize on this unique opportunity. But, part of the positive agenda has to involve lobbying reform and other anti-corruption legislation. And Congress needs to reassert their power within the three branches of government. The intelligence agencies have been scapegoated by this administration. They need rehabilitation. We need to combine more vigorous oversight with a new, more focused mission statement. We can restore morale at the same time that we expose misdeeds. Those misdeeds were carried out under pressure, and the intelligence agencies have been fighting back harder than the Democratic leadership. They deserve a fair shake, even as we reform them to assure no new warrantless wiretaps, or torture chambers, or trumped up inteliigence that misleads the country into war.
If 2006 is really going to be a repeat of 1974, them we need to avoid making the same mistakes we made in the late seventies that helped usher Ronald Reagan into office in 1981.
Yet, if we all pull together and do our part, 2006 could be the last full year that we suffer under this regime. And we certainly can regain one, or both, houses of Congress.
Here’s another juicy one:
Simply amazing what a little prick can do . . .
I’m sure he’s wishing he had married Miller now!
It turns out she was the NBC staffer trying to cut off Powell’s interview with Russert on MTP. That was the day of or day after she and Scanlon fell out.
In reading this story it sounds as if Scanlon and Miller were two of a kind. I almost feel sorry for her as the defense will intone the old “A woman scorned…”
Boo, please expand on this, either here or in another diary. This is a crucial item as we move forward. I think we all need to understand this point fully, in the spirit of “Those who fail to learn history are doomed to repeat it.”
There are a lot of us out here with memories / viewpoints / opinions on this subject, and it would be good to see if we have a consensus (or can develop one) regarding what the mistakes are that we need to avoid.
One thing we did wrong was to alienate the military and the intelligence communities by demonizing their leadership.
We need many of the same reforms today that we needed back then. But we have powerful allies within the Pentagon and intelligence agencies, true patriots, that are new converts from the GOP. They were largely in the GOP because of the mistakes we made in the late 70’s, and they are willing to help us rebuild our national security apparatus, as long as we don’t go on a witchhunt.
We need to focus on the leadership of the Executive and the appointed leaders of the administration. Not career officers and operatives.
…but it’s wise to remember that our career military leadership at the highest levels isn’t just military, but the military-industrial complex. While our focus should be on the appointed leaders, we forget at our peril that the Pentagon is interwoven with corporations who benefit from as well as drive aspects of U.S. foreign policy by pushing for certain weapons systems and selling certain weapon systems to people who spur other people to want those same weapons or weapons from, say, the military-industrial complexes of France, China and Russia (and tomorrow, who knows, Brazil and Iran).
Somehow, we need to come up with effective constraints on this revolving-door intertanglement, constraints that do not weaken our defenses but do not goad the world’s next arm’s race.
I’d like to explore/learn more about Iran-Contra. The undead from that era seem to play a heavy role in this current (and worse) undermining of democracy. IIRC, the Dem’s went for the immediate political gains that came from granting immunity to too many of the players so that they would testify at the Congressional hearings. It would have been better in the long run to let the wheels of justice turn slowly so that more of them ended up in jail.
Not enough perps did hard time. The conspirators got the feeling they’d “gotten away with it” and didn’t suffer any long-term consequences. They were supported by the Repub machine — Ollie North was treated like a hero instead of the traitor he is. The higher-ups were never touched at all.
Exactly!
Where among the career officers and operatives of any of the “agencies” old or new are you going to find the muscle or the sheer will to undo the decades of bad policy and subterfuge that Bush has merely managed to hone into a well oiled machine?
Point out how any of the “goodly hearted” can wrest the evil out of the CIA, FBI, CIFA, the NSA or that new shadowy spy agency of DHS when the Executive is applying all the “right filters” to the intelligence and installing “his guys” at the top to run herd.
Please find one good thing about the monstrosity that is the Dept. of Homeland Security and tell me why I am safer.
I understand your need to feel upbeat about the “Year of the Scandal”, but kicking out tainted congressmen and achieving a shift in congress, while a good thing in theory, means nothing when we are denied any real means to hold the Executive in check in his pursuit of GWOT.
I agree with MB when he says to beware the military-industrial complex. The same goes with the intelligence community. And more and more, it is difficult to separate the two.
