This news is over two hours old. First, Virginia:
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Virginia shows Barack Obama leading Hillary Clinton by eighteen percentage points. Obama earns 55% of the vote while Clinton attracts 37%.
The demographic divisions are similar to those seen in other states. Obama leads among white men while Clinton leads among white women. Overall, the two contenders are even among white voters while Obama leads 72% to 22% among African-Americans.
Clinton leads among senior citizens while Obama has the edge among younger voters.
Next, Maryland:
[…] Barack Obama appears headed for a large victory over Hillary Clinton on Tuesday. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the race shows Obama with 57% of the vote and Clinton twenty-six percentage points behind at 31%.
Clinton leads just 43% to 41% among white voters while Obama leads 82% to 12% among African-Americans. Clinton leads among white women while Obama leads among white men.
Seventy-three percent (73%) have a favorable opinion of Clinton, including 81% of women and 62% of men.
For Obama, 83% offer a favorable opinion. That figure includes 95% of African-Americans. There is no gender gap in attitudes towards Obama.
Eighty-three percent (83%) of Likely Voters believe that Obama would be at least somewhat likely to win if nominated. Seventy-nine percent (79%) have such confidence if nominated.
Forty-eight percent (48%) view the economy as the top voting issue while 21% see the War in Iraq as the highest priority.
While Billary’s numbers show her losing to McCain, Obama’s numbers are tightening against the probable GOP nominee:
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows John McCain (R) leading Hillary Clinton (D) 48% to 42%. Barack Obama (D) leads McCain 45% to 42%.
18 pts is huge and it’s in line with his precentages in these caucuses. So that’s good to hear that he can carry those numbers (again) in a primary, since people seem to be so focused on the caucus votes.
I finally get to vote for Obama on Tuesday. So happy to see Virginia going for him. This is getting really exciting.
Polls are a snapshot in time. I’ve come to be doubtful …until actual votes are counted not using new math.
What I don’t get though is this; after the votes are counted, nothing changes on the delegate count.
There’s a lot of confusion on the count methodology. Going into yesterday AP had a 2 delegates difference. Others had a 70 delegates lead for Clinton…
Here’s Wapost
They went in tied and after, one had 4 wins but ended virtually tied.
It’s some crazy math, huh? What a democracy we have.
One count is pledged delegates, one includes superdelegates.
Obama has been consistently ahead in the pledged delegate count.
Obama has been consistently behind in the superdelegate count.
I suspect that will change over the next several contests..!!
close race in Maine WMTW.com
Hillary Clinton (Dem) 168 48%
Barack Obama (Dem) 175 50%
Uncommited (Dem) 4 1%
Write-ins (Dem) 0 0%
Precincts Reporting – 69 out of 626 – 11%