Author: BooMan

I guess tonight is a night for annoying near victories. In Mississippi, we are headed for a run-off in the special election for MS-01. The Democrat won, but he didn’t quite get 50% of the vote. He fell about 400 votes...

It looks like the Dems might be winning a stunning upset in Mississippi. MSNBC, FOX, and CNN have called it for Clinton. Based on the available data, I would not call it.

Here’s a map of Pennsylvania Counties. You can test how Obama is doing by looking at the poll estimates by region. For Philly, look at Philadelphia County. For the Philly suburbs, check Delaware, Chester, Montgomery, and...

In the 2004 exit polls for Pennsylvania, Kerry won 84% of the black vote and blacks made up 14% of the electorate. Obviously, blacks make up a higher percentage of the electorate in Democratic primary where Republicans and...

Crazy ass turnout bodes well for Obama. I’m hearing that turnout is especially high in African-American and affluent white precincts, just as I predicted. Turnout at the Pennsylvania polls is “sky-high, much greater...