While we were watching the Senate’s last throes before the break, Bush issued another Executive Order which radically changed the chain of command in the Defense Department. It speaks volumes to Bush’s mindset regarding GWOT and intelligence with the added bonus of charging corporate-interest civilians with our safety. Here is his new line up under Rummy at DoD:
How, even under the best of scandalous circumstances and a positive outcome in the fall can a realigned house and senate fight that line up and the rest of the Bush Regime when it comes to Bush’s GWOT-all-the-time, damn-the-intelligence, screw your civil liberties and “domestic policy? what domestic policy” mindset?
How can a realigned Congress fight? The budget, and burying nominees. That stated, I share your pessimism.
… the chickens are going to come home to roost …
Hey, Boo! Who you callin’ a chicken?!
bawk bawk bawk bawk.
Josh Marshall posted an extremely important letter this morning.
Is the Justice Department really willing to indict and try enough Congresspersons to actually threaten change to the control of the House? Here is an excerpt from the letter:
My interpretation of the letter is that Fitzgerald is not likely to indict enough Congresspersons to change the political balance of the Congress.
fitzy is not the prosecutor in the Abramoff thing.
This diary is now cross-posted.
Oh, yeah. Right you are. It’s the DoJ Congressional responsibility department or some such name. DoJ bureaucrats. Faceless, nameless, hapless (?)… Well, a department in DoJ anyway.
Still, the issue remains. Will they pursue enough Congresspersons to effect the control of either House of Congress?
Someone pointed out a dKos this morning that Abscam was a sting operation and this is an investigation.. Crucial difference.
I read it too, and question the premise. The commenter raised the issue of political pressure in context of the Abscam indictments, and didn’t come close to Fitzgerald’s investigation, much less “TAM”. Plame is separate and distinct from Abramoff, and does not include any (known) members of congress.
Further, if you read the coverage here @ BooMan on “TAM” you should note that “Low Jack” has been cooperating for almost a year, and the higher end of member indictments hovers around 10 or so. Not enough to change the balance of power, and certainly not enough to quash an ongoing investigation.
I’ll wait for the indictments and trust the DOJ prosecutors and investigators. That “letter” is a fart in a dustorm.
as in right now it appears to be largely a kickback scheme to enrich himself and Scanlon, and — in Florida — his partner, Kidan.
If there’s no eveidence of quid pro quo political favors/votes in exchange for campaign contributions forthcoming, the “tainted” congresspersons can continue to protest, like Ney, that they didn’t know what kind of operator Abramoff was. As of yet, I haven’t seen any media stories involving the payment of outright bribes like is ABSCOM. Campaign funding linkage to unethical, or even illegal behavior is difficult to prove. So, I’m less hopeful of the Abramoff lobbyist guilty plea deal leading to congressional convictions on corruption charges than perhaps more speculative bloggers, posters, and commentators seem to be.
That is not to deny all hopeful signs of really big fish frying. I think the international shady dealings may lead to some unpleasant surprises in the WH and Bush Administration. Consequently, the Year of Scandal may come to be as BooMan predicts. Perhap not in the arena we’re focused on at the moment.
Agreed quid pro quo is hard to prove, but the prosecutors in three agencies (DOJ, IRS, GSA-IG) seemed to have connected those dots at least once. Whether or not it’s the “Year of Scandal” will not affect the election unless democrats produce viable candidates, and a clear set of goals.
While showing a quid pro quo is difficult, the indictment lists two staffers, A and B, who are apparently the Chieves of Staff to DeLay and Ney. Both (I think) left the jobs to work as lobbyists, and lobbied their previous employer less than a year after leaving the job. This is a violation of law, normally not enforced, but puts the prosecutors in a strong position to get them to testify against Ney and DeLay.
Note also the indictment specified personal things that Ney got, like a golfing trip to Scotland and use of Abramoff’s sky box. DeLay got three such trips to Scotland. If the Chiefs of Staff testity that the gifts were connected to official actions, and Abramoff and Scanlon agree, it might be pretty easy to get convictions.
This is so wide-spread that any jury pool in D.C. is going to be pretty easy to convince.
I’d like to think that Fitzgerald and the DoJ are going to wait until the reaction to each revalation starts to die down and then release another one to keep the noise level up high. Do this until the trials start, and then the trials do it. It should build to something of a cresendo as the key politicians get indicted and tried.
Of course, I may be over-optimistic. We may see a flurry if reports, anger and disgust, and suddenly it all dies down and we hear nothing for months.
one needs a sabbatical just to multi-task this scandal sheet.
Let’s see, we’ve Fitz reeling in Libby, with Rove and Hadley still on hook. Ronnie Earle bagged Delay. Abramoff-Scanlon-Kidan pleas likely to BBQ several congresscritters. Almost forgot, there’s Frist SEC insider trading probe. OMG.
We need some fresh cream for a heapful of heavy icing on this GOP cake, decorated with one letter – “I” Yea, given he already admitted guilt, I dare to dream that the upcoming hearings on Bushie’s warrantless NSA taps will become Articles of Impeachment.
Well wasn’t the bar lowered to impeach Bill?
Unfortunately the entirely Republican Appeals Court in Texas granded the defense motion:
To be specific, all the court did was agree to hold a hearing on his motion to speed it up or dismiss; most legal commentators seem to think it has little likelihood of success.
I think one mistake we blog/politics addicts make over and over again is overestimating the interest most people have in politics or even news in general. The Dem national party will have to provide support, but Congress will be won or lost on how well individual candidates tie their opposition to Bush and the GOP, plus how well they show what their state has sacrificed to GOP corruption and reverse-robinhood policies.
For example, the $225 billion in tax cuts for the richest this year alone could have given Pennsylvania $9.7 billion, which would have paid for college scholarships for over a million Pennsylvania kids, thus assuring prosperity and quality of life in the state far into the future. Instead it was wasted on payback for the GOP’s constituents. Or the cuts could have finaanced health care for 5 million Pennsylvania children. But the GOP chose to lower the tax burden on Richard Scaife and friends.
What I’m afraid of is Dems doing what they love best, bleating on about “programs” and “initiatives” and other buzzwords that nobody gives a shit about because they’ve heard it all before ad infinitum.
I have to agree somewhat with Boo about not demonizing the career military, but what I’m seeing so far looks like way too much sucking up to everything in a uniform. The Dems tried that 2 years ago. It failed miserably, even though they were running an authentic war vet against an AWOL deserter.
I think with Dean’s efforts to reenergize the grassroots, we have reason to hope for a dramatic congressional turnaround IF we have good candidates. That’s where I differ from a lot of armchair liberal strategists: We need to be involved in local/state primaries to help select unashamed liberals/leftists who are willing to speak out and able to make their points in a manner a generally indifferent, confused public can respond to. If we manage that, we’ll at least minimize the damage from Bush’s remaining term and look forward to getting back on track after he’s gone. Next year will shape the future more than 08, so let’s get going.
Hear hear! I don’t think we can allow ourselves to get distracted and forget this. Articles of impeachment originate in the House.
House districts are relatively small, so anyone willing to get involved in campaigns can have a real impact. We have to fight for every House seat, one at a time. They’ll add up.
And as you say, there are more true progressives running this time than most people focused on the national picture realize.
Very much agree. While i will do my best to give to quality candidates in other states, at home I’m focusing on getting two more leg seats in our county (that will give us a 6-1 majority). Legislators is where future Govs and Congresspeople come from. So far quality candidate for one seat, hunting another. Ground up! But hey, I really wrote this just to see my brand new sig line 🙂
And an excellent one it is! (But I like people to italicize sig lines myself.)
…events described in this Diary give me great hope that 2006 will be a watershed year. But, as you say, the Democrats need a positive agenda to make political hay from all this. For while the scandals and legal action may generate an electoral victory by default come November, it’s the long run we must concern ourselves with.
The Democrats won in 1974 in great part because of the fallout from Nixon’s foreshortened second term. And that helped at least a little in 1976 as well. Then came the Reagan (counter)Revolution, the effects of which we continue to feel.
Democrats have plenty of ideas from which to build a positive agenda: a policy that provides everyone with health care; an energy policy that looks to the future not the past; an economic globalization policy that recognizes the needs of labor and the environment; a foreign policy that makes America a positive role model for international cooperation instead of belligerence; a defense policy that deals with real threats multilaterally; a social policy based on equality for all; a reproductive rights policy based on that quintessential aspect of Americanism even though it’s not mentioned in the Constitution – privacy; an environmental policy based on real science and the future of our great-grandchildren instead of next-quarter’s balance sheet.
Hmmm…
JFK cheated on his wife while he was in the White House. Nobody batted an eyelid. Clinton did it and he was impeached.
Nixon orchestrated a simple burglary and got burned for it. Bush lied to Congress and the people to start a war for nothing and he’s still grinnin’ up there at 1600 Penn Ave.
What’s the difference? The difference is the media. The media beat Clinton to death over his affair and kept JFK’s hush hush.
The WaPo kept the Watergate story alive. The TV cameras showing Vietnam kept the anti-war protests alive. It’s the MEDIA which is important, not what does and does not compromise a scandal.
It isn’t a scandal until enough people are scandalized and they aren’t going to do that all on their own. Maybe you and me and the readers of these super awesome cutting edge blogs DO make up our own opinions, but most people don’t.
Folks half of American citizens get their news from monologues on the Leno or Letterman shows. Or else from their coworkers, who are listening to Rush and Hannity in their cubicle.
If this is going to be the year of the scandal we HAVE to get Letterman and Leno on board. We HAVE to get the pundits on board, each chewing up the airwaves about the issue of the day.
Pax
Not quite reaching the level of scandal, but something else to hammer BushCo with is the Justice Dept’s ineffective prosecution of corporate crime:
Abramoff’s plea deal courtesy of TPM. He has agreed to pay $25 million dollars to his victims. They aren’t specified but I assume this is mainly the Indian tribes that he scammed. Holy Cow! And this is a negotiated plea?! He’s pled guilty to charges that add up to 30+ years in the federal prison system. I don’t think he’s going to get 10, do 4; I think he’s getting a full term. It all depends on how well he sings.
After thinking about this, I don’t want a Year of Scandal. As Soj pointed out, that requires media participation. I want a Year of Accountability, a Year of Justice. We can’t rely upon talking heads like Chris Matthews. But, we might be able to count on prosecutors deep in the Justice system who never get invited to the Ruling Class’ cocktail parties. They might be bitter and resentful. They might be closer to being like us.
[cross posted on this same at KOS]
Check out the ACLU’s new New York Times ad about government spying.
Pass It On: As Nixon, So Bush
by the ACLU
A new ad in The New York Times connects the dots between Bush, Nixon and government spying.
James Starowicz
USN ’67-’71 GMG3 Vietnam In-Country’70-’71 COMNAVFORV
Member: Veterans For Peace
VFP ‘Declaration Of Impeachment’
Sign On and Pass Link To Others
Guide to Impeachment and Censure Materials Online
Jurist Law-Legal News and Research
Impeach Bush Coalition-Sign On
Impeach Bush Checklist-Impeach Bush Coalition in html format so that everybody can easily cut and paste it onto their own blogs.
CONYERS INTRODUCES BILLS TO CENSURE BUSH AND CHENEY
Granny D says – “Impeach The Son of a Bitch”
IMPEACH PAC Iraq War Lies… Increased Terrorism… $3 Gas… USA Patriot Act… Global Warming… Rightwing judges… Illegal Spying… Transfer of Peoples Treasury to the Few… Had enough of Bush and Cheney Corrupt Cabal?
Censure and Impeach
Research Impeachment
ImpeachBush / VoteToImpeach
Articles of Impeachment
ImpeachPAC Forms Citizens Impeachment Commission
The NSA story continues to grow.
And now there is something else to add, that is not getting any mention in either MSM or on the Blogs.
My sleep patterns are still messed up from surgery etc. So very late last night (wee hours of AM) I was reading a story about 12 year old kids counterfeiting money on color printers. They bought some junk food and got some change, but were caught almost from the beginning as the money they made was not the right color of green.
Following some links I learned that the government can track what we print off a computer from invisible forensic colors not discernible to the naked eye. I found a list of printers tested by the Electronic Frontier Foundation. This technology was developed in 2002 with the help of HP labs working with the government. The claim that this technology is needed to prevent counterfeiting is a straw man argument, since there is a law prohibiting printers from producing the same color of green used in money.
I had no idea they were doing this and I just bought a new HP for myself. There was nothing like a warning or information on the printer or in the literature that came with it. So for those of you, like me, who bought, or are planning to buy, a new printer, now may be the time to return what you have, or use the list of printers to know what you are getting. Equally, if not more important is to let your Senators/Representatives, Senator Arlen Spector and the members of the judiciary and intelligence committees know about this.
I hope this information is helpful.
By the looks of Abramoff in the video of him leaving the courthouse, it looks like he had a healthy bullet-proof vest under that topcoat. If he’s just a middle guy, imagine who all might be near the top.